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Squawka / News / Atalanta vs Frosinone predictions today: evens over 3.5 goals tip and a 3-1 Atalanta win

Atalanta vs Frosinone predictions today: evens over 3.5 goals tip and a 3-1 Atalanta win

Sun 25 October, 14:00 Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia
N. Krstović   14', 45' Éderson (P)   33' E. Elmas   50'
R. Schmid   1', 17' G. Calò   48' A. Terzić   82'
  1. Full Time
  2. 90 + 2'
  3. 89'
    E. Tchato on for A. Oyono
  4. 85'
  5. 82'
  6. 77'
  7. 77'
  8. 75'
  9. 69'
  10. 65'
    M. Cichella on for P. Masini
  11. 65'
  12. 62'
  13. 62'
  14. 50'
  15. 48'
  16. 46'
    A. Terzić on for G. Bracaglia
  17. Half Time
  18. 45'
  19. Éderson (P)
    33'
  20. C. De Ketelaere Penalty awarded
    29'
  21. 29'
  22. 28'
  23. 17'
  24. 14'
  25. 7'
    G. Bracaglia
  26. 1'
  27. Kick Off
Momentum
Top Stats
46.4% Possession 53.6%
4 Goals 4
22 Shots 24
9 Shots On Target 10
8 Corners Won 9
1 Yellow Cards 4
0 Red Cards 0
Shooting
4 Goals 4
22 Total Shots 24
9 Shots On Target 10
Defending
4 Goals Conceded 4
0 Clean sheets 0
Passing
322 Total Passes 371
228 Accurate Passes 279
Possession
46.4% Possession 53.6%
8 Corners 9
Discipline
1 Yellow Cards 4
0 Red Cards 0
7 Fouls 13
Substitutes
Enzo Tchato90
Anouar El Azzouzi34
Matteo Cichella16
Matteo Pisseri12
Tomás Bobcek89

League Standings table is not available yet.

Data provided by

Atalanta vs Frosinone predictions for today’s 2pm (UK time) kick-off at the Gewiss Stadium back over 3.5 goals at evens, with our score prediction Atalanta 3-1 Frosinone.

Anthony Eadson’s Atalanta vs Frosinone predictions, best bets and score prediction are below.

Premium Tips

Atalanta are favourites but far from convincing, so rather than pile into a short-priced home win we have gone looking for value elsewhere. Here are our two best bets for Sunday’s Serie A clash at the Gewiss Stadium.

Premium TipOddsWhy we’re backing it
Over 3.5 goals1/1 (bet365)The goals markets look the strongest way into this one. Atalanta have scored in each of their four home games and have the attacking talent to punish a promoted defence, while Frosinone have found the net in five of their seven league outings and rarely set up simply to contain. Add in a head-to-head record stacked with heavy Atalanta wins, including a 5-0 in the last meeting, and the ingredients for an open afternoon are all here. At evens, four goals or more feels a fair reflection of two sides who both want to play on the front foot.
Frosinone over 5.5 corners14/5 (Paddy Power)The corner numbers favour the visitors here. Frosinone win 5.4 corners a game in Serie A, and Atalanta concede 5.0 a game while winning only 3.4 themselves. Frosinone’s league games average 12.3 corners, and they have scored in five of their seven games, so they will not just sit in. Atalanta were beaten 2-0 at Ajax on Thursday and have been stop-start all season. Frosinone over 5.5 corners at 14/5 with Paddy Power is the price.

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How Atalanta go into the game

Atalanta arrive in patchy form, beaten 2-0 at Ajax in the Conference League on Thursday, three days after a 3-2 defeat at Milan that captured their stop-start season. Home is where they have looked far more comfortable, though. They have won three of their four league games at the Gewiss Stadium, the latest a tidy 3-1 win over Venezia, and they have conceded just four times on their own patch.

The travelling version has been a different story. All three of their away trips have ended in defeat, with seven goals shipped on the road, and that has left them a surprising 11th with nine points from seven games. Even so, a home record like theirs makes them favourites against a promoted side, provided the defence tightens up on the goals that have cost them elsewhere.

How Frosinone go into the game

Frosinone have been the early surprise of the season and travel in good spirits after a 4-2 home win over Sassuolo last time out. The road has been more of a mixed bag: that win followed a heavy 3-0 loss at Napoli, though a 1-1 draw at Genoa shows they can dig in away from home too.

The promoted side sit sixth with 13 points from their first seven games, winning four and losing only twice, and they have scored in all but two of those outings. Their away numbers are modest: one win, one draw and one defeat from three, and a trip to a wounded Atalanta side looking to put things right at home is a sterner examination than most.

Atalanta vs Frosinone: form guide and current league standing

Atalanta vs Frosinone head-to-head

DateHomeScoreAway
15/01/24Atalanta5-0Frosinone
26/08/23Frosinone2-1Atalanta
20/01/19Frosinone0-5Atalanta
20/08/18Atalanta4-0Frosinone

Atalanta and Frosinone have met four times, all in Serie A, and the Bergamo side have dominated with three wins to one and no draws. Frosinone’s lone victory came in a 2-1 home win in August 2023; Atalanta have otherwise racked up the goals, most recently a 5-0 romp.

Atalanta vs Frosinone predictions & betting tips

Our PredictionOdds & BookmakerConfidenceWhy We’re Backing It
Frosinone over 5.5 corners14/5 (Paddy Power)⭐⭐⭐The corner numbers favour the visitors here.
Over 3.5 goals1/1 (bet365)⭐⭐⭐The goals markets look the strongest way into this one.
Atalanta to win5/6 (Sky Bet)⭐⭐⭐⭐A modest 5/6 chance, Atalanta’s strong home form outweighs their stuttering away results against a promoted visitor.
Both teams to score4/9 (Betway)⭐⭐⭐Frosinone are scoring regularly and Atalanta have leaked goals, pointing towards both sides finding the net.
Over 2.5 goals2/5 (bet365)⭐⭐⭐With both of these teams happy to attack, the goals markets look the most reliable read of the day.
Atalanta 3-1 Frosinone11/1 (bet365)⭐⭐Atalanta’s home edge should decide it, but Frosinone carry enough threat to grab one back.

Atalanta vs Frosinone score prediction

Atalanta’s season has been bumpy, but their home record and a lopsided head-to-head history both point the same way. Frosinone are good enough going forward to get on the scoresheet, so we are backing a 3-1 home win in a game that should have goals in it. Score prediction: Atalanta 3-1 Frosinone.

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