Outright Odds

Most Serie A goals 2024-25: Capocannoniere predictions and current standings

By Tom Dutton

Most Serie A goals 2024/25: Early Capocannoniere favourites, predictions and last season's standings

Published: 10:45, 11 February 2025

The 2024-25 Serie A season is into its second half, with a host of clubs battling it out for the title.

Of course, most successful teams require a top-class striker, someone who can lead the line and convert pressure into goals. Last season, that man was Lautaro Martinez, whose 24 Serie A goals fired Inter comfortably to the title, finishing 19 points above closest rivals AC Milan. Martinez’s closest goalscoring rival was Juventus’ Dusan Vlahovic, but even he finished eight behind the Argentine.

Looking further back, from Zlatan Ibrahimovic to Andriy Shevchenko — not to mention Cristiano Ronaldo, Francesco Totti and Alessandro Del Piero — the list of Capocannoniere winners reads as a who’s who of legendary strikers.

Who are the favourites to take the prestigious award this year?

Serie A 2024-25 Capocannoniere predictions

It’s hard to look past Lautaro Martinez topping the goalscoring charts again this season given how dominant he was in 2023-24, especially as he comes into the new campaign fresh from winning the Copa America Golden Boot as Argentina went all the way. Victor Osimhen, who won the trophy in 2022-23, was expected to be his biggest competitor but has now joined Galatasaray on loan. Runner-up Dusan Vlahovic will want to compete, too, but he trails behind on eight goals.

It’s always worth keeping an eye on Romelu Lukaku given how effective he’s been in Italy over the years, with the Belgian currently on nine goals. Martinez’s Inter teammate Marcus Thuram was high up in last season’s standings with 13 goals — a tally he has already matched. But it’s Atalanta’s Mateo Retegui running away with things at the moment, breaking the 20-goal mark.

Serie A top goalscorers: 2024-25 season | Italian top flight

SERIE A TOP GOALSCORERS

Player Goals xG Minutes Played
Mateo Retegui 20 11.88 1,325
Moise Kean 13 12.55 1,930
Marcus Thuram 13 7.91 1,803
Ademola Lookman 10 6.48 1,331
Lorenzo Lucca 9 3.97 1,598
Romelu Lukaku 9 9.15 1,696
Valentin Castellanos 9 12.44 1,755
Lautaro Martinez 9 9.3 1,818
Dusan Vlahovic 8 10.21 1,365
Sebastiano Esposito 8 4.68 1,379

Players with the same amount of goals are ranked by fewer minutes played. Stats correct as of 10:00, 11/02/25.

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