Blackburn Rovers welcome Bristol City to Ewood Park on Tuesday, 24 February, for a Championship clash that could have major implications at both ends of the table.
Bristol City’s recent attacking form and a superior head-to-head record set the scene for a tense encounter, while Blackburn’s struggle for goals has them nervously looking over their shoulder. Kick-off is set for 19:45, with both sides desperate for points as the season enters its final third.
Best Bets & Predictions
Based on season-long attacking trends and recent head-to-head outcomes, here are our top betting recommendations for this match. We’re particularly confident in the value around Bristol City’s attacking edge, but also see reason to look at cards and the outright market for punters seeking value.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bristol City Draw No Bet | 5/4 @ Bet365 (44.4%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Bristol City have won 7 of the last 16 head-to-heads and are outperforming Blackburn in attack this season (45 goals vs 31). With Blackburn’s home struggles and lack of a standout scorer, backing City with draw cover looks a strong play. |
| Over 4.5 Cards | 9/4 @ Paddy Power (30.8%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Blackburn average over two bookings per game (69 yellows in 33), while Bristol’s faster attackers could draw fouls. This fixture often gets feisty with plenty at stake. |
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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Season Form & Standings
Bristol City’s stronger campaign is reflected in the standings, sitting 8 places and 9 points above Blackburn. Bristol’s superior attack (45 goals, 32 assists) and a positive goal difference highlight their edge, while Blackburn’s -10 goal difference and league-low scoring output underline why they are 20th. Both sides have conceded 41, but Bristol’s 11 clean sheets (vs Blackburn’s 9) show more defensive resilience.
| Team | Pos | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bristol City | 12 | 33 | 13 | 8 | 12 | 45 | 41 | 4 | 47 |
| Blackburn Rovers | 20 | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 41 | -10 | 38 |
Potential Match-Winners
- Delano Burgzorg (Bristol City): With an excellent 45.5% shot accuracy and 76.3% pass completion, the Dutch attacker is central to City’s creative and finishing threat.
- Scott Twine (Bristol City): 8 goals and 6 assists, featuring in every league game and frequently involved in build-up (73.7% pass accuracy). Twine’s ability to create and finish chances is key.
- Emil Riis Jakobsen (Bristol City): Also on 8 goals, the Danish striker brings a direct goal threat despite a lower shot accuracy (30.3%), often getting into dangerous areas.
- Blackburn’s Attack: No player has more than 4 goals, underlining the lack of a focal point up front. This collective approach has yet to deliver consistent results.
Head-to-Head: Last 6 Meetings
Blackburn Rovers have had the edge in this fixture, winning 3 of the last 6, with 2 wins for Bristol City and 1 draw. The most recent encounter saw Blackburn grab a rare away win, but the two have exchanged wins and losses in recent years.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 04/11/25 | Bristol City 0-1 Blackburn | Championship |
| 25/01/25 | Bristol City 2-1 Blackburn | Championship |
| 14/09/24 | Blackburn 3-0 Bristol City | Championship |
| 10/04/24 | Bristol City 5-0 Blackburn | Championship |
| 12/12/23 | Blackburn 2-1 Bristol City | Championship |
| 21/01/23 | Bristol City 1-1 Blackburn | Championship |
Will Bristol City’s firepower decide it? Final thoughts
Blackburn have home advantage, but the stats point to Bristol City’s superior cutting edge and more reliable defence—plus the added security of a draw no bet angle. With both teams capable of conceding, there’s value in the goals market too. Will Blackburn find a way to stifle City’s attacking trio, or will Mehmeti and Twine inspire another away triumph? Our pick: Bristol City Draw No Bet at 5/4 (44.4%) @ Bet365 looks a strong value play in a contest where the visitors’ extra quality should make the difference.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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