Cleveland have conceded 33 sacks and taken 72 penalties. Both are the worst figures in the NFL and neither is close. Our Browns vs Saints prediction asks how they are 5-3.
The New Orleans Saints convert 77.3% of their red-zone trips, second only to San Francisco, and are 2-5. The Cleveland Browns have scored 139 points in eight games.
Cleveland Browns @ New Orleans Saints
Cleveland BrownsSquawka41%Market43%▬ Fair
New Orleans SaintsSquawka59%Market57%▬ FairSquawka Signal is our model’s read against devigged market prices, updated after every result — not betting advice. How the NFL Signal works. 21+. Play responsibly. Full T&Cs & geo-restrictions apply: Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX.
Browns vs Saints: our editor’s props
Two calls from our editor, to read next to Signal’s live numbers.
AT Our props
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Browns vs Saints: 2026 form so far
A 5-3 team outscored by 34 against a 2-5 team outscored by 32. The table sets each attack against what the opposite defense has actually allowed.
Browns attack against the Saints defense
| Per game | Browns offense | Saints allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 204.2 | 233.3 |
| Rushing yards | 97.6 | 139.4 |
| Yards per carry | 3.9 | 4.8 |
| Passer rating | 91.2 | 97.5 |
| Touchdowns | 1.6 | 3.1 |
| Third-down conversion | 32.4% | 47.8% |
| Red-zone conversion | 42.9% | 56.7% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 4.1 | 2.6 |
Saints attack against the Browns defense
| Per game | Saints offense | Browns allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 229.7 | 196.6 |
| Rushing yards | 86.0 | 126.9 |
| Yards per carry | 3.5 | 4.7 |
| Passer rating | 90.9 | 83.5 |
| Touchdowns | 2.9 | 2.2 |
| Third-down conversion | 43.4% | 38.7% |
| Red-zone conversion | 77.3% | 48.0% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 2.1 | 2.6 |
Thirty-three sacks conceded is ten more than any other team has given up. Cleveland have still won five games.
Browns vs Saints quarterback matchup
Deshaun Watson has seven touchdown passes to three interceptions at 91.2. Tyler Shough has 13 to six at 90.9.
| Team | Quarterback | Last game | Season to date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Browns | Deshaun Watson | 27/39, 324 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT, 94.4 rtg | 163/249, 1806 yds, 7 TD, 3 INT, 91.2 rtg (8 games) |
| Saints | Tyler Shough | 30/38, 278 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT, 95.0 rtg | 183/273, 1721 yds, 13 TD, 6 INT, 90.9 rtg (7 games) |
Browns vs Saints injury report and team news
Cleveland have conceded 33 sacks, ten more than any other team in the NFL.
Cleveland have taken 72 penalties, also the most in the league.
New Orleans convert 77.3% of their red-zone trips, second only to San Francisco.
Cleveland BrownsNew Orleans SaintsThirty-three sacks, 72 penalties, and a winning record
Both figures are the worst in football by a distance, and Cleveland have scored 139 points — only the Chargers, Miami and Philadelphia have fewer.
The defense is why they are 5-3: 21 sacks of their own and 48.0% allowed in the red zone.
New Orleans are the opposite shape. They finish 77.3% of their red-zone trips, second-best in the league, and concede 47.8% on third down, which is third-worst.
Players to watch
- Deshaun Watson (CLE, QB): 1,806 passing yards and seven touchdowns at 91.2.
- Quinshon Judkins (CLE, RB): Fronts a ground game averaging 3.93 a carry.
- Tyler Shough (NO, QB): 1,721 passing yards and 13 touchdowns at 90.9.
- Alvin Kamara (NO, RB): Leads an attack converting 77.3% in the red zone.
How to watch Browns vs Saints
Kickoff is 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, November 8 at the Caesars Superdome, which is 12:00 PM CT and 10:00 AM PT. CBS has the regional broadcast.
| Detail | Browns vs Saints |
|---|---|
| Date | Sunday, November 8, 2026 |
| Kickoff | 1:00 PM ET / 12:00 PM CT / 10:00 AM PT |
| Venue | Caesars Superdome, New Orleans, LA |
| TV | CBS |
| Live stream | NFL+ / Paramount+ |
| Week | Week 9, 2026 NFL season |
Browns vs Saints prediction and score projection
New Orleans win 20-17. Cleveland’s defense is the better unit, but 33 sacks conceded and 72 penalties is a profile that loses games on the road.
Signal carries the live number for this game, and it moves as team news arrives.
Every Week 9 game, previewed
| Kickoff (ET) | Game | Our prediction | Preview |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thu 9:15 PM | Jaguars @ Ravens | Jaguars 27-20 | Read |
| Sun 10:30 AM | Bengals @ Falcons | Bengals 27-17 | Read |
| Sun 2:00 PM | Browns @ Saints | Saints 20-17 | You are here |
| Sun 2:00 PM | Cowboys @ Colts | Cowboys 26-20 | Read |
| Sun 2:00 PM | Broncos @ Panthers | Broncos 26-16 | Read |
| Sun 2:00 PM | Lions @ Dolphins | Lions 30-17 | Read |
| Sun 2:00 PM | Rams @ Commanders | Rams 27-17 | Read |
| Sun 2:00 PM | Giants @ Eagles | Giants 20-17 | Read |
| Sun 2:00 PM | Jets @ Chiefs | Chiefs 30-13 | Read |
| Sun 5:05 PM | Texans @ Chargers | Texans 23-17 | Read |
| Sun 5:25 PM | Cardinals @ Seahawks | Seahawks 30-16 | Read |
| Sun 5:25 PM | Packers @ Patriots | Patriots 24-20 | Read |
| Sun 5:25 PM | Raiders @ 49ers | 49ers 30-17 | Read |
| Sun 9:20 PM | Buccaneers @ Bears | Bears 27-20 | Read |
| Mon 9:15 PM | Bills @ Vikings | Bills 27-24 | Read |
Our weekly NFL picks and our NFL betting coverage carry the rest of the card. The outright markets are priced in AFC Championship odds. For the player side of this game, see NFL player props.
Browns vs Saints FAQ
New Orleans, narrowly. Our Signal model has the Saints as slight favorites at home and the live number is in the Signal card on this page, despite Cleveland’s better record.
1:00 PM ET on Sunday, November 8 at the Caesars Superdome, which is 12:00 PM CT and 10:00 AM PT.
Cleveland, with 33 — ten more than any other team in the NFL.
A defense with 21 sacks and a 48.0% red-zone rate allowed, carrying an offense that has scored 139 points.
21+ | Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER | Signal probabilities and odds approximate at time of writing and subject to change