San Jose Earthquakes vs Orlando City: Predictions, Picks, Odds & Lineups

San Jose Earthquakes vs Orlando City brings Major League Soccer back from the World Cup break on Wednesday, July 22 at PayPal Park, with kick-off at 10:30 PM ET / 9:30 PM CT / 7:30 PM PT.

Our San Jose Earthquakes vs Orlando City prediction starts with a gap you can see from space. San Jose Earthquakes restart second in the Western Conference on 32 points; Orlando City return 13th in the East, marooned on 14 points with a goal difference of minus 21.

bet365 had not posted a price for this game at the time of writing, so we leaned on the prediction markets for its shape. Kalshi trades San Jose at 65% to win, with Orlando City out at 18% and the tie at 17%, which fits a strong home side against a defense that has been picked apart on the road. It also frames how we see our wider soccer predictions for the restart, and it leans on our bet365 review for the outside-US odds view.

San Jose Earthquakes vs Orlando City: Best Bets & Predictions

San Jose are strong home favorites on the restart, but Orlando City still carry a threat going forward, so this shapes up as a home win with goals at both ends.

Where are you following from? Odds & offers below update to match.

🇺🇸 United StatesTrade on Kalshi 🌎 Outside the USOdds via bet365

San Jose Earthquakes to WinTop pickSan Jose sit second in the Western Conference and restart at home to the leakiest defense in the East. The market makes them clear favorites at 65%.

65%win prob.Odds at bet365

Preston Judd to score anytimeJudd leads the line with 11 goals off 50 shots and a team-high 26 on target. Against an Orlando back line shipping goals, he is the value scorer.

52%chanceOdds at bet365

Both Teams to Score: YesOrlando have found the net in three straight and San Jose have conceded in nine games running, so the away side should get on the board here.

67%chanceOdds at bet365

Over 2.5 GoalsThis game screams goals. San Jose average better than two a game at home and Orlando cannot keep anyone out. The market has Over 2.5 at 72%.

72%chanceOdds at bet365

Correct Score: San Jose Earthquakes 3-1The natural scoreline for a Quakes home win that still lets Orlando score once, tying the result, the Over and both teams to score into one line.

10%chanceOdds at bet365

Our approach: anchor on San Jose to win, add Preston Judd anytime, and treat 3-1 as the scoreline that ties the card together.

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Season Form & Standings

Eighteen points and a 40-goal swing in goal difference separate these two in the MLS standings. San Jose Earthquakes hold the second-best record in the Western Conference, while Orlando City own the worst goal difference in the East.

Eastern Conference

Western Conference

Potential Match-Winners

• Preston Judd (San Jose Earthquakes): the focal point of the attack, with 11 goals from 50 shots and a team-high 26 efforts on target this season.
• Timo Werner (San Jose Earthquakes): four goals and three assists since arriving, and the man from the penalty spot with two converted.
• Martín Ojeda (Orlando City): level with Judd at the top of the MLS scoring charts on 11, and comfortably Orlando’s most reliable source of goals.
• Iván Angulo (Orlando City): the creator in chief with four assists, the kind of width Orlando need to test a San Jose defense that keeps conceding.

Recent Form

San Jose Earthquakes: D D L L W

• May 24: Portland Timbers 1-3 San Jose Earthquakes (W, away)
• May 17: San Jose Earthquakes 2-3 FC Dallas (L, home)
• May 14: Seattle Sounders 3-2 San Jose Earthquakes (L, away)
• May 10: San Jose Earthquakes 1-1 Vancouver Whitecaps (D, home)
• May 2: Toronto FC 1-1 San Jose Earthquakes (D, away)

San Jose closed the pre-break stretch with a 3-1 win at Portland, and they carried an 11-game scoring run into the restart. The one worry is at the back, where they have conceded in nine games running.

Orlando City: W L W D L

• May 24: FC Cincinnati 6-2 Orlando City (L, away)
• May 17: Orlando City 1-1 Atlanta United (D, home)
• May 14: Orlando City 4-3 Philadelphia Union (W, home)
• May 9: CF Montreal 2-0 Orlando City (L, away)
• May 3: Inter Miami 3-4 Orlando City (W, away)

Orlando were hammered 6-2 at FC Cincinnati last time out and have conceded in 15 games running, the root of a season spent near the foot of the East. There are goals in this team going forward, but the defending is a genuine problem.

San Jose Earthquakes vs Orlando City Prediction

Our San Jose Earthquakes vs Orlando City prediction is a home win with goals at both ends. The Quakes are the far stronger side and restart in front of their own fans, while Orlando’s defending on the road makes a clean sheet unlikely for either team. We land on San Jose Earthquakes to win with bet365, with Preston Judd to score anytime the standout add. Kick-off is 10:30 PM ET at PayPal Park.

bet365 lines were still to be posted at the time of writing; check the sportsbook for the latest. Please gamble responsibly.

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