Pachuca vs Toluca: Predictions, Picks, Odds & Lineups

Pachuca host Toluca at Estadio Hidalgo on Saturday, November 21 (5:50 PM ET / 4:50 PM CT / 2:50 PM PT).

There are no fresh fitness concerns flagged for either side ahead of this one, so expect the headline names to lead the way. Pachuca will build around Jose Salomon Rondon Gimenez, who has scored 16 goals in 1347 minutes this season, with Oussama Idrissi and Rodolfo Pizarro supplying the creativity behind him. Toluca will again turn to Federico Vinas and Ernesto Vega up top, with Nicolas Castro and Jesus Angulo feeding them through midfield.

Toluca arrive full of confidence after putting four goals past Monterrey last time out, a result that followed a run of four straight draws and underlined the firepower in Vega and Vinas. Pachuca, by contrast, have found their scoring touch at the right time, winning three in a row after a mid-October dip that saw back-to-back defeats to Monterrey and Cruz Azul. Both teams create chances freely and neither defense has been watertight all season, so Estadio Hidalgo looks a good bet to produce goals at both ends on Saturday.

US viewers can watch Pachuca vs Toluca on ViX, TUDN or Fox.

Season Form & Standings

Toluca head to Estadio Hidalgo with 27 points from 16 games — 7 wins, 6 draws, and just 3 losses, for a +14 goal difference — while Pachuca sit on 22 points from the same number of matches, with 6 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, and a +9 goal difference. Both clubs remain firmly in the Liguilla conversation as this Apertura heads toward its closing weeks.

Liga MX

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Potential Match-Winners

• Jose Salomon Rondon Gimenez (Pachuca): Rondon has scored 16 goals this season, racking up 68 shots and 25 on target – he’s this match’s standout individual threat.
• Rodolfo Pizarro (Pachuca): Pizarro has created 22 chances and laid on 4 assists from his attacking midfield role, making him Pachuca’s chief creative outlet.
• Federico Vinas (Toluca): Vinas has found the net 8 times from 41 shots this season, giving Toluca’s front line a real cutting edge on the road.

Recent Form

Pachuca: L L W W W

• 2026-11-07: Atlas FC 1-4 Pachuca (W, away)
• 2026-10-31: Pachuca 3-0 Tigres UANL (W, home)
• 2026-10-25: Club America 1-2 Pachuca (W, away)
• 2026-10-21: Pachuca 1-2 Cruz Azul (L, home)
• 2026-10-18: Monterrey 2-1 Pachuca (L, away)

Pachuca have won their last 3 matches – a 4-1 romp away at Atlas FC, a 3-0 home win over Tigres UANL, and a 2-1 comeback at Club America – after back-to-back defeats to Monterrey and Cruz Azul in mid-October.

Toluca: D D D D W

• 2026-11-08: Toluca 4-0 Monterrey (W, home)
• 2026-10-31: Club America 2-2 Toluca (D, away)
• 2026-10-24: Club Leon 1-1 Toluca (D, away)
• 2026-10-21: Toluca 2-2 Club Tijuana (D, home)
• 2026-10-17: Toluca 1-1 Atletico San Luis (D, home)

Toluca’s run reads 4 draws followed by a win, capped by a 4-0 thrashing of Monterrey their last time out, following stalemates with Atletico San Luis, Club Tijuana, and Club Leon.

Pachuca vs Toluca Prediction

This has the makings of a tight, entertaining contest at Estadio Hidalgo, with both sides capable of hurting the other defensively. Toluca’s 27 points from 16 games this Apertura reflect a side that rarely stops creating, but Pachuca have the sharper finisher in Rondon, who already has 16 goals to his name. We’re backing the hosts to edge it 2-1, with goals at both ends making Over 2.5 and Both Teams to Score the stronger side bets.