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Squawka / News / Real Madrid vs Sevilla: predictions, stats, tips & odds

Real Madrid vs Sevilla: predictions, stats, tips & odds

Real Madrid welcome Sevilla to the Estadio Santiago Bernabéu this Saturday, 20th December, for a clash that pits one of Spain’s most in-form attacks against a Sevilla side battling for consistency.

With Real Madrid riding high near the top of the table and a dominant head-to-head record in this fixture, all eyes will be on whether Sevilla can upset the odds and halt Madrid’s momentum in front of a packed home crowd.

Best Bets & Predictions

Based on Real Madrid’s prolific scoring, Sevilla’s defensive trends, and Kylian Mbappé’s red-hot form, here are our top betting recommendations. We’re particularly confident in a home win for Real Madrid, given their overwhelming head-to-head advantage and attacking output this season.

Our PredictionOdds & BookmakerConfidenceWhy We’re Backing It
Real Madrid to Win2/9 @ Bet365
(81.8%)
⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐Madrid have won 13 of the last 18 vs Sevilla; relentless home form.
Kylian Mbappé Anytime Scorer2/5 @ Bet365
(71.4%)
⭐⭐⭐⭐17 goals in 17 matches; outscoring xG by a huge margin.

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.

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Season Form & Standings

Real Madrid have surged to second in the table with an impressive 71% win rate and a +18 goal difference after 17 matches. Sevilla sit in mid-table, their season defined by inconsistency but flashes of attacking quality.

TeamPosPWDLGFGAGDPts
Real Madrid21712323416+1839
Sevilla9166282424020

Potential Match-Winners

  • Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid): 17 goals in 17 league matches (1.0 per game), 4 assists, 88% pass accuracy, 57% successful take-ons. Outperforming xG by 9.34 goals, a huge finishing edge.
  • Vinícius Júnior (Real Madrid): A key threat on the wing, his dribbling and movement open space for Mbappé and Rodrygo.
  • Alexis Sanchez (Sevilla): One of Sevilla’s brighter attacking sparks, capable of disrupting Madrid’s back line if given opportunities.
  • Odisseas Vlachodimos (Sevilla): With 47 saves this season, Sevilla’s keeper is sure to be busy; his shot-stopping will be tested by Madrid’s firepower.

Head-to-Head: Last 8 Meetings

Real Madrid have a commanding record in this fixture, winning 13 of the last 18 meetings. Sevilla have managed just three wins, all at home, and none away in this run. Goals are common, with Madrid netting 38 times in those matches. Below are the most recent encounters:

DateScoreCompetition
18/05/25Sevilla 0-2 Real MadridLa Liga
22/12/24Real Madrid 4-2 SevillaLa Liga
25/02/24Real Madrid 1-0 SevillaLa Liga
21/10/23Sevilla 1-1 Real MadridLa Liga
27/05/23Sevilla 1-2 Real MadridLa Liga
22/10/22Real Madrid 3-1 SevillaLa Liga
17/04/22Sevilla 2-3 Real MadridLa Liga
28/11/21Real Madrid 2-1 SevillaLa Liga

Conclusion

Will Real Madrid’s attacking juggernaut continue to roll, or can Sevilla spring a surprise at the Bernabéu? With Mbappé in unstoppable form and recent history firmly in Madrid’s favour, a home win looks highly likely. For those seeking value, consider Real Madrid to win at 2/9 (81.8%) or add Mbappé to score anytime to your slips for extra punch.

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.

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