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Squawka / News / Sheffield Wednesday vs Southampton: predictions, stats, tips & odds

Sheffield Wednesday vs Southampton: predictions, stats, tips & odds

Southampton travel to Hillsborough to face bottom side Sheffield Wednesday in a Championship fixture that looks, on paper, as one-sided as they come.

The Saints have claimed three wins in the last four head-to-head encounters and arrive with a top-seven standing, while the Owls have endured a torrid campaign at both ends of the pitch. Kick-off is set for 28 February 2026 at Hillsborough, and this contest has major implications for the race at both the top and bottom of the table.

Best Bets & Predictions

Based on comprehensive attacking and defensive stats, our top recommendations focus on a Southampton victory and player involvement in goals. We’re especially confident in the away win, given Southampton’s dominant form, goal output, and head-to-head record against Wednesday.

Our PredictionOdds & BookmakerConfidenceWhy We’re Backing It
Southampton to Win3/10 @ Bet365
(76.9%)
⭐⭐⭐⭐Southampton have won 3 of the last 4 meetings, scored 54 goals this season (2.0 per game), and face a Wednesday side with just 3% win rate and -48 goal difference. Odds reflect their clear superiority but could still be worth including in accas.
Both Teams To Score: No5/6 @ Bet365
(54.5%)
⭐⭐⭐Sheffield Wednesday average just 0.59 goals per game and have been blanked in 16 matches. Southampton keep clean sheets in nearly one quarter of fixtures, while Wednesday have failed to score in 5 of their last 7 home games.

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.


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Season Form & Standings

The gulf between these sides is stark. Southampton sit 7th with 50 points from 34 matches, boasting a +9 goal difference and a 38% win rate. In contrast, Sheffield Wednesday are rooted to the bottom, with just 1 win in 34 and a staggering -48 goal difference. Wednesday have managed only 20 goals while conceding 68, the worst record in the division.

TeamPosPWDLGFGAGDPts
Southampton7341311105445+950
Sheffield Wednesday243418252068-48-7

Potential Match-Winners

  • Cyle Larin (Southampton): 2 goals since his move to the club in January, key attacker for the Saints and goals could prove vital.
  • Leonardo Scienza (Southampton): 6 goals, 8 assists, and an 80.9% pass accuracy, making him a creative force behind Armstrong.
  • Finn Azaz (Southampton): 8 goals, 5 assists, and contributes with a 76.4% pass accuracy. Reliable for key passes and involvement in build-up play.

Head-to-Head: Last 4 Meetings

Southampton have the upper hand in recent meetings, winning the last four encounters and scoring 10 goals along the way.

DateScoreCompetition
08/11/25Southampton 3-1 Sheffield WednesdayChampionship
13/01/24Southampton 4-0 Sheffield WednesdayChampionship
04/08/23Sheffield Wednesday 1-2 SouthamptonChampionship
09/11/22Southampton 1-1 Sheffield Wednesday (6-5 pens)EFL Cup

Will Southampton cruise to victory?

Given Southampton’s scoring power, superior possession (57% vs 46%), and Wednesday’s defensive frailties, the table is set for another dominant Saints display. The value may be in pairing Southampton to win at 3/10 (76.9%) with Bet365 in an accumulator, or targeting a clean sheet with BTTS No at 5/6 (54.5%).

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.

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