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Squawka / News / Newcastle vs Bournemouth predictions and betting tips: Bournemouth’s wastefulness the worry

Newcastle vs Bournemouth predictions and betting tips: Bournemouth’s wastefulness the worry

05 Sep · 12:30 St. James' Park · Premier League
H. Barnes   37' J. Ramsey   88'
M. Tavernier   9' M. Thiaw (OG)   35'
  1. Full Time
  2. 90 + 6'
    R. Christie on for A. Scott
  3. 90 + 4'
    A. Smith
  4. T. Livramento on for L. Hall
    90'
  5. 89'
    B. Gannon-Doak on for Rayan
  6. 89'
    D. Jebbison on for M. Tavernier
  7. J. Ramsey
    88'
  8. 87'
    A. Truffert
  9. J. Murphy on for A. Elanga
    77'
  10. S. Steur on for Nico González
    77'
  11. 76'
    D. Brooks on for J. Kluivert
  12. 76'
    L. Cook on for T. Adams
  13. 66'
    J. Kluivert
  14. J. Ramsey on for L. Miley
    63'
  15. M. Fernandez-Pardo on for J. Willock
    63'
  16. Y. Wissa
    57'
  17. Half Time
  18. H. Barnes
    37'
  19. 35'
    M. Thiaw (OG)
  20. A. Elanga
    28'
  21. 9'
    M. Tavernier
  22. Kick Off
Momentum
Top Stats
57.6% Possession 42.4%
2 Goals 2
8 Shots 17
2 Shots On Target 5
4 Corners Won 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
0 Red Cards 0
0.70 xG 1.33
Shooting
2 Goals 2
8 Total Shots 17
2 Shots On Target 5
Defending
2 Goals Conceded 2
0 Clean sheets 0
Passing
459 Total Passes 335
377 Accurate Passes 256
Possession
57.6% Possession 42.4%
4 Corners 3
Discipline
2 Yellow Cards 3
0 Red Cards 0
19 Fouls 17
Goals
  • 1
    Newcastle United
    Harvey Barnes
    1
  • 2
    AFC Bournemouth
    Marcus Tavernier
    1
  • 3
    Newcastle United
    Jacob Ramsey
    1
Shots
  • 1
    AFC Bournemouth
    Marcus Tavernier
    5
  • 2
    AFC Bournemouth
    Evanilson
    3
  • 3
    Newcastle United
    Harvey Barnes
    2
Tackles Won
  • 1
    AFC Bournemouth
    António Silva
    1
  • 2
    AFC Bournemouth
    Justin Kluivert
    1
  • 3
    Newcastle United
    Joe Willock
    1
Assists
  • 1
    Newcastle United
    Lewis Hall
    1
Chances Created
  • 1
    Newcastle United
    Anthony Elanga
    3
  • 2
    AFC Bournemouth
    James Hill
    3
  • 3
    AFC Bournemouth
    Adam Smith
    2
Passes Completed
  • 1
    Newcastle United
    Sven Botman
    60
  • 2
    Newcastle United
    Malick Thiaw
    57
  • 3
    Newcastle United
    Nico González
    43
Take Ons Completed
  • 1
    Newcastle United
    Amar Dedic
    3
  • 2
    AFC Bournemouth
    Marcus Tavernier
    2
  • 3
    Newcastle United
    Yoane Wissa
    2
Interceptions
  • 1
    AFC Bournemouth
    Alex Scott
    3
  • 2
    Newcastle United
    Harvey Barnes
    2
  • 3
    Newcastle United
    Lewis Hall
    2
21
Hornícek
03
Hall
04
Botman
12
Thiaw
37
Dedic
67
Miley
06
González
11
Barnes
28
Willock
19
Elanga
09
Wissa
09
Evanilson
16
Tavernier
19
Kluivert
37
Rayan
08
Scott
12
Adams
03
Truffert
14
Silva
05
Hill
15
Smith
01
Petrovic
Substitutes
20 Matias Fernandez-Pardo 
23 Jacob Murphy 
14 Sean Steur 
01 Nick Pope 
02 Tino Livramento 
41 Jacob Ramsey 
17 Bazoumana Touré 
05 Fabian Schär 
08 Aladji Bamba 
Substitutes
 Daniel Jebbison 29
 Ben Gannon-Doak 11
 Bafodé Diakité 18
 Juanlu Sánchez 24
 David Brooks 07
 Michele Di Gregorio 20
 Ryan Christie 10
 Lewis Cook 04
 Julio Soler 06

League Standings table is not available yet.

Data provided by

Newcastle vs Bournemouth is a Premier League Gameweek 3 clash at St James’ Park on Saturday, with the hosts fancied after a fine away win.

Andy Francis has the best bets, a score prediction and the head-to-head record for this Premier League clash below.

Premium Tips

Andy is with Newcastle, whose home form should tell against Bournemouth.

Premium TipOddsWhy we’re backing it
Newcastle United to win and Yoane Wissa to score anytime16/5Newcastle have started brightly at home and in front of goal, scoring four and conceding two across their opening two games, while Bournemouth have managed just two goals and shipped three in theirs. Wissa is the pick to score: across his recent football he has piled up 19 shots worth 4.64 expected goals, with 45 touches in the opposition box and seven big chances, so the volume of openings is clearly there against a Bournemouth defence already leaking.
Alex Scott over 2.5 tackles, Nico Gonzalez over 1.5 fouls committed and Anthony Elanga over 1.5 shots31/10The player profiles fit the roles. Scott is a near ever-present Bournemouth midfielder with over 3,000 minutes logged and a heavy defensive workload, averaging around two tackles per 90 from 67 attempted. Gonzalez is a combative holding midfielder who commits roughly 1.75 fouls per 90 across his recent football and is booking-prone, with six yellows last season. Elanga brings the shot threat for Newcastle, 21 attempts in the sample plus a constant corner and counter-attacking presence at home.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly. GambleAware — gambleaware.org · Odds correct at time of publishing.

How Newcastle go into the game

Newcastle won 2-0 at Tottenham last time out, a statement away result. St James’ Park will expect them to build on it.

The Magpies are dangerous and well-backed at home, with European ambitions. Three points against Bournemouth is the aim.

How Bournemouth go into the game

Bournemouth drew 1-1 with Everton last time out, a fair point. They travel to the north-east as clear underdogs.

The Cherries are well-drilled and dangerous on the counter, but St James’ Park is a demanding trip. Staying compact is key.

Newcastle vs Bournemouth: 2025-26 by the numbers

Newcastle vs Bournemouth head-to-head

DateHomeScoreAway
18/04/26Newcastle1-2Bournemouth
10/01/26Newcastle2-2Bournemouth
21/09/25Bournemouth0-0Newcastle
18/01/25Newcastle1-4Bournemouth
25/08/24Bournemouth1-1Newcastle

Bournemouth are unbeaten in the last five meetings, winning twice and drawing three, including a 4-1 rout at Newcastle.

Newcastle vs Bournemouth stats to look out for

Newcastle have four goals from 2.16 xG, so the finishing has flattered them. Bournemouth are the opposite story.

2026/27, opening two league gamesNewcastleBournemouth
Goals scored42
Expected goals (xG)2.162.94
Shots2422
Shot accuracy14.3%50.0%
Chances created1718
Touches in the opposition box3734
Big chances missed26

The Cherries have created 18 chances and run up 2.94 xG, more than the hosts, yet have only two goals to show for it. Six big chances missed is the number that explains the gap.

Newcastle’s shot accuracy of 14.29% is the lowest of any side in the division after two games. They have been ruthless with what little they have put on target.

Newcastle vs Bournemouth predictions & betting tips

Our PredictionOdds & BookmakerConfidenceWhy We’re Backing It
Newcastle United to win11/10⭐⭐⭐Home edge, in form.
Under 2.5 goals11/8⭐⭐A controlled game expected.
Newcastle or draw (Double Chance)4/11⭐⭐⭐Cover on the hosts.
Both teams to score – No6/4⭐⭐Newcastle value control.
Newcastle United to win 2-012/1⭐⭐Headline scoreline.

Newcastle vs Bournemouth score prediction

Bournemouth will make it awkward, but Newcastle’s quality and home backing should tell. Expect the Magpies to edge it. Score prediction: Newcastle United 2-0 AFC Bournemouth.

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