Nashville SC and the New England Revolution renew their rivalry as the 2026 MLS season kicks off, with both sides eager to set the tone after contrasting fortunes last year.
The clash at Geodis Park sees a Nashville side buoyed by one of the league’s top attacks in 2025, taking on a New England team looking to bounce back from a disappointing campaign. With past meetings always tightly contested, this matchup could shape early-season momentum for both clubs.
Best Bets & Predictions
Based on last season’s attacking output and head-to-head trends, here are our top betting recommendations for this match. We’re particularly confident in Nashville SC to win at home, given their superior goal production and the edge shown in their recent meetings with New England.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Sportsbook | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nashville SC to Win | -110 @ Bet365 (52.4%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Backing because Nashville SC scored 61 goals last season, outpacing New England by a wide margin. |
| Both Teams to Score: Yes | +120 @ Bet365 (45.5%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Both sides conceded over 50 goals last season; 7-7 aggregate in last 8 H2Hs. |
| Samuel Surridge Anytime Goalscorer | +150 @ Bet365 (40.0%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Ranked third in MLS with 25 goals last year; New England’s defense is vulnerable. |
Our approach: Start with Nashville SC to win, add Both Teams to Score for parlay potential.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
Season Form & Standings
The 2025 MLS Regular Season saw Nashville SC finish in sixth place in the Eastern Conference, highlighted by a potent attack and a Playoff berth, while the Revs struggled, ending in 11th and missing the postseason. Nashville’s campaign included a respectable win percentage and a run to the Playoffs, reflecting their consistency across the year. Below are the final 2025 Eastern Conference standings that set the context for this opening fixture:
2025 MLS Eastern Conference Standings
| Team | Pos | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nashville SC | 6 | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 58 | 45 | +13 | 54 |
| New England | 11 | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 44 | 51 | -7 | 36 |
Potential Match-Winners
- Sam Surridge (Nashville SC): Third in MLS for goals scored last season (25 in 37 games; 0.68 per match). Notched a shot accuracy of 44.9%. Surridge is Nashville’s main goal threat and a likely difference-maker.
- Hany Mukhtar (Nashville SC): The creative engine with strong assist numbers in prior campaigns, regularly among the team’s leaders for chances created and set-piece involvement.
- Leonardo Campana (New England): One of New England’s most dynamic attackers, scoring seven goals in 24 appearances last season and with a proven track record in MLS.
- Carles Gil (New England): A consistent playmaker, often topping the team’s assist charts and responsible for linking play in midfield. A former MLS MVP.
All micro-stats above refer to the 2025 MLS season unless otherwise stated.
Head-to-Head: Last 8 Meetings
Neither side has gained a clear advantage in recent meetings, with both Nashville SC and New England winning two matches apiece and four draws in their last eight encounters. Goals have been scarce, but the contests are almost always tight.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 26, 2025 | New England 2-3 Nashville SC | MLS |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Nashville SC 0-0 New England | MLS |
| Sep 29, 2024 | New England 1-0 Nashville SC | MLS |
| Jun 2, 2024 | Nashville SC 1-2 New England | MLS |
| Oct 15, 2023 | Nashville SC 3-2 New England | MLS |
| Mar 18, 2023 | New England 0-0 Nashville SC | MLS |
| Aug 5, 2021 | New England 0-0 Nashville SC | MLS |
Nashville SC vs New England Revolution Prediction
Will Nashville SC’s attacking firepower — led by Sam Surridge — be enough to overcome New England’s resilience? Given last year’s numbers and the recent head-to-head record, Nashville look poised to take all three points at home. For bettors, Nashville SC to win at -110 with Bet365 (52.4% implied probability) is the standout pick in a fixture that rarely disappoints.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
More MLS stats and standings: MLS standings 2026 | Top scorers | Assist leaders | Full MLS stats hub