Netherlands host Greece at the Johan Cruijff ArenA in Amsterdam on Friday 13 November, 7.45pm (UK time), with top spot in their Nations League group on the line between two sides who have made light work of the section so far.
Both nations arrive level on points at the summit of League A Group 2, so this one has the feel of a straight shoot-out for control of the group. We have weighed up the form, the group picture and the bet365 markets to land on our best bets, and we are expecting the hosts to find a way through.
Premium Tips
Here are our two favourite Premium Tips for Netherlands vs Greece, taken at the best prices we can find across our featured bookmakers.
| Premium Tip | Odds | Why we’re backing it |
|---|---|---|
| Netherlands to win and both teams to score | 15/8 (BoyleSports) | Netherlands have been the group’s form side and are strong favourites on home soil, but Greece are no soft touch. Ivan Jovanovic’s side held Germany to a goalless draw last time out and have proved hard to break down all campaign, so we are not convinced this will be a clean sheet for the hosts. With the Oranje expected to carry the greater threat in front of their own fans, a home win in which Greece also get on the scoresheet looks the shrewd way in at 15/8. |
| Netherlands to win 2-1 | 15/2 (bet365) | This fits our reading of the game neatly. Netherlands have the quality to break down a disciplined Greece side at home, yet the visitors have shown enough going forward to grab one of their own. A 2-1 home win is our headline score prediction, and at 15/2 with bet365 it offers plenty of value for anyone happy to back the exact outcome rather than just the result. |
18+ only. Please gamble responsibly. GambleAware — gambleaware.org · Odds correct at time of publishing.
How Netherlands go into the game
Netherlands go into this one top of League A Group 2, level on points with Greece after four matches and firmly in control of their own destiny. Xavi Hernandez took charge of the national team after the World Cup and has made a solid start, with the Oranje unbeaten in the group and looking the part at home.
Last time out they saw off bottom side Serbia 2-1, following a creditable 1-1 draw with Germany in Xavi’s opening game in charge. That blend of results has kept them ahead of the pack, and the ArenA has been a comfortable place for them to pick up points.
The one note of caution is in attack, where injuries have nibbled at Xavi’s options in recent camps, but the hosts still carry plenty of threat and will fancy their chances of breaking Greece down.
How Greece go into the game
Greece have been one of the stories of the group, matching Netherlands point for point to sit level at the top going into this round. Ivan Jovanovic has built a well-organised, hard-working side that has been difficult to beat, and they travel to Amsterdam with real belief.
Their standout result was a disciplined 0-0 draw away to Germany last time out, a performance that summed up their resilience. That kind of defensive solidity is the foundation of their campaign, and they will look to frustrate the hosts here.
The challenge on the road is a different one, and keeping a strong Netherlands attack quiet at the ArenA is a tall order. If Greece are to take something, they will need that same miserly streak and a clinical touch on the break.
Netherlands vs Greece head-to-head
Netherlands have the clear upper hand in this fixture down the years and won the most recent competitive meeting 3-0 in the Euro 2024 qualifiers. Greece have rarely enjoyed their trips to the Netherlands, so the visitors will take heart more from their own strong Nations League campaign than from any recent history between the pair.
Netherlands vs Greece predictions & betting tips
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Netherlands to win | 1/2 (bet365) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Netherlands sit top of the group and are unbeaten through four matches. |
| Both teams to score – Yes | 4/6 (BoyleSports) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Greece arrive level on points at the top and have shown they can hurt sides on the break. |
| Over 2.5 goals | 4/7 (bet365) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | The hosts have carried a strong attacking threat throughout their group campaign. |
| Netherlands 2-1 Greece | 15/2 (bet365) | ⭐⭐ | Greece held Germany to a goalless draw last time out and will not go down without a fight. |
Netherlands vs Greece score prediction
This has the makings of a proper test for the hosts. Netherlands are the stronger side on paper, unbeaten in the group and backed by a lively home crowd, and we expect Xavi’s men to control large spells. Greece, though, have been superbly organised all campaign and showed against Germany that they can keep the best attacks at arm’s length, so we do not see this being a procession. We think the Oranje will have enough to edge it while Greece land a consolation of their own, and Anthony Eadson is backing a 2-1 home win. Score prediction: Netherlands 2-1 Greece.
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