Our Commanders vs Cowboys prediction is a division game between two 0-1 teams who both lost narrowly. Squawka Signal’s live read on this game, including where the value sits, updates on this page through the week.
The Washington Commanders lost 24-22 at Philadelphia despite holding the ball for 33 minutes. The Dallas Cowboys lost 28-20 at the Giants, conceding a 134.2 passer rating. Consequently both arrive with something to prove and a division game to prove it in.
Washington Commanders @ Dallas Cowboys
Washington CommandersSquawka42%Market36%▲ Value
Dallas CowboysSquawka58%Market64%▼ Slight laySquawka Signal is our model’s read against devigged market prices, updated after every result — not betting advice. How the NFL Signal works. 21+. Play responsibly. Full T&Cs & geo-restrictions apply: Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX.
Commanders vs Cowboys: our editor’s props
Two editorial calls to sit alongside the live Signal numbers on this page.
AT Our props
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Commanders vs Cowboys: 2026 form so far
Two narrow defeats, and two tables that flatter the losing side more than the scoreline did.
| 2026 season to date | Commanders | Cowboys |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Points for | 22 | 20 |
| Points against | 24 | 28 |
| Point differential | -2 | -8 |
| Total yards | 295 | 244 |
| Yards per play | 4.4 | 4.7 |
| Turnovers | 0 | 1 |
| Third-down offense | 33.3% | 72.7% |
| Red-zone offense | 100.0% | 100.0% |
| Sacks recorded | 3 | 2 |
| Opponent passer rating | 122.2 | 134.2 |
Dallas converted 72.7% of third downs and went three from three in the red zone, and still lost by eight. Washington gained 4.4 yards a play and lost by two.
Commanders vs Cowboys injury report and team news
Stefon Diggs caught four for 55 and a touchdown for Washington at Philadelphia. Javonte Williams scored twice for Dallas, once rushing and once receiving.
This section updates as soon as the Out, Doubtful and Questionable tags land.
Washington CommandersDallas CowboysWhere Commanders vs Cowboys is decided
Dallas conceded a 134.2 passer rating to Jaxson Dart, the highest figure any defense allowed in Week 1. Jayden Daniels threw for only 164 at Philadelphia, so both have questions.
Dallas were efficient where it counted, going three from three in the red zone and converting eight of eleven third downs. The problem was 23 minutes of possession.
Washington ran 32 times for 132 yards and held the ball for 33:20. Similarly they converted all three red-zone trips, so the margins were tiny.
Players to watch
- Jayden Daniels (WAS, QB): Two touchdown passes at Philadelphia, plus 31 rushing yards.
- Stefon Diggs (WAS, WR): Four catches for 55 yards and a touchdown in the opener.
- Dak Prescott (DAL, QB): 175 yards and two touchdowns at the Giants.
- Javonte Williams (DAL, RB): A rushing and a receiving touchdown in Week 1.
How to watch Commanders vs Cowboys
The game kicks off at 4:25 PM ET on Sunday, September 20 at AT&T Stadium in Arlington. FOX carries it. Additionally it is one of the late Sunday afternoon games.
| Detail | Commanders vs Cowboys |
|---|---|
| Date | Sunday, September 20, 2026 |
| Kickoff | 4:25 PM ET / 3:25 PM CT / 1:25 PM PT |
| Venue | AT&T Stadium, Arlington, TX |
| TV | FOX |
| Live stream | NFL Game Pass (DAZN) |
| Week | Week 2, 2026 NFL season |
Commanders vs Cowboys prediction and score projection
Our Commanders vs Cowboys prediction is a Dallas win, 26-23. Home field in a division game, and the red-zone efficiency to punish a defense that conceded 24 at Philadelphia.
Signal’s own number moves through the week, and it updates on this page.
Every fixture in the round is covered across our NFL hub, and Signal rates every Week 2 game the same way.
Commanders vs Cowboys FAQ
Dallas, narrowly, at home. Both are 0-1 after single-score defeats.
4:25 PM ET on Sunday, September 20, which is 3:25 PM CT and 1:25 PM PT.
FOX has the game in the United States.
Washington lost 24-22 at Philadelphia. Dallas lost 28-20 at the Giants.
21+ | Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER | Signal probabilities and odds approximate at time of writing and subject to change