Atlanta needed three games and a decider in front of their own crowd to get past Philadelphia. Los Angeles have been waiting since the regular season ended, and they are the reigning champions. The NLDS opens Saturday afternoon, and Kalshi, the CFTC-regulated US prediction market, makes it the most lopsided of the four openers.
If you are new to prediction markets, signing up through our link gets you the Trade $25, Get $25 Bonus. You will see “SQUAWKA sent you $25 on Kalshi” and it applies automatically, with no code to enter. First pitch is 4:00pm ET on Saturday on Fox, Fox Deportes and Fox One.
Match markets — Braves vs Dodgers
This is the widest gap on the board. Los Angeles sit at 64%, Atlanta at 36% — a 28-point spread where the other three Game 1s are inside 25. The run totals tell the same story from a different angle: the Dodgers are 60% to clear 3.5 and 46% to clear 4.5, while Atlanta are 42% and 30%. The market is pricing a rested, deeper line-up against one that has just been through a three-game scrap.
Match Markets — Braves vs Dodgers
Game Winner
- Los Angeles64%
- Atlanta36%
Braves Runs
- Over 3.542%
- Over 4.530%
Dodgers Runs
- Over 3.560%
- Over 4.546%
Claim offer →Probabilities are the live Kalshi yes-side bid, correct at 7:16am ET on October 2. Markets move; not financial advice. 18+. Full Kalshi review.
Atlanta won the Wild Card Series 2-1, Austin Riley’s three-run shot taking the opener before Philadelphia levelled it in extras and the Braves closed it out 6-2 on Thursday night. Dave Roberts had declined to name his Game 1 starter as of Thursday, and Atlanta had not announced theirs either, which leaves the most consequential variable in this series still unpriced. A rotation announcement is the likeliest thing to move these numbers before first pitch.
How to claim the Kalshi welcome bonus
- Sign up at Kalshi via our link — the SQUAWKA bonus applies automatically, no code to type.
- Make a qualifying $25 trade.
- Your $25 bonus unlocks. Our Kalshi referral code guide has the full terms.
More MLB postseason markets
More on prediction markets
- What is Kalshi? Sports prediction markets explained
- Kalshi vs Polymarket: which prediction market is better?
Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/500. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.