Liverpool and Fulham square off at Anfield in the Premier League on Saturday at 5:30pm. Liverpool are clinging to fifth and a potential Champions League spot, but Fulham are only five points behind and have made a habit of bloodying the noses of the big boys at home. Find our match preview and best bets below.
Best Bets & Predictions
Liverpool’s defence has been ropey all year — 1.35 conceded per game, only nine clean sheets in 31. Fulham are even leakier, letting in 1.42 per match. The market expects goals, but I’m zagging with Under 2.5 Goals at 6/4 with Bet365 (40%). It’s a price play — the implied probability is 40%, but I make it closer to 50% given the shot conversion rates and how often these two have stuttered in front of goal when it matters.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why I’m Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 Goals | 6/4 @ BOYLESports (40%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Both sides average just over 1.35 goals conceded per game, but actual goals scored per shot on target are bang average (Fulham 37.4%, Liverpool 35.7%). The price is too big for what could easily be a scrappy, tense affair with both sides struggling for rhythm. |
| Harrison Reed to be Carded | 2/1 @ BOYLESports (33.3%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Fulham average 2.1 cards per game — Reed is at the heart of their midfield and picks up bookings regularly. Liverpool’s press will force fouls, and at 2/1 (33%), I rate his chances closer to 40% given Fulham’s 299 tackles in 31 games (9.6 per match). |
Odds correct at the time of writing.
How both teams go into Liverpool vs Fulham
Liverpool’s struggles have deepened after a 4-0 FA Cup defeat to Manchester City and a 2-0 first-leg loss to Paris Saint-Germain in the Champions League. Under Arne Slot, the Reds recorded their lowest Expected Goals of the season, a performance former defender Jamie Carragher described as “massively wrong.” Their Premier League form hasn’t improved either, with 10 losses since gameweek six, more than their nine wins, leaving them fifth with seven games to go.
A fifth-place finish is still enough for Champions League qualification, but Liverpool are just five points behind fourth-placed Aston Villa and only three ahead of Everton. They return to Anfield this weekend, where they have lost just once in 13 games, but face a tricky test against Fulham, against whom they are winless in their last three league meetings and have rarely gone longer without a victory.
Only four teams have accumulated more top-flight points than the Cottagers in the last six gameweeks (10), while only Bournemouth and Man United (both nine) have picked up more points from losing positions this calendar year than Marco Silva’s side (eight).
Sitting ninth in the Premier League table, Fulham are still harbouring aspirations of qualifying for Europe for the first time since 2011-12, as they are just two points behind the top seven and only five points behind this weekend’s opponents Liverpool in fifth with seven games remaining.
Fulham must improve their form on the road if they wish to climb the table; Silva’s men boast the fifth-best home record in the Premier League this season (29 points), but they rank 17th in the away form table after collecting 15 points from as many games, losing eight of those (W4 D3).
The Cottagers, who have won only two of their 32 league visits to Liverpool (D8 L22), may need to produce another strong second-half showing if they wish to prevail on Saturday, as no PL team this term has scored more goals in the last 20 minutes of matches than Fulham (18, level with Liverpool). Interestingly, the Merseysiders have conceded 18 goals in that period, two more than any other club.
Liverpool team news
Liverpool have several injury concerns with Alisson Becker, Wataru Endo, Conor Bradley and Giovanni Leoni all sidelined. Alexander Isak made his first appearance in over three months midweek after a broken leg and is available, though Hugo Ekitike is likely to start up front.
Mohamed Salah, unused against PSG, could return on the right, while Cody Gakpo also pushes for a starting spot. Florian Wirtz may be preferred on the left due to his creative output. Curtis Jones could start in midfield, and Jeremie Frimpong and Andrew Robertson may return at full-back, with Joe Gomez and Milos Kerkez dropping to the bench.
Fulham team news
Fulham have injury concerns with Kevin sidelined, while Calvin Bassey and Kenny Tete are doubts ahead of kickoff. Timothy Castagne and Issa Diop could step in at right-back and centre-back if needed, while Raul Jimenez hopes to return up front in place of Rodrigo Muniz.
Harry Wilson is set to continue on the right flank, having already contributed 16 goal involvements this season. Only four players in Fulham’s history, Clint Dempsey, Louis Saha, Dimitar Berbatov and Luis Boa Morte, have recorded more in a single campaign.
Season Form & Standings
Liverpool are fifth with 49 points from 31 games — that’s 1.58 per game. Fulham sit ninth on 44 points, so 1.42 per match. It’s a five-point gap, but only four places split them. Liverpool’s form is patchy (W14 D7 L10), and Fulham are on the up after a recent run (W13 D5 L13). For both, it’s about momentum — Liverpool can’t afford another slip if they want Europe, while Fulham are sniffing a late push for a top-seven finish.
| Team | Pos | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | 5th | 31 | 14 | 7 | 10 | 50 | 42 | +8 | 49 |
| Fulham | 9th | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 44 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Meetings
These two have met plenty in recent years, and the goals have flowed — the last three finished 2-2, 3-2, and 2-2. Liverpool edge the overall record, but Fulham have held their own at home.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 04/01/26 | Fulham 2-2 Liverpool | Premier League |
| 06/04/25 | Fulham 3-2 Liverpool | Premier League |
| 14/12/24 | Liverpool 2-2 Fulham | Premier League |
| 21/04/24 | Fulham 1-3 Liverpool | Premier League |
| 24/01/24 | Fulham 1-1 Liverpool | League Cup |
| 10/01/24 | Liverpool 2-1 Fulham | League Cup |
Can Fulham Frustrate Liverpool Again? Final Thoughts
This isn’t a match I’d want to be all-in on — both sides are unpredictable, and the odds on the main markets are tight. But the value sits with Under 2.5 Goals at 6/4 with Bet365. Both teams’ finishing is bang average, and the recent head-to-heads suggest goals, but the price has swung too far in that direction. For a player angle, Harrison Reed to be carded at 2/1 is worth a small play. Don’t go mad — this one could go either way, but the numbers say back the unders and look for a midfield battle.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
Read more:
- Latest football news
- Football betting tips
- Best betting sites
- Best free bet offers
- Football accumulator tips
