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Squawka / News / Mexico vs England: predictions, best bets, stats and odds

Mexico vs England: predictions, best bets, stats and odds

06 Jul · 01:00 Estadio Azteca · FIFA World Cup

No previous meetings between these teams.

Goals
  • 1
    England
    Harry Kane
    5
  • 2
    Mexico
    Julián Quiñones
    3
  • 3
    Mexico
    Raúl Jiménez
    2
  • 4
    England
    Jude Bellingham
    2
  • 5
    Mexico
    Luis Romo
    1
Shots
  • 1
    England
    Harry Kane
    18
  • 2
    Mexico
    Julián Quiñones
    11
  • 3
    Mexico
    Raúl Jiménez
    10
  • 4
    England
    Marcus Rashford
    9
  • 5
    England
    Jude Bellingham
    9
Tackles Won
  • 1
    England
    Jude Bellingham
    7
  • 2
    England
    Elliot Anderson
    7
  • 3
    Mexico
    Edson Álvarez
    6
  • 4
    Mexico
    Luis Romo
    4
  • 5
    England
    Morgan Rogers
    3
Assists
  • 1
    Mexico
    Roberto Alvarado
    3
  • 2
    England
    Anthony Gordon
    2
  • 3
    England
    Bukayo Saka
    2
  • 4
    Mexico
    Luis Romo
    1
  • 5
    Mexico
    Jorge Sánchez
    1
Chances Created
  • 1
    England
    Declan Rice
    12
  • 2
    Mexico
    Roberto Alvarado
    10
  • 3
    England
    Noni Madueke
    9
  • 4
    England
    Jude Bellingham
    8
  • 5
    Mexico
    Julián Quiñones
    7
Passes Completed
  • 1
    England
    Ezri Konsa
    324
  • 2
    England
    Marc Guéhi
    277
  • 3
    England
    Elliot Anderson
    237
  • 4
    Mexico
    Johan Vásquez
    160
  • 5
    England
    Nico O'Reilly
    135
Take Ons Completed
  • 1
    Mexico
    Julián Quiñones
    6
  • 2
    England
    Jude Bellingham
    5
  • 3
    England
    Bukayo Saka
    4
  • 4
    Mexico
    Roberto Alvarado
    4
  • 5
    England
    Nico O'Reilly
    4
Interceptions
  • 1
    England
    Elliot Anderson
    7
  • 2
    Mexico
    Jesús Gallardo
    5
  • 3
    Mexico
    Jorge Sánchez
    4
  • 4
    Mexico
    Luis Romo
    3
  • 5
    Mexico
    Edson Álvarez
    3
Mexico Mexico

No absentees

England England
  • Bukayo Saka Attacker · Achilles Strain · 1 | Questionable (50%)

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01
Rangel
23
Gallardo
05
Vásquez
03
Montes
02
Sánchez
07
Romo
06
Lira
19
Mora
16
Quiñones
09
Jiménez
25
Alvarado
09
Kane
18
Gordon
10
Bellingham
20
Madueke
04
Rice
08
Anderson
03
O'Reilly
06
Guéhi
02
Konsa
24
James
01
Pickford

League Standings table is not available yet.

The pubs of England will be serving into the early hours of Monday morning as Mexico face England in the last 16 of the 2026 World Cup. The Three Lions kick-off at 01:00 (UK Time), in the famous Azteca Stadium in Mexico City and the nation will once again hold it’s breath. After a 6/1, 5/6 winners against DR Congo, you can find our Mexico vs England predictions and best bets below.

Mexico vs England predictions

Our PredictionOdds & BookmakerConfidenceWhy We’re Backing It
England to qualify5/6 @ Betfred
(54.5%)
⭐⭐⭐⭐Yes, Mexico have a phenomenal record at the Azteca stadium, but one must remember the level of opponents they face in World Cup qualification from Central America. Would any of the Mexico team get into the England squad? Not in my opinion. At ⅚ I think England look a great bet here. On a different day when the DR Congo was not in the form of his life, England could have scored four or five goals. The altitude is not ideal, but I think 5/6 is a price we can get behind and hopefully see Tuchel’s side progress to the next round.
Harry Kane to scorea header15/2 @ Spreadex
(11.8%)
⭐⭐Harry Kane scored his second headed goal of the tournament against DR Congo on Wednesday, much to the delight of Squawka followers. I’d tipped-up Kane to score with his swede at 6/1 with Betway for that game, and I’m surprised to see Spreadex go a massive 15/2 for a repeat against the Mexicans. England love sending in crosses and if Declan Rice’s delivery is on point, they can be deadly from corners, as we saw in their opener against Croatia.

Odds correct at time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.

How both teams go into Mexico vs England

England survived a major scare to reach the quarter-finals, overturning a late deficit to beat DR Congo 2-1. Brian Cipenga punished a defensive mistake to give the Leopards the lead, while Lionel Mpasi frustrated the Three Lions with a string of impressive saves. However, Harry Kane once again proved the difference, scoring twice in the closing stages to rescue Thomas Tuchel’s side and take his World Cup tally to five goals.

Despite progressing, England produced another below-par display. They failed to register a shot on target until the 30th minute, the longest they have waited in a World Cup match, and struggled to create clear chances for much of the contest. They now head to the Azteca to face hosts Mexico in what promises to be their toughest test of the tournament so far.

Mexico continued their impressive World Cup campaign with a convincing 2-0 victory over Ecuador in the last 16. Julian Quinones opened the scoring before turning provider for Raul Jimenez, as Javier Aguirre’s side controlled proceedings and booked their place in the quarter-finals without ever looking under serious pressure.

The co-hosts have now won all four matches at the tournament without conceding a goal and arrive full of confidence. Mexico have also extended their unbeaten run to 12 matches in all competitions, while the Azteca remains a formidable fortress. England have won each of the last four meetings between the sides, but this will be their first encounter since 2010 and Mexico look a very different proposition on home soil.

Mexico team news

Javier Aguirre appears to have settled on his strongest starting XI after experimenting during the group stage. Luis Romo has established himself in midfield since returning to the side, while teenage sensation Gilberto Mora has retained his place after impressing in his first two starts. Erik Lira should continue as the holding midfielder, giving Mexico a balanced trio in the centre of the pitch.

Mexico’s back four has remained largely unchanged throughout the tournament. Jorge Sanchez and Jesus Gallardo are expected to start at full-back, with Cesar Montes partnering Johan Vasquez in central defence ahead of goalkeeper Raul Rangel. Further forward, Aguirre is likely to stick with Roberto Alvarado, Raul Jimenez and Julian Quinones, who have become his preferred front three and combined for both goals in the victory over Ecuador.

England team news

Thomas Tuchel may receive a timely boost with Reece James edging closer to full fitness, but the Chelsea defender is unlikely to return straight into the starting lineup. England looked vulnerable down the right against DR Congo, so Tuchel could instead reshuffle his defence. Ezri Konsa may switch to right-back if John Stones returns alongside Marc Guehi in central defence, while Nico O’Reilly should continue on the left. Jordan Pickford remains first choice in goal, with Declan Rice and Elliot Anderson expected to anchor the midfield.

Further forward, Tuchel has plenty of attacking options. Bukayo Saka impressed from the bench against DR Congo and could earn a start, while Anthony Gordon also strengthened his case after providing two assists. Jude Bellingham should continue behind Harry Kane, who leads the tournament’s scoring charts for England and will once again spearhead the attack.

Head-to-head: Last 6 meetings

DateVenueScoreFixtureCompetition
01 Jun 1969Mexico City, Estadio Azteca0-0Mexico vs EnglandFriendly International
09 Jun 1985Mexico City, Estadio Azteca1-0Mexico vs EnglandCopa Ciudad de México 1985, Azteca 2000 Tournament
17 May 1986Los Angeles, Memorial Coliseum0-3Mexico vs EnglandFriendly International
29 Mar 1997London, British Empire Exhibition Stadium (Wembley)2-0England vs MexicoFriendly International
25 May 2001Derby, Pride Park Stadium4-0England vs MexicoFriendly International
24 May 2010London, Wembley Stadium3-1England vs MexicoFriendly International

Back the Three Lions to make it to the quarter-final

A lot has been made about the altitude factor in Mexico City and of the host nation’s impressive home record. However, I think we need to remember the quality that England possesses. Back Tuchel’s side to qualify at 5/6 or take the 15/2 with Spreadex for Harry Kane to score his third header of the tournament.

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