Pachuca vs Chivas: Predictions, Picks, Odds & Lineups

Pachuca host Chivas at Estadio Hidalgo on Saturday, August 29 (7:00 PM ET / 6:00 PM CT / 4:00 PM PT).

There’s no fresh team news to flag on the availability front for either side, and Pachuca should still be able to call on Salomon Rondon, the focal point of an attack he leads with 5 goals from 396 minutes so far, with Elias Montiel and Oussama Idrissi expected to offer support from midfield. Chivas travel with their own key men in place — Roberto Alvarado, who has 3 goals and 12 chances created from 450 minutes, should lead the line alongside Ricardo Marin, with Brian Gutierrez and Luis Romo shaping the game through midfield.

Pachuca’s form (W L L L) has been shaky — defeats at home to Club Puebla and Queretaro FC, plus a loss away at Club Leon, with only a win at Pumas UNAM to show for it — but a home game at Estadio Hidalgo against a Chivas side who’ve shipped goals even while scoring plenty of their own should stay tighter than that stretch suggests. Chivas’s own form (L W D W W) has trended the right way, capped by a 5-2 win over Club Tijuana, but that game also showed how open they can be at the back, which suits a Pachuca side built around a single reliable finisher.

US viewers can watch Pachuca vs Chivas on ViX, TUDN or Fox.

Pachuca vs Chivas: Best Bets & Predictions

Pachuca lean on Rondon's goals to edge a tight, low-scoring home test against a rejuvenated Chivas

Where are you following from? Odds & offers below update to match.

🇺🇸 United StatesTrade on Kalshi 🌎 Outside the USOdds via bet365

PachucaTop pickRondon's 5 goals are the clearest individual threat on the pitch, and home advantage at Estadio Hidalgo should be enough to edge a tight contest.

51%win prob.opening soon @ bet365

1-0 PachucaWith Rondon as the focal point and no other Pachuca attacker past 1 goal this term, a narrow single-goal margin fits better than a repeat of Chivas's 5-2 outburst against Tijuana.

⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐chanceopening soon @ bet365

NoPachuca's attack is built around Rondon's five goals rather than a spread of scorers, and a game leaning on that single outlet points to only one side finding the net.

51%chanceopening soon @ bet365

Under 2.5

54%chanceopening soon @ bet365

Salomon Rondon – Anytime GoalscorerRondon leads Pachuca with 5 goals and 6 shots on target from his 396 minutes this term, making him the obvious source of a home breakthrough.

⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐chanceopening soon @ bet365

Our approach: we lean on the underlying numbers — shots, chances created and minutes played — rather than reputation, and let the model's scoreline pick guide the connected markets around it.

Trade these markets on KalshiNew users get $10 — trade $10 to unlock. Prices update live.

Trade on Kalshi →

If Kalshi isn’t your choice, we also rate Polymarket and ProphetX — or compare the full lineup.

Compare All →

Probabilities reflect live Kalshi market prices at time of loading. 21+. Prediction markets are CFTC-regulated event contracts, not sportsbook bets. Polymarket excluded in AZ, IL, MA, MD, MI, MT, NJ, NV, OH. Please play responsibly. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. New Kalshi users: USE CODE SQUAWKA.

Back these with bet365Odds shown for your region — toggle the odds beside each pick above.

Bet with bet365 → bet365 review

Odds correct at time of writing and shown in American format for illustration; your local odds and offer are served on click. Eligibility, minimum age (18+/21+) and T&Cs vary by region. Please gamble responsibly.

Season Form & Standings

Full league-table context isn’t locked in at this stage of the Apertura, but both Pachuca and Chivas are competing for positions that matter come Liguilla time, and 3 points from Estadio Hidalgo carries plenty of weight for either side.

Liga MX

Shop the matchPachuca v ChivasOfficial kits via Fanatics

NikeMen's Nike White Chivas 2026/27 Away Match Authentic Jersey$174.99ShopNikeMen's Nike White Chivas 2026/27 Home Dri-FIT Pre-Match Top$76.99Shop1863FCMen's 1863FC Red Chivas True Glory Fleece Hoodie$41.99Shop

Squawka may earn a commission when you buy through these links, at no extra cost to you. Prices are set by the retailer and correct at time of publishing.

Potential Match-Winners

• Salomon Rondon (Pachuca): Rondon leads Pachuca with 5 goals and 6 shots on target from his 396 minutes this season, the clearest individual threat in this side.
• Elias Montiel (Pachuca): Montiel has added a goal and 8 chances created in 388 minutes, giving Pachuca a secondary creative outlet alongside the front line.
• Roberto Alvarado (Chivas): Alvarado leads Chivas’s attack with 3 goals and 12 chances created from 450 minutes, adding 6 shots on target to that total.

Recent Form

Pachuca: W L L L

• 2026-08-17: Pachuca 2-3 Club Puebla (L, home)
• 2026-08-01: Club Leon 1-0 Pachuca (L, away)
• 2026-07-26: Pachuca 1-2 Queretaro FC (L, home)
• 2026-07-18: Pumas UNAM 0-3 Pachuca (W, away)

Pachuca’s last 4 league matches have gone L-L-L-W in date order: home defeats to Club Puebla (2-3) and Queretaro FC (1-2), an away loss at Club Leon (0-1), and a 3-0 win away at Pumas UNAM.

Chivas: L W D W W

• 2026-08-23: Chivas 5-2 Club Tijuana (W, home)
• 2026-08-16: Santos Laguna 0-1 Chivas (W, away)
• 2026-07-31: Club Puebla 1-1 Chivas (D, away)
• 2026-07-25: Chivas 1-0 FC Juarez (W, home)
• 2026-07-18: Chivas 0-2 Toluca (L, home)

Chivas’s form reads L-W-D-W-W across their last 5 league matches: a 0-2 home defeat to Toluca, a 1-0 win over FC Juarez, a 1-1 draw away at Club Puebla, a 1-0 win away at Santos Laguna, and a 5-2 home win over Club Tijuana.

Pachuca vs Chivas Prediction

Signal’s model calls this 1-0 to Pachuca, and that scoreline fits the shape of the game: Rondon is the kind of finisher who only needs one clean look, and Chivas — for all the good form and the 5-2 scoreline last time out — have shown they can be got at defensively. Expect a tight, low-event match at Estadio Hidalgo that turns on a single moment from the home side’s frontman.