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Squawka / News / World Cup / Brazil vs Japan: Predictions, best bets, stats and odds

Brazil vs Japan: Predictions, best bets, stats and odds

29 Jun · 18:00 NRG Stadium · FIFA World Cup

No previous meetings between these teams.

Goals
  • 1
    Brazil
    Vinícius Júnior
    4
  • 2
    Brazil
    Matheus Cunha
    3
  • 3
    Japan
    Ayase Ueda
    2
  • 4
    Japan
    Daichi Kamada
    2
  • 5
    Japan
    Daizen Maeda
    1
Shots
  • 1
    Brazil
    Vinícius Júnior
    12
  • 2
    Japan
    Ayase Ueda
    7
  • 3
    Brazil
    Matheus Cunha
    7
  • 4
    Japan
    Keito Nakamura
    5
  • 5
    Brazil
    Raphinha
    3
Tackles Won
  • 1
    Brazil
    Douglas Santos
    7
  • 2
    Japan
    Ao Tanaka
    5
  • 3
    Brazil
    Casemiro
    4
  • 4
    Brazil
    Bruno Guimarães
    4
  • 5
    Japan
    Keito Nakamura
    3
Assists
  • 1
    Brazil
    Bruno Guimarães
    3
  • 2
    Japan
    Takefusa Kubo
    1
  • 3
    Japan
    Kaishu Sano
    1
  • 4
    Japan
    Ko Itakura
    1
  • 5
    Japan
    Ritsu Doan
    1
Chances Created
  • 1
    Brazil
    Lucas Paquetá
    7
  • 2
    Brazil
    Bruno Guimarães
    5
  • 3
    Brazil
    Vinícius Júnior
    5
  • 4
    Brazil
    Rayan
    5
  • 5
    Japan
    Keito Nakamura
    4
Passes Completed
  • 1
    Brazil
    Gabriel Magalhães
    252
  • 2
    Brazil
    Marquinhos
    240
  • 3
    Brazil
    Danilo
    142
  • 4
    Japan
    Ao Tanaka
    140
  • 5
    Japan
    Hiroki Ito
    139
Take Ons Completed
  • 1
    Brazil
    Vinícius Júnior
    7
  • 2
    Japan
    Keito Nakamura
    5
  • 3
    Japan
    Ao Tanaka
    3
  • 4
    Brazil
    Lucas Paquetá
    3
  • 5
    Brazil
    Bruno Guimarães
    2
Interceptions
  • 1
    Brazil
    Lucas Paquetá
    5
  • 2
    Brazil
    Casemiro
    4
  • 3
    Brazil
    Danilo
    4
  • 4
    Japan
    Kaishu Sano
    3
  • 5
    Brazil
    Douglas Santos
    3

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01
Becker
16
Santos
03
Magalhães
04
Marquinhos
13
Danilo
20
Paquetá
05
Casemiro
08
Guimarães
07
Júnior
09
Cunha
26
Rayan
18
Ueda
11
Maeda
14
Ito
13
Nakamura
15
Kamada
24
Sano
10
Doan
21
Ito
03
Taniguchi
20
Seko
01
Suzuki

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Brazil and Japan lock horns in Houston on Monday 29th June (6pm UK time) in the last-32 of the 2026 World Cup.

Both countries head into the knockout stages unbeaten at the tournament, with Brazil claiming seven points en-route to topping Group C, while Japan collected five points in a runners-up finish to the Netherlands in Group F.

The winner of this match will go on to play either the Ivory Coast or Norway in the last-16.

Read on for our best Brazil vs Japan predictions and betting tips ahead of what promises to be a cracking clash between two form teams.

Bet365 UK Brazil VS Japan
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Brazil vs Japan predictions & betting tips

Our PredictionOdds & BookmakerConfidenceWhy We’re Backing It
Vinicius Jr over 2.5 shots on target7/2 @ Sky Bet
(32.2%)
⭐⭐⭐Vinicius Jr has been on fire this tournament, scoring five goals and registering an assist. He’s racked up 12 shots across those three games, eight of which have been on target, and given his form I fully expect Brazil’s star man to go on and have another busy night in-and-around the penalty area
Matheus Cunha to score anytime9/4 @ Sky Bet
(30.8%)
⭐⭐Matheus Cunha has grabbed his opportunity with both hands since he was given the nod to start in Brazil’s second game. He scored a brace in that match against Haiti, then backed it up with a goal against Scotland. Strike while the iron is hot as they say!

Odds correct at time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.

How both teams head into Brazil vs Japan

Brazil

Brazil stuttered out of the blocks in a 1-1 draw against Morocco as a Vinicius Jr strike cancelled out a goal from Ismael Saibari as the five-time winners avoided defeat in their first game of a World Cup for the first time since 1934, extending this unbeaten streak to 21 tournaments.

Brazil then ran out 3-0 winners over Haiti thanks to a brace from Matheus Cunha and another goal from Vinicius Jr, all of which came in the first-half.

Carlo Ancelotti’s troops then backed this up with another 3-0 victory over Scotland, with Vinicius Jr adding two more goals to his now five goal tally, while Cunha was again on the scoresheet.

Japan

Japan began their tournament with an exciting 2-2 draw against the Netherlands, during which they twice went behind but equalised through Keito Nakamura, then Daichi Kamada with two minutes remaining.

Samurai Blue then proceeded to thump Tunisia 4-0, courtesy of goals from Daichi Kamada, Ayase Ueda (two), and Junya Ito, without letting their opponents have a single shot on target.

Japan then drew 1-1 with Sweden meaning they missed out on top spot in Group F, but did enough to secure second place with five points, as they reached the knockout stages for the fourth time in the last six editions. Their next task is to go on and win a knockout match for the first time, having exited the last-16 on each occasion.

Brazil team news

Brazil are rolling along nicely following back-to-back 3-0 wins. The decision to bring in Matheus Cunha for Igor Thiago has worked wonders with the Manchester United player scoring three goals in his last two games.

Raphinha missed the Scotland win due to a hamstring injury, so, unless he recovers in time Carlo Ancelotti is likely to stick with the same starting 11 for the Japan clash, which would mean another start for Bournemouth’s Rayan.

Japan team news

Japan have a slight injury concern ahead of the battle with Brazil after centre-back Ko Itakura was forced off before half-time during the draw with Sweden. His withdrawal casts doubt over his availability, but with the game fast-approaching on Monday, the defender will hope to have made a quick recovery.

Barring any late fitness issues, Hajime Moriyasu is expected to keep faith with the side that started against Sweden. Japan have looked well organised throughout the tournament, and the manager is unlikely to make any risks as his side go in search of an historic win.

Head-to-Head

brazil have dominated this head-to-head winning 11 of the 14 matches, and losing just once. The only World Cup meeting came back in 2006 when Brazil ran out 4-1 winners.

Japan can, however, take confidence from a nine game unbeaten run, which includes a 3-2 friendly victory over Brazil back in October, during which they fought back from two goals down thanks to Takumi Minamino, Keito Nakamura, and Ayase Ueda.

Will Brazil continue their surge, or can Japan make history?

Brazil appear to be finding their rhythm at exactly the right time. Back-to-back victories over Haiti and Scotland showcased their attacking firepower, although their toughest test of the group stage ended in a 1-1 draw against Morocco; during which they were perhaps fortunate to get a point.

Standing in their way are an in-form Japan side with history in their sights. The Samurai Blue are still searching for their first-ever World Cup knockout victory, but after going unbeaten in the group stages and previously claiming friendly wins over both Brazil and England, they will feel they have every chance of carving out an upset.

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