Washington let opponents finish 81.8% of their red-zone trips, the worst rate in the NFL, and convert 30.9% of their own third downs — also the worst. Our Eagles vs Commanders prediction covers Sunday night.
The Philadelphia Eagles are 2-5 with Jalen Hurts on injured reserve and Tanner McKee starting. The Washington Commanders are 1-4-1 and Jayden Daniels has five touchdown passes without an interception.
Philadelphia Eagles @ Washington Commanders
Philadelphia EaglesSquawka56%Market32%▲ Strong value
Washington CommandersSquawka44%Market68%▼ OverpricedSquawka Signal is our model’s read against devigged market prices, updated after every result — not betting advice. How the NFL Signal works. 21+. Play responsibly. Full T&Cs & geo-restrictions apply: Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX.
Eagles vs Commanders: our editor’s props
Two editorial selections to sit with the live Signal read below.
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Eagles vs Commanders: 2026 form so far
Two teams a combined 3-9-1, on Sunday night. The table sets each attack against what the opposite defense has actually allowed.
Eagles attack against the Commanders defense
| Per game | Eagles offense | Commanders allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 177.1 | 254.0 |
| Rushing yards | 87.7 | 100.5 |
| Yards per carry | 3.9 | 4.0 |
| Passer rating | 80.4 | 105.0 |
| Touchdowns | 2.3 | 3.3 |
| Third-down conversion | 37.9% | 44.4% |
| Red-zone conversion | 73.7% | 81.8% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 2.6 | 1.8 |
Commanders attack against the Eagles defense
| Per game | Commanders offense | Eagles allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 200.0 | 239.9 |
| Rushing yards | 125.2 | 131.4 |
| Yards per carry | 4.6 | 4.2 |
| Passer rating | 94.2 | 91.5 |
| Touchdowns | 2.5 | 2.9 |
| Third-down conversion | 30.9% | 41.7% |
| Red-zone conversion | 50.0% | 55.2% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 2.3 | 1.1 |
Washington are worst in the NFL at both ends of the field: 81.8% conceded in the red zone, 30.9% converted on third down.
Eagles vs Commanders quarterback matchup
Tanner McKee has two touchdown passes to one interception at 78.4 from two starts. Jayden Daniels has five and none at 97.6 from four.
| Team | Quarterback | Last game | Season to date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Eagles | Tanner McKee | 23/35, 211 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT, 79.6 rtg | 49/80, 426 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT, 78.4 rtg (2 games) |
| Commanders | Jayden Daniels | 29/40, 300 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT, 110.4 rtg | 75/116, 759 yds, 5 TD, 0 INT, 97.6 rtg (4 games) |
Eagles vs Commanders injury report and team news
Philadelphia placed Jalen Hurts on injured reserve on 17 October; Tanner McKee has started since.
Washington let opponents convert 81.8% of red-zone trips, the worst rate in the NFL.
Washington convert 30.9% of their own third downs, also the lowest rate in the league.
Philadelphia EaglesWashington CommandersWorst at both ends of the field
Eighty-one point eight per cent allowed in the red zone and 30.9% converted on third down. No team in the NFL is worse at either, and Washington own both.
Philadelphia should be able to use at least the first of those: they finish 73.7% of their own red-zone trips, which is the fourth-best rate in the league.
What they cannot do is throw. Twelve hundred and forty passing yards at 80.4 is the eighth-lowest total in the league, and McKee has two starts to his name.
Players to watch
- Tanner McKee (PHI, QB): Two starts since Jalen Hurts went on injured reserve.
- A.J. Brown (PHI, WR): The senior target in an attack converting 73.7% in the red zone.
- Jayden Daniels (WAS, QB): Five touchdown passes and no interceptions at 97.6.
- Terry McLaurin (WAS, WR): A primary target in a passing game rating 94.2.
How to watch Eagles vs Commanders
Kickoff is 8:20 PM ET on Sunday, November 1 at Northwest Stadium, which is 7:20 PM CT and 5:20 PM PT. NBC has the national broadcast.
| Detail | Eagles vs Commanders |
|---|---|
| Date | Sunday, November 1, 2026 |
| Kickoff | 8:20 PM ET / 7:20 PM CT / 5:20 PM PT |
| Venue | Northwest Stadium, Landover, MD |
| TV | NBC/Peacock |
| Live stream | NFL+ / Peacock |
| Week | Week 8, 2026 NFL season |
Eagles vs Commanders prediction and score projection
Philadelphia win 20-17. Washington are worse at both ends of the field, and that is enough even for an Eagles team without its starting quarterback.
The live line for this game moves as team news arrives.
Every Week 8 game, previewed
| Kickoff (ET) | Game | Our prediction | Preview |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thu 8:15 PM | Panthers @ Packers | Packers 27-20 | Read |
| Sun 2:00 PM | Cardinals @ Cowboys | Cowboys 27-17 | Read |
| Sun 2:00 PM | Falcons @ Buccaneers | Buccaneers 24-21 | Read |
| Sun 2:00 PM | Ravens @ Bills | Bills 27-20 | Read |
| Sun 2:00 PM | Browns @ Steelers | Steelers 23-17 | Read |
| Sun 2:00 PM | Colts @ Jaguars | Jaguars 27-16 | Read |
| Sun 2:00 PM | Raiders @ Jets | Raiders 23-20 | Read |
| Sun 2:00 PM | Vikings @ Lions | Vikings 24-21 | Read |
| Sun 2:00 PM | Titans @ Bengals | Bengals 30-13 | Read |
| Sun 5:05 PM | Chargers @ Rams | Rams 26-16 | Read |
| Sun 5:25 PM | Chiefs @ Broncos | Chiefs 27-24 | Read |
| Sun 5:25 PM | Patriots @ Dolphins | Patriots 26-17 | Read |
| Sun 9:20 PM | Eagles @ Commanders | Eagles 20-17 | You are here |
| Mon 9:15 PM | Bears @ Seahawks | Seahawks 24-21 | Read |
This week’s Signal picks and our wider NFL analysis carry the rest of the card. The outright markets are priced in NFC Championship odds. For the player side of this game, see NFL player props.
Eagles vs Commanders FAQ
Philadelphia, narrowly. Our Signal model has the Eagles as slight favorites and the live number is in the Signal card on this page, even with Jalen Hurts on injured reserve.
No. Philadelphia placed him on injured reserve on 17 October and Tanner McKee has started since.
8:20 PM ET on Sunday, November 1 at Northwest Stadium, which is 7:20 PM CT and 5:20 PM PT.
Washington. Opponents finish 81.8% of their trips, the highest rate in the NFL.
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