Atletico Madrid look to cement their top-four La Liga credentials as they host Girona at the Estadio Wanda Metropolitano in a clash defined by contrasting fortunes and historical dominance.
Kick-off is set for 6pm (UK time) on Sunday 17 May, with Atletico riding a wave of strong form while Girona seek to avoid being dragged into the relegation conversation late in the campaign.
Best Bets & Predictions
Based on Atletico’s home strength and Girona’s defensive struggles, here are our top betting recommendations for this match. We’re particularly confident in backing the hosts due to their prolific attack and historic superiority in this fixture.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid to Win | 8/11 @ Betfair (57.9%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Atletico have won 7 of the last 11 head-to-heads and are unbeaten at home in this fixture. Their attack is firing with 60 goals this season, while Girona have conceded 53 and have just one win from their last six meetings. |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 8/11 @ Bet365 (57.9%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Five of the last six meetings have seen at least three goals, and Atletico average 1.67 goals per game at home. Girona’s leaky defence and Atletico’s attacking numbers (472 shots, 89 big chances created) suggest a high-scoring encounter. |
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
Bet £10 & Get £30 in Free Bets with Bet365
Not signed up to bet365 yet? Here's how to claim one of the best bookmaker welcome offers around...
- Open an account (here's a link)
- Make a qualifying deposit of between £5* and £10*
- Claim the offer to receive three times your deposit in 'Free Bets'.
- To release your 'Free Bets', place qualifying bets to the value of your qualifying deposit and allow those bets to settle.
- Your 'Free Bets' will become available shortly after your qualifying bets have settled
- To use your 'Free Bets', select 'Use bet credits' in the bet slip.
Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of qualifying bets. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply.
Season Form & Standings
Atletico Madrid have already secured Champions League qualification but still have the chance to leapfrog Villarreal into third place before the end of the season. Girona aren’t safe from relegation trouble yet, despite sitting three places above the bottom three.
| Team | Pos | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid | 4 | 36 | 20 | 6 | 10 | 60 | 39 | +21 | 66 |
| Girona | 15 | 36 | 9 | 13 | 14 | 38 | 53 | -15 | 40 |
Potential Match-Winners
- Alexander Sørloth (Atletico Madrid): Averaging over 2.5 shots per 90 and a key figure for breaking down deep defences.
- Nicolás González (Atletico Madrid): Among the most creative in this squad, contributing to Atletico’s impressive 38-assist total this term.
- Bryan Gil (Girona): Offers pace and dribbling, with a knack for drawing fouls in advanced areas—could be Girona’s spark for a counter.
- Cristian Portugués (Girona): Girona’s top attacking contributor, responsible for creating and finishing chances, and will be vital if the visitors are to trouble Atletico’s back line.
Head-to-Head: Last 6 Meetings
Atletico Madrid have dominated this fixture, winning five of the last six meetings against Girona, while the Catalan side have managed just a single draw in that run.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 17/12/25 | Girona 0-3 Atletico Madrid | La Liga |
| 09/03/25 | Girona 0-4 Atletico Madrid | La Liga |
| 29/10/24 | Atletico Madrid 3-0 Girona | La Liga |
| 12/04/24 | Atletico Madrid 3-1 Girona | La Liga |
| 04/11/23 | Girona 1-1 Atletico Madrid | La Liga |
| 21/05/23 | Atletico Madrid 2-0 Girona | La Liga |
Will Atletico Madrid’s firepower prove too much for Girona?
With Atletico boasting a formidable record both this season and in previous meetings with Girona, all signs point towards a home win. The hosts’ attacking depth and Girona’s defensive vulnerabilities make 8/11 @ Betfair (57.9%) for an Atletico victory look a solid pick for punters seeking value. Will Girona buck the trend, or is another statement win on the cards for Diego Simeone’s side?
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
Read more:
- Latest football news
- Football betting tips
- Best betting sites
- Best free bet offers
- Football accumulator tips
