Our Packers vs Vikings prediction leans narrowly to Green Bay, in a 9.25pm BST kickoff as this division game opens the 2026 NFL season for both. Squawka Signal’s live read on this game, including where the value sits, is in the block just below.
Green Bay finished 9-7-1 and Minnesota 9-8, so a single game separated them, though the Packers scored 391 points to Minnesota’s 344. Green Bay also converted 48.8% of third downs, the best rate in the round, against Minnesota’s 31.8%, the weakest.
Packers vs Vikings: our editor’s prop
One editorial call to sit alongside the live Signal numbers above.
AT 
Our prop
An editorial call, not a Signal model output. 18+ | BeGambleAware.org
Packers vs Vikings: 2025 season form
Green Bay finished 9-7-1 at plus 31, Minnesota 9-8 at plus 11. The Vikings closed on five straight wins, though, while the Packers lost their last four.
| 2025 regular season | Packers | Vikings |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 9-7-1 | 9-8 |
| Points for | 391 | 344 |
| Points against | 360 | 333 |
| Point differential | +31 | +11 |
| Sacks recorded | 36 | 49 |
| Sacks allowed | 29 | 60 |
| Interceptions made | 7 | 8 |
| Third-down offence | 48.8% | 31.8% |
| Red-zone offence | 57.6% | 56.9% |
| Red zone allowed | 59.6% | 42.9% |
| Opponent passer rating | 92.7 | 86.0 |
The third-down rows are the widest gap on the page: 48.8% against 31.8%. Minnesota’s defence was the better one, however, allowing just 42.9% in the red zone.
Packers vs Vikings injury report and team news
This section updates as soon as the Out, Doubtful and Questionable tags land. Notably, for now, one quarterback room is settled and the other is not.
Jordan Love starts for Green Bay after 3,381 passing yards at a 102.5 rating. Jayden Reed and Matthew Golden lead the receivers, moreover, with Josh Jacobs in the backfield.
The Vikings have not confirmed a starter. Kyler Murray arrived from Arizona and J.J. McCarthy remains on the roster, with Carson Wentz behind them. Justin Jefferson leads the receivers regardless.
The matchup that settles it: Green Bay on third down against a Minnesota defence that holds
Green Bay converted 48.8% of third downs last season, the best rate in the round, and Jordan Love’s 102.5 passer rating was the highest here.
Minnesota’s answer is the red zone, where they allowed just 42.9% of opponent trips to become touchdowns. The problem was their own offence: 21 interceptions at a 75.3 rating.
Players to watch
- Jordan Love (GB, QB): 3,381 passing yards at a 102.5 rating, indeed the best mark here.
- Micah Parsons (GB, DE): 12 sacks, notably against a line that allowed 60.
- Justin Jefferson (MIN, WR): 1,048 receiving yards, moreover, despite unsettled quarterback play.
- Kyler Murray (MIN, QB): Arrived from Arizona and is competing with J.J. McCarthy to start.
How to watch Packers vs Vikings
Kickoff is 4:25 PM ET on Sunday, September 13, or 9.25pm BST in the UK. Sky Sports has the coverage, meanwhile, and NFL Game Pass on DAZN carries every game. The late Sunday window is the other genuinely watchable slot from Britain. Squawka may earn a commission if you subscribe through that link.
| Detail | Packers vs Vikings |
|---|---|
| Date | Sunday, September 13, 2026 |
| Kickoff | 9:25pm BST / 4:25 PM ET, Sunday 13 Sep |
| Venue | U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis |
| TV | Sky Sports |
| Live stream | NFL Game Pass (DAZN) |
| Week | Week 1, 2026 NFL season |
Packers vs Vikings prediction and score projection
Our Packers vs Vikings prediction is a narrow Green Bay win, and narrow is the right word. One game separated these teams last season.
Green Bay’s edge is third down and the settled quarterback. However Minnesota’s defence allowed the second-lowest red-zone rate in the round, and they won their last five. So we will take the Packers, 23-20. Which side carries the value, though, is a separate question from who wins, and the live read on that sits in the Signal block.
Every fixture in the round is covered across our NFL UK hub, and the 32 club pages sit on the NFL teams hub. Kickoff times are confirmed on NFL.com.
Packers vs Vikings FAQ
Green Bay, narrowly. The Packers finished 9-7-1 to Minnesota’s 9-8 and converted 48.8% of third downs, the best rate in the round. Ultimately the live win probability sits in the Signal block on this page.
Notably 9.25pm BST on Sunday 13 September, which is 4:25 PM ET.
Sky Sports has the coverage and NFL Game Pass on DAZN carries every game. Moreover kickoff is Notably 9.25pm BST on Sunday 13 September, which is 4:25 PM ET.
Minnesota had not confirmed a starter at the time of writing. Kyler Murray arrived from Arizona, J.J. McCarthy remains on the roster and Carson Wentz is behind them.
Packers 23-20. Green Bay converted 48.8% of third downs to Minnesota’s 31.8%, though the Vikings allowed the second-lowest red-zone rate.
18+ | Please gamble responsibly | BeGambleAware.org | Signal probabilities approximate at time of writing and subject to change