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Squawka / News / World Cup / Belgium vs Senegal: predictions, best bets, stats and odds

Belgium vs Senegal: predictions, best bets, stats and odds

01 Jul · 21:00 CenturyLink Field · FIFA World Cup

No previous meetings between these teams.

Goals
  • 1
    Senegal
    Ismaïla Sarr
    3
  • 2
    Belgium
    Leandro Trossard
    2
  • 3
    Senegal
    Pape Gueye
    2
  • 4
    Senegal
    Ibrahim Mbaye
    1
  • 5
    Senegal
    Iliman Ndiaye
    1
Shots
  • 1
    Belgium
    Kevin De Bruyne
    16
  • 2
    Senegal
    Ismaïla Sarr
    12
  • 3
    Belgium
    Leandro Trossard
    11
  • 4
    Senegal
    Nicolas Jackson
    7
  • 5
    Belgium
    Maxim De Cuyper
    7
Tackles Won
  • 1
    Senegal
    Krépin Diatta
    8
  • 2
    Senegal
    Idrissa Gueye
    4
  • 3
    Belgium
    Timothy Castagne
    4
  • 4
    Belgium
    Charles De Ketelaere
    3
  • 5
    Belgium
    Youri Tielemans
    3
Assists
  • 1
    Senegal
    Iliman Ndiaye
    2
  • 2
    Senegal
    Ismaïla Sarr
    1
  • 3
    Senegal
    Abdoulaye Seck
    1
  • 4
    Senegal
    Lamine Camara
    1
  • 5
    Belgium
    Romelu Lukaku
    1
Chances Created
  • 1
    Belgium
    Leandro Trossard
    13
  • 2
    Belgium
    Kevin De Bruyne
    9
  • 3
    Senegal
    Sadio Mané
    9
  • 4
    Belgium
    Hans Vanaken
    7
  • 5
    Belgium
    Youri Tielemans
    6
Passes Completed
  • 1
    Senegal
    Moussa Niakhaté
    201
  • 2
    Senegal
    Idrissa Gueye
    200
  • 3
    Belgium
    Brandon Mechele
    188
  • 4
    Senegal
    Krépin Diatta
    161
  • 5
    Belgium
    Nathan Ngoy
    142
Take Ons Completed
  • 1
    Belgium
    Leandro Trossard
    7
  • 2
    Senegal
    Sadio Mané
    6
  • 3
    Senegal
    Krépin Diatta
    6
  • 4
    Belgium
    Jérémy Doku
    5
  • 5
    Belgium
    Kevin De Bruyne
    5
Interceptions
  • 1
    Belgium
    Timothy Castagne
    5
  • 2
    Belgium
    Charles De Ketelaere
    3
  • 3
    Belgium
    Nathan Ngoy
    3
  • 4
    Belgium
    Maxim De Cuyper
    3
  • 5
    Senegal
    Pape Gueye
    3

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01
Courtois
05
De Cuyper
04
Mechele
25
Ngoy
15
Meunier
08
Tielemans
23
Raskin
10
Trossard
07
De Bruyne
11
Doku
17
De Ketelaere
11
Jackson
10
Mané
08
Camara
18
Sarr
26
Gueye
05
Gueye
25
Hadji Malick Diouf
19
Niakhaté
03
Koulibaly
15
Diatta
16
Mendy

League Standings table is not available yet.

Belgium and Senegal lock horns in an intriguing Round of 32 showdown at the 2026 World Cup. The high-stakes knockout match will take place on Wednesday 1st July at Seattle Stadium, Washington, with kick-off set for 9pm (UK time).

The Red Devils topped Group G despite a slow start to their campaign. After grinding out tense stalemates against Egypt and Iran, Belgium finally clicked into gear in their final group fixture, dismantling New Zealand with a ruthless 5-1 performance to find their tournament rhythm just in time.

Senegal punched above their weight as one of the best third-placed finishers, navigating their way through a brutally difficult Group I. While the Lions of Teranga proved they can be devastating on their day by putting five unanswered goals past Iraq, defensive vulnerabilities were exposed in losses to France and Norway.

Bet365 UK Belgium VS Senegal
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Belgium vs Senegal predictions & betting tips

Our PredictionOdds & BookmakerConfidenceWhy We’re Backing It
Draw12/5 @ Betfred
(29.3%)
⭐⭐⭐A stalemate inside 90 minutes is highly likely given how evenly these two teams match up. Before their big wins on the final day, Belgium struggled to find a breakthrough, grinding out a 1-1 draw with Egypt and a goalless draw against Iran. Ultimately, this Belgian team continually underwhelms when the pressure is on, while Senegal have clear weaknesses at the back that make them vulnerable. With neither side showing the consistency or complete quality needed to dominate the match, neither one is likely to have enough to win it within normal time.
Youri Tielemans over 0.5 shots on target6/4 @ 10Bet
(40%)
⭐⭐⭐⭐The Aston Villa midfielder is a constant long-range threat and has a clear licence to shoot from distance in this Belgian setup. Tielemans registered at least one shot in all three group-stage matches, notably hitting the target in the 0-0 draw against Iran. With Senegal expected to drop deep and defend in a low block to protect their fragile defense, spaces will open up for Tielemans to arrive late at the edge of the box. Given his elite ball-striking ability and Senegal’s tendency to give away cheap fouls around the penalty area, he is a very strong option to test the keeper at least once from midfield.

Odds correct at time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.

How both teams head into Belgium vs Senegal

Belgium

The Red Devils started their Group G campaign in unconvincing fashion, struggling to break down disciplined defensive units. Rudi Garcia’s side lacked a clinical edge on matchday one, grinding out a frustrating 1-1 draw against Egypt. They followed that up with another turgid performance in a scoreless 0-0 stalemate with Iran. Flirting with an early exit on the final day, the pressure was immense, but Belgium finally found their rhythm when it mattered most.

They responded with a devastating attacking performance against New Zealand to close out the group. The Red Devils completely overwhelmed the Kiwis, executing a ruthless, high-tempo game plan to secure a commanding 5-1 victory. By finding their groove just in time, they became the first European nation in 36 years to top a World Cup group after failing to win their opening two matches.

The primary asset for this Belgian squad remains their veteran core. With Kevin De Bruyne pulling the strings in midfield and Romelu Lukaku able to spearhead the front line, they still possess enough quality to dismantle teams in the blink of an eye. If they can replicate the fluid, transition-heavy style that tore New Zealand apart, their superior technical quality should suit the tempo of knockout football.

Senegal

Senegal advanced to the knockout stage by navigating an absolute gauntlet in Group I, squeezing through as one of the tournament’s best third-placed finishers. Under the guidance of coach Pape Thiaw, the Lions of Teranga experienced a rollercoaster group stage, opening with a tough 3-1 defeat to tournament heavyweights France. Their defensive vulnerabilities were exposed once more in a chaotic 3-2 loss to a relentless Norway side. Left with zero room for error in their final group fixture, Senegal delivered when their backs were against the wall.

Facing Iraq in a must-win encounter, they unleashed an explosive, five-star performance to keep their World Cup dream alive. Habib Diarra opened the scoring just four minutes in before a second-half onslaught – featuring a brace from Pape Gueye and strikes from Ismaila Sarr and Iliman Ndiaye – routed Iraq 5-0 to book a ticket to the Round of 32.

The undisputed strength of the African champions lies in their lightning-fast transition speed and immense physical presence. Led by the evergreen Sadio Mane, Senegal’s forward line has the raw pace and athleticism to terrify any backline on the counter-attack. However, their defensive frailties remain a massive area of concern. Having conceded six goals across their first two matches, Thiaw’s men must heavily tighten up or a single lapse in concentration against Belgium’s individual talent could prove fatal.

Belgium team news

Rudi Garcia faces a big selection decision upfront as Romelu Lukaku pushes for a start following his goal and assist off the bench against New Zealand. The striker has been managing a hamstring injury and started the second group match against Iran, but he remains behind Charles De Ketelaere for selection.

Centre back Nathan Ngoy is expected to return to partner Brandon Mechele after serving a one-match suspension against New Zealand. The defender had firmly established himself as a trusted starter before his red card, starting every international fixture he was available for leading up to and during the tournament.

Senegal team news

Pape Thiaw is definitely without first-choice goalkeeper Edouard Mendy, who was ruled out after sustaining a serious knee injury against Norway on matchday two. Mory Diaw will deputise between the posts once again after keeping a clean sheet in the 5-0 win over Iraq.

Captain Kalidou Koulibaly will anchor the backline alongside Moussa Niakhate, while Ismail Jakobs is set to continue at left-back. In midfield, Pape Matar Sarr and Lamine Camara are expected to retain their places to provide energy against Belgium’s technical core. In attack, Sadio Mane will lead the line alongside Ismaila Sarr and Nicolas Jackson, with Habib Diarra also pushing for selection after scoring early in the final group game.

Head-to-Head

This Round of 32 clash will be the first-ever meeting between Belgium and Senegal.

Who will progress to the last 16?

Belgium’s aging golden generation has looked entirely sluggish, with their tournament so far fitting the exact underwhelming trend of previous years. Meanwhile, a highly physical Senegal side brings rawness and speed, but the Lions of Teranga remain heavily plagued by a fragile defensive line that can collapse under sustained pressure.

We are backing the match to end in a Draw (inside 90 mins) at 12/5 with Betfred. Neither side has shown the complete consistency or defensive security required to dominate, making a tightly contested stalemate within normal time a highly likely outcome.

We also like the value on Youri Tielemans to record over 0.5 shots on target at 6/4 with 10Bet. Senegal are expected to defend in a deep block to shield their vulnerable backline, which will inevitably open up space for the Aston Villa midfielder to test the keeper with his superb long-range ball-striking.

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