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Squawka / News / France vs Ukraine: predictions, stats, tips & odds

France vs Ukraine: predictions, stats, tips & odds

France welcome Ukraine to the Parc des Princes on Thursday night in a UEFA World Cup Qualifier that could have a major impact at the top of Group A.

The hosts, currently unbeaten and leading the group, are looking to cement their dominance against a Ukrainian side who have struggled defensively but remain dangerous in attack. Kick-off is set for 13 November 2025, with both sides keen to make a statement as qualifying heats up.

Best Bets & Predictions

Based on France’s dominant possession game, defensive solidity, and Ukraine’s tendency to concede, our top recommendations focus on a home win and related markets. We’re particularly confident in France to win, given their statistical superiority and clean sheet record.

Our PredictionOdds & BookmakerConfidenceWhy We’re Backing It
France to Win1/6 @ Betfair
(85.7%)
⭐⭐⭐⭐France unbeaten, best defence in group, beat Ukraine 2-0 away.
Both Teams To Score – No8/13 @ Betfred
(61.9%)
⭐⭐⭐Ukraine failed to score in last H2H, France 2 clean sheets in 4.

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.

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Season Form & Standings

France top Group D and know that a win in this game will secure their passage to the World Cup. Ukraine sit in second place, three points behind France and will look for a positive result before their all-important decider against Iceland.

TeamPosPWDLGFGAGDPts
France1431093+610
Ukraine2421177+17

Potential Match-Winners

While neither team boasts a player among the tournament’s top scorers or assist leaders, France’s Kylian Mbappé, Hugo Ekitike and Christopher Nkunku headline a deep attacking pool that has generated 177 touches in the opposition box – over 44 per match. France’s creative playmakers average 15 big chances created, though their conversion rate remains only moderate (13 missed). For Ukraine, Viktor Tsyhankov and Artem Dovbyk are the main threats, with Ukraine splitting their eight goals across several players and boasting a 42.4% shot accuracy rate (ahead of France’s 39.7%).

Head-to-Head: Last Meeting

France have had the upper hand in recent meetings, winning the only group-stage match so far this campaign without conceding. Previous encounters have seen the teams share the points in their only two other competitive meetings.

DateScoreCompetition
05/09/25Ukraine 0-2 FranceUEFA World Cup Qualifiers
04/09/21Ukraine 1-1 FranceUEFA World Cup Qualifiers
24/03/21France 1-1 UkraineUEFA World Cup Qualifiers
07/10/20France 7-1 UkraineInternational Friendly

Conclusion

Will France’s control and defensive record see them extend their unbeaten run, or can Ukraine’s clinical touch in front of goal spring a surprise? The hosts look justified favourites, blending top-tier possession play with a knack for restricting opposition chances. Expect France to dominate, but as ever in qualifying, a clinical Ukraine attack can punish lapses. Our top pick remains France to win at 1/6 @ Betfair (85.7%).

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.

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