Cleveland have conceded 25 sacks and Pittsburgh 22, the most and joint second-most in the NFL. Our Browns vs Steelers prediction puts two 5-2 teams behind two leaky lines.
The Pittsburgh Steelers are 5-2 at +15. The Cleveland Browns are 5-2 but have been outscored by 13, and they have taken 63 penalties.
Cleveland Browns @ Pittsburgh Steelers
Cleveland BrownsSquawka23%Market36%▼ Overpriced
Pittsburgh SteelersSquawka77%Market64%▲ Strong valueSquawka Signal is our model’s read against devigged market prices, updated after every result — not betting advice. How the NFL Signal works. 21+. Play responsibly. Full T&Cs & geo-restrictions apply: Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX.
Browns vs Steelers: our editor’s props
Two editor’s calls on this game, alongside the live Signal numbers.
AT Our props
An editorial call, not a Signal model output. 21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Browns vs Steelers: 2026 form so far
Two 5-2 teams, 28 points of differential apart. The table sets each attack against what the opposite defense has actually allowed.
Browns attack against the Steelers defense
| Per game | Browns offense | Steelers allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 192.7 | 212.7 |
| Rushing yards | 106.7 | 91.0 |
| Yards per carry | 4.1 | 3.7 |
| Passer rating | 90.6 | 81.4 |
| Touchdowns | 1.9 | 1.7 |
| Third-down conversion | 32.6% | 34.8% |
| Red-zone conversion | 50.0% | 46.2% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 3.6 | 2.6 |
Steelers attack against the Browns defense
| Per game | Steelers offense | Browns allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 217.6 | 201.7 |
| Rushing yards | 106.1 | 116.4 |
| Yards per carry | 4.6 | 4.4 |
| Passer rating | 88.2 | 86.2 |
| Touchdowns | 2.1 | 2.1 |
| Third-down conversion | 38.0% | 39.0% |
| Red-zone conversion | 47.4% | 45.0% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 3.1 | 2.9 |
Cleveland convert 32.6% on third down, third-lowest in the league, and have taken 63 penalties, second only to Green Bay.
Browns vs Steelers quarterback matchup
Aaron Rodgers has 13 touchdown passes to five interceptions at 88.9. Deshaun Watson has seven to three at 90.6 and has not thrown a touchdown in two weeks.
| Team | Quarterback | Last game | Season to date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Browns | Deshaun Watson | 25/36, 308 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT, 84.0 rtg | 136/210, 1482 yds, 7 TD, 3 INT, 90.6 rtg (7 games) |
| Steelers | Aaron Rodgers | 19/30, 212 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT, 95.4 rtg | 162/263, 1699 yds, 13 TD, 5 INT, 88.9 rtg (7 games) |
Browns vs Steelers injury report and team news
Cleveland have conceded 25 sacks, more than any team in the NFL, and taken 63 penalties.
Cleveland’s defense has 20 sacks of its own, and Pittsburgh’s 18.
Pittsburgh have conceded 22 sacks, joint second-most in the league.
Cleveland BrownsPittsburgh SteelersTwo winning records, two broken pockets
Forty-seven sacks conceded between them. Cleveland’s 25 is the highest figure in the NFL and Pittsburgh’s 22 is joint second.
Both are 5-2 anyway, because both defenses get there too: 20 sacks for Cleveland, 18 for Pittsburgh.
The separator is points. Pittsburgh are +15 and Cleveland -13, and the Browns convert 32.6% on third down, third-worst in the league.
Players to watch
- Aaron Rodgers (PIT, QB): 1,699 passing yards and 13 touchdowns in seven games.
- Jaylen Warren (PIT, RB): Fronts a ground game averaging 4.64 a carry.
- Deshaun Watson (CLE, QB): 1,482 passing yards and seven touchdowns at 90.6.
- Quinshon Judkins (CLE, RB): Leads a run game that has improved to 4.06 a carry.
How to watch Browns vs Steelers
Kickoff is 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, November 1 at Acrisure Stadium, which is 12:00 PM CT and 10:00 AM PT. CBS has the regional broadcast.
| Detail | Browns vs Steelers |
|---|---|
| Date | Sunday, November 1, 2026 |
| Kickoff | 1:00 PM ET / 12:00 PM CT / 10:00 AM PT |
| Venue | Acrisure Stadium, Pittsburgh, PA |
| TV | CBS |
| Live stream | NFL+ / Paramount+ |
| Week | Week 8, 2026 NFL season |
Browns vs Steelers prediction and score projection
Pittsburgh win 23-17. Both teams are 5-2 and both get their quarterback hit, but the Steelers have scored 20 more points and are at home.
The live spread and Signal’s projected margin update through the week.
Every Week 8 game, previewed
| Kickoff (ET) | Game | Our prediction | Preview |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thu 8:15 PM | Panthers @ Packers | Packers 27-20 | Read |
| Sun 2:00 PM | Cardinals @ Cowboys | Cowboys 27-17 | Read |
| Sun 2:00 PM | Falcons @ Buccaneers | Buccaneers 24-21 | Read |
| Sun 2:00 PM | Ravens @ Bills | Bills 27-20 | Read |
| Sun 2:00 PM | Browns @ Steelers | Steelers 23-17 | You are here |
| Sun 2:00 PM | Colts @ Jaguars | Jaguars 27-16 | Read |
| Sun 2:00 PM | Raiders @ Jets | Raiders 23-20 | Read |
| Sun 2:00 PM | Vikings @ Lions | Vikings 24-21 | Read |
| Sun 2:00 PM | Titans @ Bengals | Bengals 30-13 | Read |
| Sun 5:05 PM | Chargers @ Rams | Rams 26-16 | Read |
| Sun 5:25 PM | Chiefs @ Broncos | Chiefs 27-24 | Read |
| Sun 5:25 PM | Patriots @ Dolphins | Patriots 26-17 | Read |
| Sun 9:20 PM | Eagles @ Commanders | Eagles 20-17 | Read |
| Mon 9:15 PM | Bears @ Seahawks | Seahawks 24-21 | Read |
The rest of the round sits in this week’s Signal picks and the NFL homepage. The outright markets are priced in the Super Bowl market. We price the player markets in prop markets for this game.
Browns vs Steelers FAQ
Pittsburgh. Our Signal model has the Steelers favored and the live number sits in the Signal card on this page. Both are 5-2, but Pittsburgh are +15 and Cleveland -13.
1:00 PM ET on Sunday, November 1 at Acrisure Stadium, which is 12:00 PM CT and 10:00 AM PT.
Cleveland, with 25 in seven games — more than any team in the NFL.
A defense with 20 sacks and a red-zone rate of 45.0% allowed, carrying an offense converting 32.6% on third down.
21+ | Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER | Signal probabilities and odds approximate at time of writing and subject to change