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Home » Outright markets » NFL NFC Championship Odds 2027: Model vs Market Predictions

NFL NFC Championship Odds 2027: Model vs Market Predictions

NFC Championship Odds
Squawka Signal · NFC Championship

NFL NFC Championship odds & Signal model

Signal makes Minnesota Vikings the NFC Championship favorite at 33%. Every team below carries our model’s NFC Championship probability for every team, next to the live prediction-market price, so you can see where Signal and the money disagree.

Updated October 14, 2026 · refreshed daily

ModelMarketRead
Minnesota Vikings
Model32.7%
Market8.0%Kalshi + Polymarket
Strong value
Kalshi & Polymarket prices
Kalshi8.8%Trade
Polymarket7.2%Trade
San Francisco 49ers
Model29.8%
Market21.6%Kalshi + Polymarket
Strong value
Kalshi & Polymarket prices
Kalshi22.4%Trade
Polymarket20.8%Trade
Seattle Seahawks
Model11.2%
Market14.4%Kalshi + Polymarket
Priced in
Kalshi & Polymarket prices
Kalshi14.1%Trade
Polymarket14.7%Trade
Los Angeles Rams
Model6.8%
Market17.4%Kalshi + Polymarket
Market cooler
Kalshi & Polymarket prices
Kalshi17.2%Trade
Polymarket17.7%Trade
Detroit Lions
Model6.4%
Market6.6%Kalshi + Polymarket
In line
Kalshi & Polymarket prices
Kalshi7.8%Trade
Polymarket5.4%Trade
Philadelphia Eagles
Model3.6%
Market4.2%Kalshi + Polymarket
In line
Kalshi & Polymarket prices
Kalshi3.6%Trade
Polymarket4.9%Trade
Green Bay Packers
Model2.4%
Market3.8%Kalshi + Polymarket
In line
Kalshi & Polymarket prices
Kalshi3.6%Trade
Polymarket4.0%Trade
Chicago Bears
Model2.1%
Market8.2%Kalshi + Polymarket
Priced in
Kalshi & Polymarket prices
Kalshi7.8%Trade
Polymarket8.6%Trade
New York Giants
Model2.1%
Market2.0%Kalshi + Polymarket
In line
Kalshi & Polymarket prices
Kalshi1.6%Trade
Polymarket2.5%Trade
Atlanta Falcons
Model1.3%
Market2.2%Kalshi + Polymarket
In line
Kalshi & Polymarket prices
Kalshi2.6%Trade
Polymarket1.8%Trade
Carolina Panthers
Model0.6%
Market2.4%Kalshi + Polymarket
In line
Kalshi & Polymarket prices
Kalshi2.6%Trade
Polymarket2.2%Trade
Dallas Cowboys
Model0.4%
Market5.6%Kalshi + Polymarket
Priced in
Kalshi & Polymarket prices
Kalshi5.7%Trade
Polymarket5.5%Trade
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Model0.4%
Market0.8%Kalshi + Polymarket
In line
Kalshi & Polymarket prices
Kalshi0.5%Trade
Polymarket1.2%Trade
New Orleans Saints
Model0.1%
Market1.1%Kalshi + Polymarket
In line
Kalshi & Polymarket prices
Kalshi0.5%Trade
Polymarket1.7%Trade
Washington Commanders
Model0.0%
Market0.9%Kalshi + Polymarket
In line
Kalshi & Polymarket prices
Kalshi0.5%Trade
Polymarket1.4%Trade
Arizona Cardinals
Model0.0%
Market0.5%Kalshi + Polymarket
In line
Kalshi & Polymarket prices
Kalshi0.5%Trade
Polymarket0.5%Trade
Trade the NFC Championship market on Kalshi Trade on Polymarket

How to read it

Model is Squawka Signal’s probability for each team — a data-led read built from team strength and simulated to the end of the season. Market is what the prediction markets are paying. The Market column is a consensus of the live Kalshi and Polymarket prices, de-vigged; the per-book split is in each row’s drawer. Where only one book prices a market, we show it tagged and the other joins automatically once it trades.

FAQ

Who is favorite for the NFL NFC Championship? Minnesota Vikings at 33% on Signal’s model. The full order, with the market’s view alongside, is in the table.

How often does this update? Every day. Signal re-simulates the season as results land, and the live Kalshi and Polymarket prices refresh alongside.

More from Squawka Signal

How Squawka Signal works · NFL AI Predictor · NFL on Squawka

21+ | Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER | Odds approximate at time of writing. Squawka Signal is a model, not betting advice.