Tigres UANL vs Toluca: Predictions, Picks, Odds & Lineups

Tigres UANL host Toluca at Estadio Universitario on Friday, October 9 (11:00 PM ET / 10:00 PM CT / 8:00 PM PT).

There’s no fresh fitness news out of either camp for this one, so both sides should be able to call on their usual attacking pieces. Tigres UANL build around playmaker Juan Francisco Brunetta, who has 4 goals and 4 assists in 894 minutes this season, with striker Rodrigo Aguirre also good for 3 goals of his own. Toluca travel with a similarly settled group, led by attacking midfielder Ernesto Vega Rojas and striker Federico Vinas, who have 4 goals apiece despite featuring in under 550 minutes each.

US viewers can watch Tigres UANL vs Toluca on ViX, TUDN or Fox.

Season Form & Standings

Tigres UANL have managed just 10 points from 10 games this season, with 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses leaving them with a -3 goal difference. Toluca have been among the division’s most productive sides, taking 20 points from 10 games with six wins, 2 draws and 2 losses, and a +11 goal difference underlines the gap between the two records, with Toluca firmly inside the Liguilla picture and Tigres UANL still needing to find form to climb into contention.

Liga MX

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Potential Match-Winners

• Juan Francisco Brunetta (Tigres UANL): The attacking midfielder leads the squad with 4 goals and 4 assists in 894 minutes, has created a team-high 37 chances, and has put 17 of his 44 shots on target.
• Ernesto Vega Rojas (Toluca): The attacking midfielder has matched that tally with 4 goals and 2 assists in just 546 minutes, creating 20 chances and landing 8 of his 19 shots on target.
• Federico Vinas (Toluca): The striker has also reached 4 goals in only 419 minutes, with 23 shots including 6 on target, giving Toluca a direct route to goal even in short bursts.

Recent Form

Tigres UANL: D D D L W

• 2026-09-27: Tigres UANL 1-0 Club Puebla (W, home)
• 2026-09-18: FC Juarez 2-0 Tigres UANL (L, away)
• 2026-09-12: Monterrey 0-0 Tigres UANL (D, away)
• 2026-09-05: Tigres UANL 1-1 Necaxa (D, home)
• 2026-08-29: Santos Laguna 0-0 Tigres UANL (D, away)

D D D L W, with the run ending in a 1-0 home win over Club Puebla.

Toluca: W W W L D

• 2026-09-26: Cruz Azul 3-3 Toluca (D, away)
• 2026-09-20: Toluca 2-3 Santos Laguna (L, home)
• 2026-09-15: Club Puebla 0-1 Toluca (W, away)
• 2026-09-12: Toluca 5-2 Atlas FC (W, home)
• 2026-08-30: Toluca 4-0 FC Juarez (W, home)

W W W L D, with the run ending in a 3-3 draw away at Cruz Azul.

Tigres UANL vs Toluca Prediction

Tigres UANL have taken just 10 points from 10 games this season, a modest return next to Toluca’s 20, but a home run of D D D L W — ending in a 1-0 win over Club Puebla — shows they can grind results out at Estadio Universitario. Signal has this finishing 1-0 to Tigres UANL, with Juan Francisco Brunetta the man most likely to make the difference after leading his side with 4 goals and 4 assists in 894 minutes this season. Toluca’s W W W L D form and +11 goal difference make them the division’s form side, but on a night that promises to be tight and low-scoring, one goal should be enough to separate the two.