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Squawka / News / Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid predictions and betting tips: Atleti edge Pizjuan test

Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid predictions and betting tips: Atleti edge Pizjuan test

Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid is a La Liga clash at the Ramon Sanchez-Pizjuan on Saturday, with the visitors fancied despite a battling start from the hosts.

Sevilla won at Athletic Club last time out while Atletico were held by Villarreal, setting up a tough test. Andy Francis has the best bets, a score prediction and the head-to-head record below.

Premium Tips

Andy leans towards Atletico Madrid, whose greater strength in depth should tell at a demanding Pizjuan.

Premium TipOddsWhy we’re backing it
Atletico Madrid to win and both teams to score16/5Atlético have dominated this fixture, winning six of the last eight with no draws and outscoring Sevilla 19-8. Last season they scored 62 and conceded 44, while Sevilla managed 46 but shipped 60, so Atlético’s attack meets a defence conceding 1.6 per game, backing the win. Both teams to score is supported by Sevilla scoring 1.2 per game against an Atlético side that still conceded 44, and four of the last eight meetings saw both teams net. The caveat is venue: Sevilla won two of their last four home games against Atlético, including 2-1 last season.
Giuliano Simeone to score anytime and be booked14/1This is the thinnest selection on the data. Simeone scored just four league goals in 33 appearances last season, around one every eight games, operating more as a creator with six assists, 36 shots and 14 on target, so the anytime price is speculative rather than grounded. The booking leg is weaker still: he collected only three yellow cards across those 33 matches while committing 21 fouls, a low-discipline profile for a wide midfielder averaging under one foul per game. Both parts require him to beat his established rates in a single match rather than reflecting any pattern.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly. GambleAware — gambleaware.org · Odds correct at time of publishing.

How Sevilla go into the game

Sevilla impressed with a 3-1 win at Athletic Club last time out, an eye-catching away display. The Pizjuan will be rocking as they look to take a scalp against Atletico.

Sevilla can be dangerous at home and that win will breed confidence. Upsetting one of the title contenders would mark a fine start to the season.

How Atletico Madrid go into the game

Atletico Madrid were held to a 2-2 draw by Villarreal last time out, dropping points they will have expected to win. Diego Simeone’s side will be eager to respond.

Well-drilled and deep in quality, Atletico have the squad to challenge for the title. The Pizjuan is a tough venue, but they should have enough to take something.

Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid: 2025-26 by the numbers

Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid head-to-head

DateHomeScoreAway
11/04/26Sevilla2-1Atlético Madrid
01/11/25Atlético Madrid3-0Sevilla
06/04/25Sevilla1-2Atlético Madrid
08/12/24Atlético Madrid4-3Sevilla
11/02/24Sevilla1-0Atlético Madrid

Atlético Madrid have edged the recent series, winning three of the last five with Sevilla taking two.

Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid predictions & betting tips

Our PredictionOdds & BookmakerConfidenceWhy We’re Backing It
Atletico Madrid or draw (Double Chance)4/9⭐⭐⭐Cover on the title contenders.
Both teams to score4/5⭐⭐⭐Both carry a threat.
Atletico Madrid to win21/20⭐⭐Quality edge on the road.
Over 2.5 goals10/11⭐⭐An open game is possible.
Sevilla 1-2 Atletico Madrid7/1⭐⭐Headline scoreline.

Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid score prediction

Sevilla will make it difficult at a raucous Pizjuan, but Atletico’s greater quality and depth should just about tell. Expect a competitive contest the visitors edge. Score prediction: Sevilla 1-2 Atletico Madrid.

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