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Squawka / News / World Cup / Tunisia vs Netherlands: predictions, best bets, stats and odds

Tunisia vs Netherlands: predictions, best bets, stats and odds

26 Jun · 00:00 Arrowhead Stadium · FIFA World Cup

No previous meetings between these teams.

Goals
  • 1
    Netherlands
    Crysencio Summerville
    2
  • 2
    Netherlands
    Brian Brobbey
    2
  • 3
    Netherlands
    Cody Gakpo
    2
  • 4
    Tunisia
    Omar Rekik
    1
  • 5
    Netherlands
    Virgil van Dijk
    1
Shots
  • 1
    Netherlands
    Cody Gakpo
    7
  • 2
    Netherlands
    Teun Koopmeiners
    2
  • 3
    Netherlands
    Donyell Malen
    2
  • 4
    Netherlands
    Crysencio Summerville
    2
  • 5
    Netherlands
    Brian Brobbey
    2
Tackles Won
  • 1
    Tunisia
    Mohamed Amine Ben Hmida
    6
  • 2
    Tunisia
    Ali Abdi
    6
  • 3
    Netherlands
    Denzel Dumfries
    4
  • 4
    Netherlands
    Frenkie de Jong
    4
  • 5
    Tunisia
    Hannibal Mejbri
    3
Assists
  • 1
    Netherlands
    Denzel Dumfries
    2
  • 2
    Netherlands
    Ryan Gravenberch
    2
  • 3
    Netherlands
    Crysencio Summerville
    1
  • 4
    Netherlands
    Cody Gakpo
    1
  • 5
    Tunisia
    Hannibal Mejbri
    1
Chances Created
  • 1
    Netherlands
    Denzel Dumfries
    4
  • 2
    Tunisia
    Hannibal Mejbri
    3
  • 3
    Netherlands
    Tijjani Reijnders
    2
  • 4
    Netherlands
    Ryan Gravenberch
    2
  • 5
    Netherlands
    Brian Brobbey
    2
Passes Completed
  • 1
    Netherlands
    Virgil van Dijk
    170
  • 2
    Netherlands
    Jan Paul van Hecke
    158
  • 3
    Netherlands
    Frenkie de Jong
    120
  • 4
    Tunisia
    Montassar Talbi
    83
  • 5
    Netherlands
    Micky van de Ven
    82
Take Ons Completed
  • 1
    Tunisia
    Yan Valery
    4
  • 2
    Netherlands
    Cody Gakpo
    3
  • 3
    Netherlands
    Ryan Gravenberch
    2
  • 4
    Netherlands
    Donyell Malen
    2
  • 5
    Netherlands
    Crysencio Summerville
    2
Interceptions
  • 1
    Tunisia
    Montassar Talbi
    4
  • 2
    Tunisia
    Omar Rekik
    3
  • 3
    Netherlands
    Ryan Gravenberch
    3
  • 4
    Tunisia
    Ali Abdi
    3
  • 5
    Netherlands
    Frenkie de Jong
    3

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16
Dahmen
04
Rekik
03
Talbi
06
Bronn
02
Abdi
17
Skhiri
25
Ben Slimane
20
Valery
10
Mejbri
08
Saad
26
Tounekti
11
Gakpo
19
Brobbey
18
Malen
14
Reijnders
21
de Jong
08
Gravenberch
15
van de Ven
04
van Dijk
06
Paul van Hecke
22
Dumfries
01
Verbruggen

League Standings table is not available yet.

Netherlands look to seal top spot in Group F when they face already-eliminated Tunisia at the 2026 World Cup on Friday. Kick-off is scheduled for midnight (UK time) on Friday 26th June at Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City.

The Dutch sit top of Group F on four points, separated from Japan only by goals scored, after their ruthless 5-1 dismantling of Sweden on matchday two. Ronald Koeman’s side need a positive result to guarantee first place and control their knockout trajectory. Tunisia’s Carthage Eagles are already eliminated following consecutive heavy defeats to Sweden and Japan.

Tunisia vs Netherlands predictions & betting tips

Our PredictionOdds & BookmakerConfidenceWhy We’re Backing It
Cody Gakpo to score anytime1/1 @ Sky Bet
(50%)
⭐⭐⭐⭐Gakpo scored twice against Sweden and has now netted in both of the Netherlands’ group games. The Liverpool forward operates centrally and makes intelligent runs in behind, combining effectively with Brian Brobbey to devastating effect. Tunisia failed to register a single shot on target against Japan and conceded nine goals across their two group matches. Against a defence this vulnerable, Gakpo’s movement and finishing quality make him the standout anytime scorer selection in Kansas City.
Netherlands to win and over 3.5 goals13/10 @ Ladbrokes
(43.5%)
⭐⭐The Netherlands have scored at least two goals in eight of their last 11 fixtures, and six of their last seven competitive games have generated at least four goals. Tunisia have conceded at least four in each of their last three matches and carry no threat going forward after failing to score in 90 minutes against Japan. Koeman will want a big win to overtake Japan on goals scored and confirm top spot. A comfortable Dutch victory with plenty of goals reflects the likely shape of this fixture.

Odds correct at time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.

How both teams head into Tunisia vs Netherlands

Tunisia

Tunisia arrive in Kansas City having endured one of the most turbulent group-stage campaigns at any World Cup. Tunisia’s decision-makers hit the panic button within 24 hours of the 5-1 opening-day loss to Sweden, sacking Sabri Lamouchi and appointing Hervé Renard as head coach. The experienced Frenchman accepted the challenge of coaching at his third consecutive World Cup, but found no immediate solution

Renard made three alterations for the Japan fixture, including a goalkeeper change, but there were no signs of improvement as the Carthage Eagles lost 4-0 without registering a single shot on target. Tunisia’s usual defensive discipline and organisation deserted them entirely across both group games. Nine goals conceded and one scored tells a damning story.

Tunisia’s captain Ellyes Skhiri issued a public apology to fans following the elimination. The Eintracht Frankfurt midfielder remains their most important player and will look to restore some personal pride in Kansas City. Hannibal Mejbri carries the creative burden from midfield, while Elias Achouri provides the attacking threat from wide areas. For Renard, Friday represents an opportunity to lay foundations for the future rather than fight for anything in the present.

Netherlands

The Netherlands were nothing short of ruthless in their 5-1 demolition of Sweden on matchday two. Ronald Koeman’s side picked up their first win of the 2026 World Cup in emphatic style. Brian Brobbey scored twice on his World Cup debut, with Cody Gakpo also bagging a brace. The Dutch look in ominous form heading into Kansas City.

The Netherlands currently sit top of Group F, but only on goals scored. They share the same points, goal difference and head-to-head record with Japan, with seven goals scored compared to Japan’s six. A big win in Kansas City could be the difference between finishing first and second in the group. Koeman will not settle for a comfortable performance – he wants a statement.

The Dutch are unbeaten in their last 14 competitive matches. Their squad boasts Premier League quality across every position, and the partnership between Gakpo and Brobbey has quickly become the most dangerous attacking combination in Group F. Tunisia offer the perfect opportunity to sharpen their cutting edge ahead of the knockout rounds.

Tunisia team news

Renard made three changes for the Japan fixture and must now consider further adjustments as he seeks to avoid another heavy defeat.

One of Dylan Bronn, Omar Rekik and Montassar Talbi could drop from central defence. Yan Valery and Ali Abdi maintain their spots at full-back. Burnley’s Hannibal Mejbri takes up the creative midfield role with Ellyes Skhiri providing defensive cover behind him. Anis Ben Slimane, who put in a decent shift against Japan, is expected to continue alongside them.

Aymen Dahmen keeps his place in goal after replacing Mouhib Chamakh for the Japan game. Sebastian Tounekti leads the attack, with Elias Saad operating in support. Renard has the freedom to experiment with his squad in Kansas City and may give fringe players the chance to stake a claim for future international involvement.

Netherlands team news

Quinten Timber missed the Sweden game through concussion and the Netherlands will look to welcome him back in Kansas City. His return from the bench or from the start would add further creative quality to an already dangerous Dutch midfield

Brian Brobbey carries a knock from the Sweden game but should start if fit. Frenkie de Jong’s composure in midfield has been a stabilising force throughout the tournament and he continues alongside Tijjani Reijnders and Ryan Gravenberch.

Crysencio Summerville pushes for a recall after scoring his second goal in as many games against Sweden. He offers Koeman a potent option from wide areas. Virgil van Dijk leads the defence and continues his role as the Dutch defensive anchor. Donyell Malen and Gakpo are the likely starters beside Brobbey in attack, though Summerville battles hard to force his way back into the XI.

Head-to-Head

There have been two previous meetings between these two nations, with Tunisia failing to win either. The Dutch have never lost a World Cup match against an African nation, winning four and drawing one across their tournament history. Friday’s fixture in Kansas City carries no meaningful narrative for the head-to-head record – but for the Netherlands, every goal scored could prove decisive in the battle for Group F supremacy with Japan.

Will Netherlands find the win they need to top Group F?

Tunisia play only for pride in Kansas City. Their World Cup campaign ends in the early hours of Friday morning regardless of the final score. The Netherlands, by contrast, enter this fixture knowing a win could confirm top spot in Group F and hand them a potentially more favourable knockout draw.

We’re backing Cody Gakpo to add to his tournament tally in Kansas City. Evens with Sky Bet for Gakpo to score anytime reflects his outstanding form and the ease with which the Dutch should create chances against a Tunisia defence that has imploded across two group games.

For a combined play, the Netherlands to win and over 3.5 goals at 13/10 with Ladbrokes reflects Koeman’s side’s relentless attacking output and Tunisia’s inability to offer any defensive resistance at this tournament.

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