Real Oviedo welcome Deportivo Alavés in a fixture that could have huge implications at the foot of the La Liga table.
With Oviedo fighting at the foot of LaLiga and Alavés looking to keep clear of the drop zone, every point is precious. The sides face off at Estadio Carlos Tartiere, with kick-off set for Sunday at 6pm (UK time). After playing out a 1-1 draw earlier this season, both teams will be desperate to tilt the balance in their favour this time around.
Best Bets & Predictions
Based on the season’s stats and recent performances, here are our top betting recommendations for this match. We’re particularly confident in Alavés to take all three points, given their superior attacking output and Real Oviedo’s struggles at both ends of the pitch.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alavés to Win | 10/11 @ Bet365 (52.4%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | We are backing Alavés to win because they have scored 16 more goals than Oviedo, have a better expected goals tally, and Oviedo have the league’s worst goal difference. The confidence comes from Alavés’s more consistent attack and Oviedo’s poor home form. |
| Both Teams to Score: No | 1/1 @ Bet365 (50.0%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | There could be value here due to Oviedo’s struggles in attack (just 26 goals in 36 games) and their tendency to keep clean sheets despite heavy defeats elsewhere. This market offers a fair price given recent patterns. |
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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Season Form & Standings
Real Oviedo are rooted to the bottom of LaLiga (20th), with just six wins in 36. Alavés sit 16th, having pulled clear of the drop zone thanks to a more effective attack. Here’s how the table looks for these two:
| Team | Pos | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Oviedo | 20 | 36 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 26 | 56 | -30 | 29 |
| Deportivo Alavés | 16 | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 40 |
Potential Match-Winners
- Lucas Boyé (Alavés): The attack has been more potent for Alavés this season, and Boyé’s movement and finishing could prove crucial, especially against a defence that’s shipped 56 goals.
- Haissem Hassan (Oviedo): Likely to lead the line for the home side, Hassan will need to be clinical. Oviedo’s low scoring means any chance will be at a premium.
- Jon Guridi (Alavés): Regularly involved in build-up, Guridi’s passing and ability to break lines can unlock Oviedo’s back four.
- David Costas (Oviedo): At the heart of Oviedo’s defence, Costas’s leadership and tackling will be tested by Alavés’s more fluid front line.
Head-to-head: Last Meeting
There’s little recent history between the teams, with their last meeting ending 1-1 in January. Here’s the latest result:
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 04/01/26 | Alavés 1-1 Real Oviedo | LaLiga |
Conclusion: Will Alavés underline their superiority?
With Real Oviedo desperate for points but struggling at both ends of the pitch, and Alavés boasting a stronger attack and better discipline, the visitors look well placed to take the spoils. The stats suggest value in backing Alavés at 10/11 with Bet365 (52.4% implied probability) to claim a vital away win. Can Oviedo produce a much-needed upset, or will Alavés’s edge in both boxes prove decisive?
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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