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Squawka / News / Arsenal vs Everton: predictions, stats, tips & odds

Arsenal vs Everton: predictions, stats, tips & odds

Arsenal welcome Everton to the Emirates Stadium in a clash that could prove pivotal in the Premier League title race.

The Gunners are riding high at the top, while Everton, though solidly mid-table, have often proven awkward visitors in recent head-to-heads. Kick-off is at 17:30 on Saturday 14 March. Below, we break down the best bets, key stats, and what to watch for as form and history collide in North London.

Best Bets & Predictions

Based on Arsenal’s formidable home record, their defensive strength, and Everton’s struggles to convert chances, here are our top betting recommendations for this match. We’re particularly confident in Over 2.5 Goals due to Arsenal’s attacking efficiency and Everton’s tendency to concede against top sides.

Our PredictionOdds & BookmakerConfidenceWhy We’re Backing It
Over 2.5 Goals10/11 @ Bet365
(52.4%)
⭐⭐⭐⭐We are backing Over 2.5 because Arsenal average just under 2 goals per game (59 in 30), and Everton’s defence has conceded 33 in 29. Arsenal have been efficient in attack (xG 54.71, 59 goals scored), while Everton’s xG also suggests they should be scoring more. Recent meetings have seen open contests, and both sides have attacking threats.
Both Teams to Score: Yes13/10 @ Matchbook
(43.5%)
⭐⭐⭐There could be value here due to Arsenal’s efficiency but also their occasional lapses—Everton have found the net in three of their last six against Arsenal, and their physicality causes problems. Arsenal have only failed to score once at home this season, and Everton are due some attacking regression given their xG underperformance.

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.

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Arsenal vs Everton match odds

How both teams head into Arsenal vs Everton

Arsenal is enjoying a strong 2025/26 Premier League season, currently leading the table with 67 points from 30 matches. Their impressive campaign has seen them secure 20 wins, 7 draws, and only 3 losses, demonstrating a significant improvement in consistency compared to previous seasons.

Striker Viktor Gyökeres has been instrumental in their success, leading the team’s scoring charts with 15 goals across all competitions, including 10 in the Premier League. Bukayo Saka and Gabriel Martinelli have also been key contributors to Arsenal’s attacking prowess. The team’s solid performance has positioned them as favourites for the Premier League title.

Everton is competing in their 72nd consecutive season in the top flight of English football. The Toffees currently sit in 8th position in the Premier League table, having accumulated 43 points from 29 matches. Their season record stands at 12 wins, 7 draws, and 10 losses.

Everton recently secured a crucial 2-0 home victory against Burnley on March 3, marking their first home win in three months and keeping their hopes for European football alive. Key goalscorers for the club this season include Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall and Thierno Barry, both of whom have netted 6 goals in the Premier League.

Arsenal team news

Arsenal faces Everton with some injury concerns. Leandro Trossard is doubtful after missing the Bayer Leverkusen match with a niggle, though a return later in March is possible. Bukayo Saka, who came off against Leverkusen, is expected to be available for the Everton fixture. Captain Martin Odegaard remains sidelined with a knee issue, targeting a return later in March. Mikel Merino is a long-term absentee with a fractured foot.

Everton team news

Everton faces Arsenal with a significant injury concern as Jack Grealish is sidelined. Grealish, on a season-long loan from Manchester City, suffered a stress fracture to his foot in January, which could keep him out for an extended period. Carlos Alcaraz is also making progress but is not yet back in full training.

Season Form & Standings

Arsenal have maintained their place at the summit, showing both defensive steel and attacking variety. Everton, meanwhile, sit just outside the European spots, mixing strong defensive showings with sporadic attacking output.

TeamPosPWDLGFGAGDPts
Arsenal13020735922+3767
Everton829127103433+143

Head-to-Head: Last 6 Meetings

Arsenal have had the better of recent meetings, but Everton have not made it easy, with two of the last six ending in draws and one in an Everton win.

DateScoreCompetition
20/12/25Everton 0-1 ArsenalPremier League
05/04/25Everton 1-1 ArsenalPremier League
14/12/24Arsenal 0-0 EvertonPremier League
19/05/24Arsenal 2-1 EvertonPremier League
17/09/23Everton 0-1 ArsenalPremier League
01/03/23Arsenal 4-0 EvertonPremier League

Will Arsenal break through Everton’s aerial wall?

Arsenal have combined the league’s most precise passing and dominant possession with defensive solidity and a spread of goals from all areas, making them deserved league leaders. Everton’s underperformance in front of goal and reliance on set-pieces and aerial strength could keep things close, but the Gunners’ track record at home, plus their edge in xG and clean sheets, suggests they hold a clear edge. The best value for punters may lie in Over 2.5 Goals at 10/11 (52.4%) with Bet365, reflecting both sides’ ability to create opportunities. Can Everton frustrate Arsenal’s title push, or will the Gunners’ balanced attack prove too much?

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.

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