Sweden welcome Bosnia and Herzegovina to the Friends Arena in Stockholm on Saturday 14 November, a 7.45pm kick-off (UK time), knowing a win in this Nations League tie would seal promotion back to League A.
Graham Potter‘s Sweden top League B Group 4 and need only to beat the second-placed visitors to go up as group winners. Bosnia and Herzegovina are unbeaten and held Sweden to a 1-1 draw last month, but they arrive without their retired record scorer. We have worked through the odds for our best bets, two premium picks and a score prediction below.
Premium Tips
Anthony Eadson expects a lively night in Stockholm, with Sweden chasing the win they need and both sides carrying enough to find the net.
| Premium Tip | Odds | Why we’re backing it |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score – Yes | 8/11 (Betfred) | These sides played out a 1-1 draw in Zenica only last month, with both finding the net, and we can see a repeat of that pattern here. Sweden will throw men forward in search of the win that secures promotion, which should leave gaps for a Bosnia side that has kept things tight all campaign to exploit on the break. At 8/11 with Betfred, both teams to score makes plenty of appeal. |
| Sweden to win 2-1 | 15/2 (bet365) | With Sweden heavy favourites at a skinny 1/2, we would rather take them on the scoreline at a far bigger price. We expect Potter’s side, roared on by a home crowd, to edge a competitive contest, but Bosnia are organised and dangerous enough to grab a goal of their own. A 2-1 home win is our headline score prediction, and at 15/2 with bet365 it is the value play for those who want more than the short outright price. |
18+ only. Please gamble responsibly. GambleAware — gambleaware.org · Odds correct at time of publishing.
How Sweden go into the game
Sweden have been the standout side in the group, sitting top of League B Group 4 on 10 points from four games under Graham Potter, who took charge late in 2025. A win over Bosnia and Herzegovina at the Friends Arena would seal top spot and promotion to League A with a game to spare.
Their campaign has featured a 3-1 win over Poland, a 1-1 draw away to Bosnia and a 1-0 win away to Romania last time out, and Potter can call on a frightening forward line featuring Premier League pair Alexander Isak and Viktor Gyokeres, with Dejan Kulusevski back in the squad after more than a year out. That attacking firepower, allied to home advantage, makes them clear favourites to get the job done.
How Bosnia and Herzegovina go into the game
Bosnia and Herzegovina have quietly put together an excellent campaign, sitting second and unbeaten on eight points, having conceded just three goals in four matches. They beat Poland 1-0 in October and held group leaders Sweden to a 1-1 draw, results that underline their defensive resilience.
The visitors do, however, face life without talisman Edin Dzeko, who brought the curtain down on a record-breaking international career after that draw with Sweden last month. Ermedin Demirovic and Haris Tabakovic are among those tasked with filling the void up front. A couple of points from their final two games would likely be enough to secure at least a play-off spot, so there is still plenty for them to play for in Stockholm.
Sweden vs Bosnia and Herzegovina head-to-head
These sides shared a 1-1 draw in Zenica last month on an emotional night that doubled as Edin Dzeko’s international farewell, and that result leaves little between them on recent evidence. Competitive meetings have been relatively rare, so rather than lean on a disputed all-time record we have kept this to prose: Sweden’s home advantage and attacking quality just tip the balance in their favour for the return.
Sweden vs Bosnia and Herzegovina predictions & betting tips
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sweden to win | 1/2 (bet365) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Sweden need the win to go up and boast far more firepower on home soil. |
| Both teams to score – Yes | 8/11 (Betfred) | ⭐⭐⭐ | The reverse fixture finished 1-1 and Sweden will commit men forward chasing the win. |
| Over 2.5 goals | 4/7 (William Hill) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Sweden’s attacking talent should help produce goals as they push for promotion. |
| Sweden 2-1 Bosnia and Herzegovina | 15/2 (bet365) | ⭐⭐ | A tight home win that reflects both the gap in quality and Bosnia’s resilience. |
Sweden vs Bosnia and Herzegovina score prediction
Sweden have been the group’s dominant force and, with promotion on the line in front of their own fans, we expect them to find a way past a stubborn Bosnia side. The visitors held them 1-1 last month and will not be easy to break down, particularly with their attacking focus altered since Dzeko’s retirement, but Potter’s forward riches should prove decisive. We see Sweden edging a competitive game in which both teams score, with Anthony Eadson backing a 2-1 home win. Score prediction: Sweden 2-1 Bosnia and Herzegovina. Score prediction: Sweden 2-1 Bosnia and Herzegovina.
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