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Cowboys vs Colts Prediction, Picks & Odds

Dallas Cowboys vs Indianapolis Colts prediction, picks and odds for Week 9 of the 2026 NFL season

Dallas has scored 25 touchdowns and conceded 25. It allows 51.4% on third down, the worst rate in the NFL, and has given up 1,222 rushing yards — also the most. Our Cowboys vs Colts prediction expects a shootout.

The Indianapolis Colts rate 68.9 through the air, the joint-lowest figure in the league, and Daniel Jones has five touchdown passes to nine interceptions. The Dallas Cowboys are 3-5.

Squawka Signal · Model read

Dallas Cowboys @ Indianapolis Colts

Week 9 · Sun Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET. Our Signal model makes the Dallas Cowboys favourites by about 1 point, a 55% win probability.

DALDallas CowboysWin prob55%
INDIndianapolis ColtsWin prob45%
Projected lineDallas Cowboys -1

Squawka Signal is our model’s read, updated after every result — not betting advice. How the NFL Signal works. 19+ (18+ in AB/MB/QC). Please play responsibly. ConnexOntario: 1-866-531-2600 (ON). Full T&Cs & geo-restrictions apply: bet365.

Week 9 · Editorial pick

Cowboys vs Colts: our editor’s props

Two editorial selections to sit with the live Signal read below.

Cowboys AT Colts

Our props

Player propJonathan Taylor 85+ rushing yardsDallas has given up 1,222 rushing yards, more than anyone, at 5.03 a carry. Running it is the one thing Indianapolis does well.
★★★★☆4/5 confidence
TotalOver 47.5 pointsDallas allows 51.4% on third down and has conceded 25 touchdowns. Indianapolis has given up 24 of its own.
★★★☆☆3/5 confidence

An editorial call, not a Signal model output. 19+ (18+ in AB, MB and QC). Please play responsibly.

Cowboys vs Colts: 2026 form so far

Two teams below .500, each broken at a different end of the field. The table pairs every attacking number with the defensive number sitting opposite it.

Cowboys attack against the Colts defence

Per gameCowboys offenceColts allow
Passing yards247.9211.8
Rushing yards94.1131.8
Yards per carry3.84.9
Passer rating93.2102.6
Touchdowns3.13.0
Third-down conversion47.5%32.6%
Red-zone conversion71.9%61.9%
Sacks conceded / recorded1.42.0

Colts attack against the Cowboys defence

Per gameColts offenceCowboys allow
Passing yards174.6232.6
Rushing yards116.5152.8
Yards per carry4.15.0
Passer rating68.9102.8
Touchdowns1.93.1
Third-down conversion38.5%51.4%
Red-zone conversion59.1%68.8%
Sacks conceded / recorded2.91.9

Indianapolis has conceded 23 sacks and 24 touchdowns. Dallas has given up 1,222 rushing yards, more than any team in the league.

Cowboys vs Colts quarterback matchup

Dak Prescott has 14 touchdown passes to five interceptions at 93.2. Daniel Jones has five to nine at 68.7, and the Colts rate 68.9 as a team.

TeamQuarterbackLast gameSeason to date
CowboysDak Prescott19/29, 195 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT, 96.2 rtg197/302, 2046 yds, 14 TD, 5 INT, 93.2 rtg (8 games)
ColtsDaniel Jones19/28, 144 yds, 1 TD, 2 INT, 62.2 rtg162/268, 1542 yds, 5 TD, 9 INT, 68.7 rtg (8 games)
Last game is Week 8. Season figures are 2026 to date, with games played in brackets.

Cowboys vs Colts injury report and team news

Dallas allows opponents to convert 51.4% on third down, the worst rate in the NFL.

Dallas has conceded 1,222 rushing yards, the most in the league, at 5.03 a carry.

Indianapolis rates 68.9 through the air, joint-lowest in the NFL with the Chargers.

Injury report · Week 9Official game-status report — updates through the week
DALDallas Cowboys
No game-status designations filed yet.
Out long-term
Devin MooreCBIR
Jonathan BullardDTIR
Kelvin GilliamDTIR
Matt HennessyOLIR
Marist LiufauOLBIR
Malik DavisRBIR
Jalen ThompsonSAFIR
Princeton FantTEIR
INDIndianapolis Colts
No game-status designations filed yet.
Out long-term
Cam Taylor-BrittCBIR
Cameron MitchellCBIR
Arden KeyDEIR
Micheal ClemonsDEIR
Carson TowtTEIR
Alec PierceWRIR
D.J. MontgomeryWRIR

The most rushing yards conceded in football, against a team that can run

One thousand two hundred and twenty-two rushing yards conceded is more than any team has given up, at 5.03 a carry — an average beaten only by Las Vegas. The 51.4% allowed on third down stands alone.

Indianapolis should be able to use that. Nine hundred and thirty-two rushing yards at 4.12 a carry is the single phase that functions for the Colts.

The passing game is where it falls apart. Jones has nine interceptions against five touchdowns, and only the Chargers match that 68.9 team rating.

Players to watch

  • Dak Prescott (DAL, QB): 2,046 yards and 14 scores at a 93.2 rating.
  • CeeDee Lamb (DAL, WR): First read in an attack finishing 71.9% of red-zone trips.
  • Jonathan Taylor (IND, RB): 932 on the ground at 4.12 a carry.
  • Tyler Warren (IND, TE): A central target in a passing game rating 68.9.

How to watch Cowboys vs Colts in Canada

Kickoff is 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, November 8 at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis. CTV’s Sunday afternoon pick varies by region, so your local listings decide whether this is the game you get. RDS carries the French-language broadcast. DAZN carries every game of the season in Canada through NFL Game Pass. Squawka may earn a commission if you subscribe through that link.

DetailCowboys vs Colts
DateSunday, November 8, 2026
Kickoff1:00 PM ET / 12:00 PM CT / 10:00 AM PT
VenueLucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, IN
TVCTV (regional) / TSN / RDS (French)
Live streamDAZN (NFL Game Pass)
WeekWeek 9, 2026 NFL season

Cowboys vs Colts prediction and score projection

Our Cowboys vs Colts prediction is Dallas by 26-20. The Cowboys give up too much to be safe, but the Colts have thrown nine interceptions and cannot trade scores.

Signal’s live read on this game updates through the week.

Every Week 9 game, previewed

Kickoff (ET)GameOur predictionPreview
Thu 9:15 PMJaguars @ RavensJaguars 27-20Read
Sun 10:30 AMBengals @ FalconsBengals 27-17Read
Sun 2:00 PMBrowns @ SaintsSaints 20-17Read
Sun 2:00 PMCowboys @ ColtsCowboys 26-20You are here
Sun 2:00 PMBroncos @ PanthersBroncos 26-16Read
Sun 2:00 PMLions @ DolphinsLions 30-17Read
Sun 2:00 PMRams @ CommandersRams 27-17Read
Sun 2:00 PMGiants @ EaglesGiants 20-17Read
Sun 2:00 PMJets @ ChiefsChiefs 30-13Read
Sun 5:05 PMTexans @ ChargersTexans 23-17Read
Sun 5:25 PMCardinals @ SeahawksSeahawks 30-16Read
Sun 5:25 PMPackers @ PatriotsPatriots 24-20Read
Sun 5:25 PMRaiders @ 49ers49ers 30-17Read
Sun 9:20 PMBuccaneers @ BearsBears 27-20Read
Mon 9:15 PMBills @ VikingsBills 27-24Read

You can find the other games on our NFL hub, with Signal’s read on all of Week 9 alongside them. The two conferences meet here, so neither the AFC Championship odds nor the NFC Championship odds tell the whole story on their own.

Cowboys vs Colts FAQ

Who is favoured, the Cowboys or the Colts?

Dallas, narrowly. Our Signal model has the Cowboys as slight favourites and the live number is in the Signal card on this page, despite the Colts playing at home.

What time is Cowboys vs Colts in Canada?

1:00 PM ET on Sunday, November 8, which is 12:00 PM CT and 10:00 AM PT, at Lucas Oil Stadium.

How can I watch Cowboys vs Colts in Canada?

CTV’s Sunday afternoon game is a regional pick, so check your local listings. RDS has the French call. DAZN carries every game of the season in Canada through NFL Game Pass.

Which team concedes the most rushing yards?

Dallas, with 1,222 — more than any team in the NFL.

19+ (18+ in AB, MB and QC) | Please play responsibly | ConnexOntario: 1-866-531-2600 (ON) | Signal probabilities approximate at time of writing and subject to change