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Squawka / News / Previews / Romania vs Poland predictions and betting tips: Lewandowski to punish the strugglers again

Romania vs Poland predictions and betting tips: Lewandowski to punish the strugglers again

Romania host Poland at the Arena Nationala in Bucharest on Saturday 14 November, a 7.45pm kick-off (UK time), and this Nations League reunion comes barely six weeks after Poland tore the Romanians apart 6-0 in Warsaw.

Poland sit third in League B Group 4 and arrive as 4/5 favourites, while a rock-bottom Romania are still searching for their first point of the campaign. We have weighed up the form, the group picture and the bet365 markets to land on our best bets and a score prediction below.

Premium Tips

Here are our two favourite Premium Tips for Romania vs Poland, taken at the best prices we can find across our featured bookmakers.

Premium TipOddsWhy we’re backing it
Robert Lewandowski to score anytime5/6 (bet365)Robert Lewandowski ran riot in the reverse fixture, helping himself to a hat-trick in Poland’s 6-0 win in Warsaw, and the veteran striker arrives in ruthless form in front of goal. Romania have shipped 13 goals in four matches and have no answer to a forward of his calibre, so we fully expect the Poland captain to be among the goals again. At 5/6 he looks the standout pick on the card.
Poland to win to nil5/2 (William Hill)Romania have managed just three goals all campaign and their confidence is on the floor after four straight defeats. Poland have the quality to keep them quiet, and Jan Urban’s side kept a clean sheet when hammering them 6-0 last month. With the hosts offering so little going forward, we like Poland to win to nil at a tempting 5/2 with William Hill, a far bigger price than their 4/5 just to win.

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How Romania go into the game

Romania could hardly have endured a more miserable Nations League campaign, sitting bottom of League B Group 4 without a point and a goal difference of minus 10 from their four matches. Gheorghe Hagi returned to the national team hotseat in April 2026, but turning the tide has proved a daunting task even for the country’s greatest-ever player.

A 6-0 thrashing away to Poland was the nadir, a night made even harder when Radu Dragusin was shown a red card inside the opening 25 minutes, and they followed it with a 1-0 home defeat to Sweden last time out. The goals have dried up at one end and flooded in at the other, with Romania conceding 13 in four games. Home advantage in Bucharest offers some hope of a reaction, but the task of containing a confident Poland is a stiff one.

How Poland go into the game

Poland sit third in the group on four points under Jan Urban, who has had a mixed time since taking charge in the summer of 2025. Their campaign burst into life last month with that emphatic 6-0 win over Romania, Robert Lewandowski helping himself to a hat-trick, before they came back down to earth with a 1-0 loss away to Bosnia and Herzegovina.

Lewandowski remains the focal point and is in sharp form, with Piotr Zielinski and Jan Bednarek also on the scoresheet in Warsaw. Away from home Poland have been less convincing this campaign, but against a Romania side this short on confidence they will travel to Bucharest expecting to complete a double over their hosts.

Romania vs Poland head-to-head

Poland left a huge mark on this fixture only last month, thrashing Romania 6-0 in Warsaw thanks to a Lewandowski hat-trick, and that result underlines the recent balance of power. The nations have met plenty of times down the years with honours fairly shared across their history, but Poland arrive in Bucharest as clear favourites to make it two wins from two against the Romanians this campaign. With the all-time record close and not without dispute, we have kept this to prose rather than quote a full tally.

Romania vs Poland predictions & betting tips

Our PredictionOdds & BookmakerConfidenceWhy We’re Backing It
Poland to win4/5 (bet365)⭐⭐⭐Poland won the reverse fixture 6-0 and face a Romania side still without a point.
Both teams to score – No6/5 (Paddy Power)⭐⭐⭐Romania have scored just three times all campaign and look short of attacking ideas.
Under 2.5 goals11/10 (Paddy Power)⭐⭐Romania will likely sit deep at home, pointing to a more controlled Poland win this time.
Romania 0-2 Poland9/1 (Betway)⭐⭐A comfortable, clean away win looks the likeliest route to a Poland victory.

Romania vs Poland score prediction

There is little to suggest Romania can turn this around. They are rooted to the bottom of the group without a point, the goals have deserted them and they were dismantled 6-0 by this very opponent last month. Poland are far from flawless on their travels, but they carry a match-winner in Lewandowski and should have far too much for a home side this low on confidence. We expect Urban’s men to control the game and see it out with a clean sheet, with Anthony Eadson backing a 2-0 Poland win. Score prediction: Romania 0-2 Poland. Score prediction: Romania 0-2 Poland.

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