Outright Odds

Slovakia odds to win Euro 2024: Probability, path to final, tactics, stats and key players for England clash

By Mohamed Moallim

Published: 0:00, 30 June 2024

Slovakia reached the knockout stages of Euro 2024 after finishing third in Group E.

As part of Czechoslovakia, they famously became champions in 1976, but since independence, their best finish has been a Round of 16 run in 2016 (and now).

They are a firm underdog, led by Francesco Calzona, who simultaneously coached Napoli for the end of the 2023/24 season.

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Latest Slovakia odds to win Euro 2024
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Slovakia to win Euro 2024
Slovakia to win Group E

Slovakia route to the Euro 2024 final in Berlin

Group stage fixtures

  • Belgium 0-1 Slovakia (17 June 2024, 5pm, Waldstadion)
  • Ukraine 2-1 Slovakia (21 June 2024, 2pm, Merkur Spiel-Arena)
  • Romania 0-0 (26 June 2024, 5pm, Waldstadion)

NI excluded. New cust only. 7 days to opt in by placing a £10 qualifying bet at 1/1 (2.0) odds or greater to receive 6x Free Bets: 1 x £10 horse racing, 2 x £10 Bet Builder, 2 x £10 Acca and 1 x £10 football. 7 day expiry. Exclusions apply. Stake not returned. 18+. GambleAware.org.

18+ New customers only. Bet £10+ on pre-match accas with 4+ legs, min odds 3/1 (4.0) within 14 days of sign-up. Get 4x £5 Free Bets and 50 Free Spins, valid for 7 days on selected bets and games only. Restrictions and T&Cs apply. GambleAware.org

Full T&Cs apply. New UK customers only. The qualifying bet should be either a Single or Acca (2+ selections) bet, start at £10, have 1.9 or greater odds and must be settled within 7 days of sign-up. 5 Free bets which must be placed with a min odds of 2 include: 1 x £10 Free bet on any Pre-match Football game (single); 1 x £10 Free Bet for Horse Racing (single); 1 x £10 Free Bet for Acca (min 2 selections) Bet on any sport; 1 x £10 Free Bet for Acca (min 3 selections) Bet on any sport; 1 x £10 Free Bet for Acca (min 4 selections) Bet on any sport. Max payout – £500. 7 day expiry. To unlock the offer, complete the first deposit via the banking app (Open banking). 18+. GambleAware.com

Slovakia potential knockout stage opponents

Slovakia advanced to the knockout stage as one of the four best third-place teams. Their reward is a Round of 16 clash with England, whom they’ve never beaten, though in their only competitive tournament meeting at Euro 2016, they played out a goalless draw. If they can overcome Gareth Southgate’s men, a quarter-final date with Switzerland awaits. They’ll face Romania, the Netherlands, Austria, or Turkey in the semifinals. Spain, Germany, Portugal, and France are on the other side of the draw and could be their final opponents.

Slovakia key players for this year’s European Championship

Slovakia top Euros Golden Boot contender: Ivan Schranz

  • Key stat: Schranz has just five international goals to his name and two of them have come at Euro 2024.

There’s still time for striker Robert Bozenik to get going but at present, he’s being overshadowed at the tournament by Ivan Schranz, who has two goals to his name. Only Georgia’s Georges Mikautadze (3) and Germany’s Jamal Musiala (3) are outscoring the Slavia Prague forward so far.

Lukáš Haraslín finished as the leading Slovakia goalscorer in their qualifying program and has taken their most shots on target at Euro 2024 so far (4).

Slovakia primary playmaker: Lukáš Haraslín

  • Key stat: Haraslín has created more chances (7) than any Slovakia player at Euro 2024.

The left-winger creates exclusively through crosses but the majority of Slovakia’s goals at the Euros so far have been headers (2/3). Haraslín has a highest expected assist total than any teammate so far (0.72).

Slovakia card magnets & top tacklers: Ondrej Duda

  • Key stat: Ondrej Duda (10) received more yellow cards than any Slovakia player across Europe’s top seven leagues in 2023/24.

Duda has conceded seven fouls at Euro 2024. Before a handful of players have a worse record at the tournament so far, none of them Slovakian. He has picked up a yellow card already and has also made more tackles than any compatriot (4).

Slovakia rising star: Leo Sauer

Leo Sauer is one of a handful of teenagers playing at Euro 2024, having been born in December 2005. The 18-year-old joined Feyenoord from MSK Zilina last summer and has already played his way to a contract extension, despite splitting his time between the U21 and first team squad. He has also played his way into a first senior Slovakia call-up in March, playing two games so far.

Slovakia set-piece specialists

  • Penalties: TBC
  • Free kicks: Duda/Haraslín/Kucka/Hancko
  • Corners: Duda/Haraslín

Slovakia stats and formation

Slovakia team stats from qualifying (average per game):

  • Corners in qualifying: 7.3
  • Corners conceded: 3.5
  • Shots on target: 3.8
  • Shots on target conceded: 3.8
  • Offsides: 2.7

Martin Dúbravka and Milan Škriniar are two of the more familiar Slovakia players to fans generally. The other is Stanislav Lobotka, who anchors Slovakia’s midfield having had a lot of time with Calzona while the pair were at Napoli towards the end of the 2023/24 Serie A campaign. Since his appointment, Calzona has exclusively used a 4-3-3 so it would be a surprise if Slovakia lined up in any other way against England. What then matters is the personnel that are fielded within, as there are several options to hug Slovakia’s flank and keep Lobotka company in the engine room.

Slovakia final squad

PLAYER NAME POSITION AGE CLUB
Martin Dúbravka Goalkeeper 35 Newcastle
Marek Rodák Goalkeeper 27 Fulham
Henrich Ravas Goalkeeper 26 New England Revolution
Peter Pekarík Defender 37 Hertha Berlin
Denis Vavro Defender 28 Copenhagen
Adam Obert Defender 21 Cagliari
Norbert Gyömbér Defender 31 Salernitana
Milan Škriniar Defender 29 Paris Saint-Germain
Vernon De Marco Defender 31 Hatta
Dávid Hancko Defender 26 Feyenoord
Sebastian Kóša Defender 20 Spartak Trnava
Tomáš Rigo Midfielder 21 Baník Ostrava
Tomáš Suslov Midfielder 22 Hellas Verona
Ondrej Duda Midfielder 29 Hellas Verona
László Bénes Midfielder 26 Hamburger
Patrik Hrošovský Midfielder 32 Genk
Juraj Kucka Midfielder 37 Slovan Bratislava
Matúš Bero Midfielder 28 VfL Bochum
Stanislav Lobotka Midfielder 29 Napoli
Leo Sauer Midfielder 18 Feyenoord
Róbert Boženík Forward 24 Boavista
Ľubomír Tupta Forward 26 Slovan Liberec
Lukáš Haraslín Forward 28 Sparta Prague
David Strelec Forward 23 Slovan Bratislava
Dávid Ďuriš Forward 25 Ascoli
Ivan Schranz Forward 30 Slavia Prague

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