Derby County welcome bottom-placed Sheffield Wednesday in a clash that pits one of the Championship’s steadiest attacks against a defence in crisis.
Derby are eyeing a late play-off push, while Wednesday’s season is unravelling at the foot of the table. Kick-off is set for Saturday at Pride Park, where the hosts look to build on both superior form and a dominant recent away win in this fixture.
Best Bets & Predictions
Based on Derby’s vastly superior goalscoring record and Wednesday’s ongoing defensive woes, our top betting recommendations are below. We’re particularly confident in the home win, but see value in goals markets too given the numbers behind both teams’ recent matches.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 Goals | 8/11 @ Bet365 (57.9%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Wednesday concede over 2 goals per game (71 in 35), while Derby average almost 1.5 scored. The last two meetings both saw at least 3 goals, and Derby’s attacking group spreads the threat. |
| Both Teams to Score: No | 4/7 @ Bet365 (63.6%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Wednesday have failed to score in 40% of games and Derby have kept clean sheets in 8 matches. The visitors have the league’s lowest output and rarely threaten away from home. |
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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Season Form & Standings
Derby County sit 8th with 14 wins from 35, scoring 52 and conceding 46. Their goal difference (+6) and 51 points put them in the play-off hunt. Sheffield Wednesday prop up the table in 24th with just 1 win, a staggering -50 goal difference, and only 21 goals scored all season. Their 3% win rate underlines their struggles at both ends.
| Team | Pos | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derby County | 8 | 35 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 52 | 46 | +6 | 51 |
| Sheffield Wednesday | 24 | 35 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 21 | 71 | -50 | -7 |
Potential Match-Winners
- Patrick Agyemang (Derby): 10 goals, 39.5% shot accuracy, 23 big chance involvements in 31 games. Consistently gets into scoring positions and creates chances for others.
- Carlton Morris (Derby): 10 goals in 20 appearances, averaging a goal every other game. His shot volume means he’s always a threat inside the box.
- Joseph Ward (Derby): 6 assists, 41 accurate crosses from set pieces, and a steady creative supply line from midfield.
- Jacob Zetterstrom (Derby): 83 saves and 6 clean sheets in 28 matches, giving Derby a safety net at the back.
Head-to-Head: Last 6 Meetings
Sheffield Wednesday hold a recent edge in this rivalry, but Derby have won the latest encounter convincingly. The last six meetings have seen both teams score a similar number of goals, with results swinging both ways.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 15/12/25 | Sheffield Wednesday 0-3 Derby County | Championship |
| 01/01/25 | Sheffield Wednesday 4-2 Derby County | Championship |
| 01/12/24 | Derby County 1-2 Sheffield Wednesday | Championship |
| 07/05/23 | Sheffield Wednesday 1-0 Derby County | League One |
| 03/12/22 | Derby County 0-0 Sheffield Wednesday | League One |
| 08/05/21 | Derby County 3-3 Sheffield Wednesday | Championship |
Conclusion: Can Derby Maintain Their Charge?
With Derby boasting a potent attack and Wednesday leaking goals at an alarming rate, it’s hard to look past a home win here. The Rams’ recent 3-0 success away to Wednesday and their drive for the play-offs set the stage for another strong showing. For punters, 2/9 @ Bet365 (81.8%) for the home win still represents one of the safest selections on the coupon this weekend.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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