Jets vs Chiefs Prediction, Picks & Odds

New York rates 104.5 through the air and is 2-6. The Jets finish 42.3% of their red-zone trips, the lowest rate in the NFL, which is most of the explanation. Our Jets vs Chiefs prediction sends them to Arrowhead.

The Kansas City Chiefs run for 5.08 yards a carry, the best average in the league, and have conceded 12 touchdowns in seven games. The New York Jets have taken 64 penalties.

Squawka Signal · Model read

New York Jets @ Kansas City Chiefs

Week 9 · Sun Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET. Our Signal model makes the Kansas City Chiefs favourites by about 11 points, a 84% win probability.

New York JetsWin prob16%

Kansas City ChiefsWin prob84%

Projected lineKansas City Chiefs -11

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Squawka Signal is our model’s read, updated after every result — not betting advice. How the NFL Signal works. 19+ (18+ in AB/MB/QC). Please play responsibly. ConnexOntario: 1-866-531-2600 (ON). Full T&Cs & geo-restrictions apply: bet365.

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Week 9 · Editorial pick

Jets vs Chiefs: our editor’s props

Two editorial selections to sit with the live Signal read below.

AT

Our props

TotalUnder 44.5 pointsKansas City has given up 12 touchdowns in seven games and holds opponents to 38.9% in the red zone. New York finishes 42.3% of its own trips, the lowest rate going.

★★★☆☆3/5 confidence

Player propKenneth Walker III 70+ rushing yardsKansas City averages 5.08 a carry, the best in the league. New York gives up 3.96, so this is a real test.

★★★☆☆3/5 confidence

An editorial call, not a Signal model output. 19+ (18+ in AB, MB and QC). Please play responsibly.

Jets vs Chiefs: 2026 form so far

A 5-2 team against a 2-6 team that gets to the red zone and stops there. Every attacking figure here is shown against the defence that has to handle it.

Jets attack against the Chiefs defence

Chiefs attack against the Jets defence

Kansas City has conceded nine sacks in seven games and holds opponents to 38.9% in the red zone, both among the best marks in football.

Jets vs Chiefs quarterback matchup

Patrick Mahomes has 12 touchdown passes to four interceptions at 99.7 and threw three last week. Geno Smith has 12 to three at 104.5.

Jets vs Chiefs injury report and team news

New York finishes 42.3% of its red-zone trips, the lowest rate in the NFL.

Kansas City runs for 5.08 yards a carry, the highest average in the league.

New York has taken 64 penalties and conceded 23 sacks in eight games.

Injury report · Week 9Official game-status report — updates through the week

New York Jets

No game-status designations filed yet.

Out long-term

Tre BrownCBIR

Braiden McGregorDEIR

Kingsley JonathanDEIR

David OnyemataDLIR

Anez CooperGIR

Kiko MauigoaLBIR

Marcelino McCrary-BallLBIR

T’Vondre SweatNTIR

Chip TrayanumRBIR

VJ PayneSAFIR

Arian SmithWRIR

Tyler BaronDEPUP

Kansas City Chiefs

No game-status designations filed yet.

Out long-term

L’Jarius SneedCBIR

Omarr Norman-LottDTIR

Ethan DownsLBIR

Brashard SmithRBIR

Josh SimmonsTIR

John Michael GyllenborgTEIR

Jeff CaldwellWRIR

Jimmy HolidayWRIR

Tyquan ThorntonWRIR

A 104.5 passer rating, and a 2-6 record

A 104.5 team passer rating and 1,719 passing yards have produced two wins. The red zone is where the season goes: 42.3% converted is the worst rate in football.

Sixty-four penalties and 23 sacks conceded fill in the rest of it.

Kansas City is built to punish that. It runs for 5.08 a carry, has given up 12 touchdowns in seven games and holds opponents to 38.9% inside the 20.

Players to watch

• Patrick Mahomes (KC, QB): 1,795 yards and 12 scores at a 99.7 rating.
• Kenneth Walker III (KC, RB): Fronts the best rushing average going at 5.08.
• Geno Smith (NYJ, QB): Twelve touchdown passes to three interceptions at 104.5.
• Garrett Wilson (NYJ, WR): First read in a passing game worth 1,719 yards.

How to watch Jets vs Chiefs in Canada

Kickoff is 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, November 8 at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City. CTV carries one Sunday afternoon game per region and the selection is local, so confirm it in your own listings. The French-language broadcast is on RDS. DAZN carries every game of the season in Canada through NFL Game Pass. Squawka may earn a commission if you subscribe through that link.

Jets vs Chiefs prediction and score projection

Our Jets vs Chiefs prediction is Kansas City by 30-13. The Jets move the ball, but a team finishing 42.3% of its red-zone trips does not win at Arrowhead.

Signal’s live read on this game updates through the week.

Every Week 9 game, previewed

You can find the other games on our NFL hub, with Signal’s read on all of Week 9 alongside them. Both sit in the same conference, which makes the AFC Championship odds the market to watch here; the NFC Championship odds are tracked on the same page.

Jets vs Chiefs FAQ

19+ (18+ in AB, MB and QC) | Please play responsibly | ConnexOntario: 1-866-531-2600 (ON) | Signal probabilities approximate at time of writing and subject to change