Outright Odds

Switzerland odds to win Euro 2024: Probability, path to final, tactics and stats ahead of England clash

By Mohamed Moallim

Published: 9:00, 6 July 2024

Switzerland are in search of their first major international tournament at Euro 2024 this summer.

This is the Red Crosses’ sixth European Championship appearance, with a quarter-final run last time out their best finish. Now, under the leadership of former star Murat Yakin, they’re just one win away from going a round deeper.

Switzerland were just minutes away from being on a different path, winning Group A, but a late equaliser from Germany consigned them to a well-deserved second-placed finish. That set Switzerland with a last 16 tie against Italy, and the defending champions were knocked out in a comfortable 2-0 victory.

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Latest Switzerland odds to win Euro 2024
Switzerland to win Euro 2024

Switzerland route to the Euro 2024 final in Berlin

Group stage results

  • Hungary 1-3 Switzerland
  • Scotland 1-1 Switzerland
  • Germany 1-1 Switzerland

Switzerland potential knockout stage opponents

After finishing as Group A runners-up, Switzerland played Italy in the round of 16, and won 2-0. In the quarter-finals, they will face England.

Then they could face Netherlands in the semi-finals, before taking on France or Spain in the final.

Switzerland key players for this year’s European Championship

Switzerland top Euros Golden Boot contender: Dan Ndoye

  • Key stat: Dan Ndoye has taken 13 shots at Euro 2024, more than double any Switzerland teammate.

Switzerland have spread the goals across the team at Euro 2024 with seven different scorers.

Of those, Bologna forward Dan Ndoye — Switzerland’s scorer against Germany — taken the most shots. He has also played the most minutes of any attacker, playing across the front line. Last time out against Italy he was in a slightly more defensive role, but Ndoye is expected to return higher up the pitch when Switzerland take on England.

Switzerland primary playmaker: Granit Xhaka

  • Key stat: Grant Xhaka has created the most chances for Switzerland at Euro 2024 (8).

Michel Aebischer and Remo Freuler have the joint-most assists of any Switzerland player but midfielder Xhaka has created the most chances. Xhaka has picked up from where he left off with Leverkusen, enjoying a fine season en route to a Bundesliga and DFB-Pokal double.

At Arsenal, he showed glimpses of this, but with Bayer Leverkusen and now Switzerland, he showed real maturity,” Rio Ferdinand said of Xhaka following Switzerland’s 2-0 win over Italy. “He breaks the lines and finds the passes. He makes the right decisions 99% of the time. There was a real dominance in his performance, he’s a leader in this team and you can see that in every part of his game right now.”

Switzerland card magnets & top tacklers: Remo Freuler

  • Key stat: The red card received by Remo Freuler (after 16 minutes and 57 seconds) for Atalanta vs Real Madrid in 2021 is the fastest by an Italian side in Champions League history.

Granit Xhaka and Manuel Akanji were the biggest offenders during Switzerland’s qualifying campaign, receiving three yellow cards each. However, both are calm compared to Remo Freuler, who picked up nine at club level in the 2023/24 season. On loan at Bologna, the ex-Nottingham Forest midfielder committed 44 fouls. Freuler made his debut for the Swiss national team in 2017 and has made over 60 appearances. He has since scored eight goals while picking up five yellows and being sent off once.

So far at Euro 2024, he has conceded the joint-most fouls of any Switzerland player, committing nine.

Switzerland set-piece specialists

  • Penalties: Xherdan Shaqiri
  • Free kicks: Granit Xhaka 
  • Corners: Xherdan Shaqiri/Ruben Vargas/Fabian Rieder

Switzerland tactical analysis and formation

Switzerland team stats from Euro 2024 so far (average per game):

  • Corners: 5.0
  • Shots on target: 4.5
  • Shots on target conceded: 2.25
  • Offsides: 2.25

Since assuming control of the Swiss national team in September 2021, the former international Murat Yakin has overseen 38 matches while boasting a 44.74% winning record. When setting out his team, Yakin has used seven different formations, alternating between four in defence and back-threes. His most common lineup has been 4-2-3-1, but he has favoured a back three of late and has continued in that vein in Germany.

The personnel will be mostly the same regardless of formation, with Yann Sommer keeping the goal and Premier League stalwarts Fabian Schär and Manuel Akanji in defence. At the same time, midfield double pivot Granit Xhaka and Remo Freuler have been mainstays in midfield.

There has been some shuffling around up-front, but talisman Breel Embolo now looks fully fit and should continue as the starting No.9 from here.

Murat Yakin anticipates an open match against the Three Lions

Among the surprise packages at Euro 2024 this summer has been Switzerland, who eliminated defending champions Italy, setting up a meeting with the Euro 2020 beaten finalists, England. Yakin faced England as a player at Euro 2004, in a game that saw Wayne Rooney — whom Yakin was marking — become the youngest player to score in a European Championship.

“It was a crazy situation. We didn’t behave well in advance and during the tournament,” the Swiss head coach reflected.

“There was unrest. If you lose 3-0, it’s not pleasant. I was a player so I don’t have to explain it, that’s the coach’s job. There were players who made the difference like Michael Owen and Paul Gascoigne…”

A local journalist quickly corrects him. Wazza, not Gazza. Yakin smiles: “I am not a historian.”

Fast forward 20 years, and there’s a sense of causing another upset. Yakin acknowledges that Gareth Southgate’s men have struggled in Germany, feeling it could go either way despite the vast gap in squad valuations.

“Which team is the favourite? When you see England’s squad and my squad, their value is bigger than ours,” he said.

“Let’s play the game. It’s an open game. We are in a good situation. We play well and got good results and good spirits in the team.

“Of course, they [England] have had problems in games when the rival played defensively. It’s not easy to play against a team that has a big block in defence.

“And now maybe for us, it’s a good situation when you have an opponent that wants to play football. It’s an open game.

“We know the strong and the weak sides of England. We have three days to prepare for this game. We are ready to show our best side against England. We just focus only on my team.”

Switzerland final squad

Yann Sommer Goalkeeper 35 Inter Milan
Yvon Mvogo Goalkeeper 30 Lorient
Gregor Kobel Goalkeeper 26 Borussia Dortmund
Leonidas Stergiou Defender 22 Stuttgart
Silvan Widmer Defender 31 Mainz
Nico Elvedi Defender 27 Borussia Monchengladbach
Manuel Akanji Defender 28 Manchester City
Ricardo Rodriguez Defender 31 Torino
Cedric Zesiger Defender 25 Wolfsburg
Fabian Schar Defender 32 Newcastle
Denis Zakaria Midfielder 27 Monaco
Remo Freuler Midfielder 32 Bologna
Granit Xhaka Midfielder 31 Bayer Leverkusen
Vincent Sierro Midfielder 28 Toulouse
Michel Aebischer Midfielder 27 Bologna
Xherdan Shaqiri Midfielder 32 Chicago Fire
Ardon Jashari Midfielder 21 Luzern
Fabian Rieder Midfielder 22 Rennes
Breel Embolo Forward 27 Monaco
Noah Okafor Forward 24 AC Milan
Renato Steffen Forward 32 Lugano
Steven Zuber Forward 32 AEK Athens
Ruben Vargas Forward 25 Augsburg
Kwadwo Duah Forward 27 Ludogorets
Dan Ndoye Forward 23 Bologna
Zeki Amdouni Forward 23 Burnley

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