Home » News » Liga MX » Club Tijuana vs Pumas UNAM: Predictions, Picks, Odds & Starting Lineups

Club Tijuana vs Pumas UNAM: Predictions, Picks, Odds & Starting Lineups

Club Tijuana vs Pumas UNAM predicted formations

Club Tijuana host Pumas UNAM at Estadio Caliente on Friday, August 28 (9:00 PM ET / 8:00 PM CT / 6:00 PM PT).

Club Tijuana and Pumas UNAM both come into this one with clean team sheets — no fresh fitness concerns flagged on either side heading into Estadio Caliente. Xolos will lean on the goal threat of Gilberto Rafael Mora Zambrano, who has scored 2 goals and created 3 chances in 279 minutes, alongside fellow attackers Mourad Daoudi El Ghezouani and Ramiro Arciga Zarate, who leads the group with 4 chances created across 380 minutes on the field. For the visitors, Olavio Vieira dos Santos Junior arrives as Pumas’ most direct threat with 3 goals from 6 shots, while Robert Osmar Morales Benitez has been the chief creator, setting up 3 assists and generating 7 chances created in 435 minutes.

This one shapes up as a tight, low-scoring watch rather than an end-to-end shootout. Both sides have shown they can go long stretches without finding the net, and with the home crowd at Estadio Caliente adding an edge, expect the game to hinge on one moment of quality rather than a string of chances. Tijuana’s extra sharpness in the final third should just about tip the balance on a night where clean sheets look more likely than a flurry of goals.

US viewers can watch Club Tijuana vs Pumas UNAM on ViX, TUDN or Fox.

Club Tijuana vs Pumas UNAM: Best Bets & Predictions

Tom Dutton previews Club Tijuana vs Pumas UNAM, with the lineup picture, form and a 1-0 prediction at Estadio Caliente.

Where are you following from? Odds & offers below update to match.
Club TijuanaTop pickClub Tijuana have taken 10 points from 5 games this season, 2 more than Pumas UNAM's 8, and the extra edge at Estadio Caliente should tell in a tight contest.
41%win prob.opening soon @ bet365
1-0 Club Tijuana1-0 fits a matchup where the extra edge for Tijuana at Estadio Caliente is more likely to be settled by fine margins than a flood of goals, matching the tight scorelines both sides have produced recently.
⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐chanceopening soon @ bet365
NoPumas were held scoreless at Pachuca (0-3) and again by Queretaro FC (0-0) in recent weeks, while Tijuana also drew a blank away at Atletico San Luis, suggesting a similarly quiet night in front of goal for at least one side.
45%chanceopening soon @ bet365
Under 2.5Tijuana's own recent form has featured tight, low-scoring margins such as the 1-0 win over Club Leon, while Pumas have settled into stalemates like the 0-0 draw with Queretaro FC and 1-1 with Necaxa, both pointing toward a snug scoreline here.
49%chanceopening soon @ bet365
Gilberto Rafael Mora Zambrano to ScoreGilberto Rafael Mora Zambrano has scored 2 goals in just 279 minutes this season, with 3 chances created on top, giving him the sharpest combination of goal threat and end product among Tijuana's attackers.
⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐chanceopening soon @ bet365

Our approach: we weigh current league form, underlying shot and chance-creation numbers, and individual player output to land on a single most-likely scoreline, then build the market picks around that read of the game.

Trade these markets on KalshiNew users get $25 — trade $25 to unlock. Prices update live.
Trade on Kalshi →

If Kalshi isn’t your choice, we also rate Polymarket and ProphetX — or compare the full lineup.

Probabilities reflect live Kalshi market prices at time of loading. 21+. Prediction markets are CFTC-regulated event contracts, not sportsbook bets. Polymarket excluded in AZ, IL, MA, MD, MI, MT, NJ, NV, OH. Please play responsibly. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. New Kalshi users: USE CODE SQUAWKA.

Back these with bet365Odds shown for your region — toggle the odds beside each pick above.
Bet with bet365 → bet365 review

Odds correct at time of writing and shown in American format for illustration; your local odds and offer are served on click. Eligibility, minimum age (18+/21+) and T&Cs vary by region. Please gamble responsibly.

Squawka predictions

Our model rates every Liga MX fixture — explore this week’s predictions.

Liga MX AI PredictorEvery match this week rated by our modelOver 2.5 Goals predictionsThis week’s picks across the league

Season Form & Standings

Club Tijuana have picked up 10 points from 5 games this season, winning 3, drawing 1 and losing 1, for a +1 goal difference. Pumas UNAM sit on 8 points from the same number of matches, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, and a +2 goal difference. Both sides remain in the wider Liguilla picture at this early stage of the season.

Liga MX

TeamPosGPWDLGFGAGDPts
Club Tijuana6531187+110
Pumas UNAM9522186+28
Shop the matchClub Tijuana v PumasOfficial kits via Fanatics
Squawka may earn a commission when you buy through these links, at no extra cost to you. Prices are set by the retailer and correct at time of publishing.
Team News Confirmed

Club Tijuana vs Pumas UNAM Confirmed Starting Lineups

Club Tijuana

4-1-4-1
A. Rodriguez
A. Vega
A. Gomez
J. Porozo
R. Fernandez
I. Tona
A. Preciado
Y. Padilla
G. Mora
F. Gonzalez
M. El Ghezouani

Pumas UNAM

5-4-1
K. Navas
U. Antuna
Ruben Duarte
Nathan Silva
R. Lopez
P. Bennevendo
L. Herrera
V. Arteaga
A. Carrasquilla
A. Medina
R. Morales
    Squawka · Team News

    Potential Match-Winners

    • Gilberto Rafael Mora Zambrano (Club Tijuana): 2 goals and 1 assist in just 279 minutes, plus 3 chances created, make him Tijuana’s most dangerous attacking outlet in tight areas.
    • Ramiro Arciga Zarate (Club Tijuana): Has racked up 4 chances created from 380 minutes on the field, the highest creative output of any Xolos regular, to go with a goal of his own.
    • Robert Osmar Morales Benitez (Pumas UNAM): 13 shots and 7 chances created in 435 minutes underline his influence, with 3 assists that lead the Pumas squad.

    Recent Form

    Club Tijuana: W W D W L

    • 2026-08-22: Chivas 5-2 Club Tijuana (L, away)
    • 2026-08-16: Club Tijuana 2-1 Cruz Azul (W, home)
    • 2026-07-31: Atletico San Luis 0-0 Club Tijuana (D, away)
    • 2026-07-24: Club Tijuana 1-0 Club Leon (W, home)
    • 2026-07-16: Club Tijuana 3-1 Tigres UANL (W, home)

    The sequence at Tijuana has been jagged: wins over Tigres UANL (3-1) and Club Leon (1-0) sandwiched a scoreless draw away to Atletico San Luis, before a 2-1 home win over Cruz Azul was followed by a 5-2 defeat at Chivas last time out.

    Pumas UNAM: L W W D D

    • 2026-08-23: Pumas UNAM 1-1 Necaxa (D, home)
    • 2026-08-16: Pumas UNAM 0-0 Queretaro FC (D, home)
    • 2026-07-31: FC Juarez 1-5 Pumas UNAM (W, away)
    • 2026-07-21: Toluca 1-2 Pumas UNAM (W, away)
    • 2026-07-18: Pumas UNAM 0-3 Pachuca (L, home)

    Pumas have been steady rather than free-scoring in recent weeks: a 3-0 loss at home to Pachuca gave way to away wins at Toluca (2-1) and Juarez (5-1), before back-to-back draws — 0-0 with Queretaro FC and 1-1 with Necaxa — in their most recent outings.

    Squawka Signal Liga MX · Model vs Market

    Club Tijuana vs Pumas UNAM: our model vs the market

    Our model’s win probability for this match against the live market — and where we see value. Switch region for the market you can use.

    ResultSignalKalshi
    Club Tijuana41%44%▬ Fair
    Draw25%27%▬ Fair
    Pumas UNAM34%30%▲ Value

    Signal makes Club Tijuana the pick at 41% — Kalshi has 44%. ▬ Fair

    Also trade this market
    KalshiPolymarketProphetXCompare allTrade this market on Kalshi
    ResultSignal
    Club Tijuana41%–
    Draw25%–
    Pumas UNAM34%–

    Signal makes Club Tijuana the pick at 41%.

    Compare sportsbooks
    bet365 reviewAll sportsbooks

    Signal is our data model’s read vs the live market. For analysis and entertainment — not financial advice. 21+ where applicable; eligibility varies by US state.

    Club Tijuana vs Pumas UNAM Prediction

    Expect a cagey night at Estadio Caliente, with the extra polish of Tijuana’s 10 points from 5 games proving just enough. Pumas UNAM, on 8 points from the same number of games, have shown they can compete evenly with 2 wins and 2 draws already this season, but the home edge should be decisive. We’re calling it 1-0 to Club Tijuana, with Gilberto Rafael Mora Zambrano fancied to get on the scoresheet in another tight, low-scoring Liga MX night.