Ravens vs Cowboys Prediction, Picks & Odds: Week 3

Our Ravens vs Cowboys prediction comes from Rio de Janeiro, where the NFL plays at the Maracana for the first time. Squawka Signal’s live read on this game, including where the value sits, updates on this page through the week.

The Dallas Cowboys are the designated home team but are 4,700 miles from Arlington. They convert 68.2% of their third downs and concede 68.0%, which is the most Dallas set of numbers imaginable. The Baltimore Ravens run for 5.3 a carry and have five rushing touchdowns in two games.

Squawka Signal · Model vs market

Baltimore Ravens @ Dallas Cowboys

Week 3 · Sun Sep 27, 4:25 PM ET. Our Signal model makes the Baltimore Ravens favorites by about 3 points, a 61% win probability (neutral site).

Baltimore RavensSquawka61%Market60%▬ Fair

Dallas CowboysSquawka39%Market40%▬ Fair

Projected lineBaltimore Ravens -3

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Squawka Signal is our model’s read against devigged market prices, updated after every result — not betting advice. How the NFL Signal works. 21+. Play responsibly. Full T&Cs & geo-restrictions apply: Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX.

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Week 3 · Editorial pick

Ravens vs Cowboys: our editor’s props

Two editorial calls to sit alongside the live Signal numbers on this page.

AT

Our props

Player propDerrick Henry 80+ rushing yardsBaltimore average 5.3 a carry with five rushing touchdowns. Dallas have conceded 347 rushing yards at 5.0 a carry, the softest run defense either side has faced.

★★★★☆4/5 confidence

Player propDak Prescott 2+ passing touchdownsPrescott has six touchdown passes in two games at a 117.1 rating. Baltimore have conceded two and hold opponents to 91.7, so this is the harder half of the pair.

★★★☆☆3/5 confidence

An editorial call, not a Signal model output. 21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Ravens vs Cowboys: 2026 form so far

Two 1-1 sides who score freely and defend loosely, meeting on neutral ground. The table sets each attack against what the other defense has actually allowed.

Ravens attack against the Cowboys defense

Cowboys attack against the Ravens defense

Read these as a 2-game sample rather than settled form. Rates this early move a long way on one result.

Dallas are converting 68.2% on third down and allowing 68.0%, which is not a typing error. Baltimore’s ground game, at 5.3 a carry, is the most reliable thing in the fixture.

Ravens vs Cowboys injury report and team news

This game is at the Maracana in Rio de Janeiro, not in Arlington. Dallas are the designated home team on a neutral field.

The league has acknowledged concerns about the Maracana playing surface and said a plan is in place to ensure a high-quality surface for kickoff.

Baltimore lost 24-17 at home to New Orleans after opening with a 41-23 win over Indianapolis.

This section updates as soon as the Out, Doubtful and Questionable tags land.

Injury report · Week 3Official game-status report — updates through the week

Baltimore Ravens

No game-status designations filed yet.

Out long-term

Danny PinterCIR

Bilhal KoneCBIR

T.J. Tampa Jr.CBIR

Skylar ThompsonQBIR

Adam RandallRBIR

Jahquez RobinsonSAFIR

Ja’Kobi LaneWRIR

Dallas Cowboys

No game-status designations filed yet.

Out long-term

Devin MooreCBIR

Kelvin GilliamDTIR

Tyler SmithGIR

Matt HennessyOLIR

Marist LiufauOLBIR

Malik DavisRBIR

DJ RogersTEIR

Princeton FantTEIR

Where Ravens vs Cowboys is decided

Baltimore’s running game against the Dallas front is the game. The Ravens average 5.3 a carry with five rushing touchdowns; the Cowboys have conceded 347 rushing yards at 5.0 and have two sacks all season.

Dallas answer with the most efficient passing offense either team has faced. Six touchdown passes, a 117.1 rating and 85.7% in the red zone.

Consequently the surface matters more than usual. A newly laid pitch at a stadium hosting its first NFL game tends to favor the side less dependent on sharp footing, which here is Baltimore.

Players to watch

• Derrick Henry (BAL, RB): Part of a ground game averaging 5.3 a carry with five rushing scores.
• Lamar Jackson (BAL, QB): 508 passing yards and a 104.7 rating across two games.
• Dak Prescott (DAL, QB): Six touchdown passes in two games at a 117.1 rating.
• CeeDee Lamb (DAL, WR): Dallas’ primary target in an offense converting 85.7% in the red zone.

How to watch Ravens vs Cowboys

Kickoff is 4:25 PM ET on Sunday, September 27 from the Maracana in Rio de Janeiro, which is 3:25 PM CT and 1:25 PM PT. CBS has the broadcast, with Paramount+ streaming it.

Ravens vs Cowboys prediction and score projection

Our Ravens vs Cowboys prediction is a Baltimore win, 30-24. The Ravens can run at a defense that has stopped nobody, and neutral ground removes what little home advantage Dallas would have had.

The live win probability and the model’s projected margin update on this page through the week.

Every Week 3 game, previewed

Every fixture in the round is covered across our NFL hub, and Signal rates every game on the NFL picks page.

Ravens vs Cowboys FAQ

21+ | Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER | Signal probabilities and odds approximate at time of writing and subject to change