Chelsea vs Southampton prediction, odds, tips & team news
Chelsea host Southampton in a Premier League showdown on Tuesday, February 25th, at 8:15pm (UK time).
Enzo Fernandez Over 0.5 Shots on Target (19/20 with BetMGM)
Enzo Maresca decided to play World Cup winner Enzo Fernandez in a more advanced number 10 position on Saturday against Aston Villa. The Chelsea boss is expected to deploy this tactic again on Tuesday against Southampton, increasing Fernandez’s chances of scoring and hitting the target. The 24-year-old let off four shots with two hitting the target at Villa Park, and it would be no surprise to see a similar haul against Saints, making the 19/20 for Over 0.5 shots on target a value bet.
Enzo Fernandez to Score & 2+ Fouls Won (5/1 with Betfair)
Fernandez has scored in four of his last 14 league appearances, and with Chelsea expected to rack up the goals against Southampton, he looks like the best value of the front four in terms of finding the net. His more advanced role should also lead to more fouls drawn. Fernandez has won 2+ fouls in all of his last six matches with totals of 2,4,2,2,3,3. Combining him to score and be fouled twice pays 5/1 with Betfair.
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How both teams go into Chelsea vs Southampton
What a difference a few weeks and poor results can make. At one point in December 2024, the Blues were just two points behind Premier League leaders Liverpool. Despite the protests against their manager, Enzo Maresca, they were thrust into a title race that they never expected to be a part of. However, things quickly took a downturn; they have collected only nine points from their last ten Premier League games (W2 D2 L5), after amassing 34 points from their first sixteen matches this season (W10 D4 L2, averaging 2.1 points per game). Now, Chelsea are battling to secure a top-four finish.
At least the spectre of relegation isn’t hanging over Chelsea, but the same cannot be said for Southampton. Their dream of maintaining top-flight status after returning this season is diminishing with each passing week. After 256matches, Southampton has secured only two wins, scored 19 goals, and conceded 61, placing them at the bottom in all these metrics. They are 13 points adrift of safety, which means that while a great escape is mathematically possible, stringing together a series of victories seems unlikely in the near future.
Chelsea team news
Marc Guiu, Nicolas Jackson, Romeo Lavia, Wesley Fofana, and Benoit Badiashile will not be available for Chelsea until next month or later. Malo Gusto may return here, while there is no confirmed return date for Mykhailo Mudryk (suspended), Omari Kellyman, and Chukwunonso Madueke.
Southampton team news
Taylor Harwood-Bellis, Jack Stephens, and Adam Lallana are currently being assessed and could return for this game. Ryan Fraser, Ross Stewart, and Flynn Downes are unavailable, and there are no return dates for either.
Chelsea vs Southampton head-to-head
Chelsea ended a two-game losing streak against Southampton last time out. Across their last 18 meetings in all competitions, the Blues have won 12 times and lost three games to the Saints.
| Chelsea vs Southampton H2H | |||||||
| Date | Score | Competition | |||||
| 04 Dec 2024 | Southampton 1-5 Chelsea | Premier League | |||||
| 18 Feb 2023 | Chelsea 0-1 Southampton | Premier League | |||||
| 30 Aug 2022 | Southampton 2-1 Chelsea | Premier League | |||||
| 09 Apr 2022 | Southampton 0-6 Chelsea | Premier League | |||||
| 26 Oct 2021 | Chelsea 1-1 Southampton | League Cup | |||||
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