Outright Odds

Man City Premier League Outright Odds as three-peat hopes are threatened by Arsenal

By Dean Smith

Man City Premier League Outright Odds as three-peat hopes are threatened by Arsenal

Published: 16:45, 24 January 2023

After winning the Premier League title for the second consecutive season, Manchester City will be searching for three in a row in 2022/23 — but they face stiff competition in current leaders Arsenal. Get the latest Man City betting odds here.

Manchester City to win Premier League odds


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Since the start of the Premier League in 1992, only one team has managed to win the title in three consecutive seasons: with Manchester United managing it twice between 1999-2001 and 2007-2009. Stretching it across the history of the English top flight, the three-peat has only been achieved on five occasions, but Man City will be looking to make it six in 2022/23.

Man City fans will have grown used to close title races, especially after winning the 2011/12 title on the final day on goal difference, but last season was a tough one. Pep Guardiola’s side had been in control just after Christmas but allowed Liverpool to catch up and take the race to the final day, with one point separating the two sides. They managed to get the job done, but it was a photo-finish.

City have gone for a three-peat in the past, winning back-to-back titles in 2017/18 and 2018/19, but in 2019/20 their title defence was pretty poor and they finished 18 points behind league winners Liverpool — a gap that could have been more had Jurgen Klopp’s side not taken their foot off the gas after glory was secured.

And once again their ambitions of claiming three in a row are being put under considerable pressure by another title aspirant, this time in the form of Arsenal. Mikel Arteta’s men currently lead the way in the Premier League at the halfway point, having lost just one game, and boasting a five-point gap on City (and with a game in hand).

As such, Arsenal have slightly shorter odds to seal the Premier League title than the reigning champions, but there’s still plenty of time for that to change.


Premier League Outright Odds*

Find the latest Premier League winner odds for the 2022/2023 season here:

Club Chance Paddy Power
Arsenal 53.59% 4/6
Manchester City 45.46% 6/5
Man Utd 0.77% 50/1
Newcastle 0.17% 80/1
Liverpool 0.01% 375/1
Tottenham 0% 500/1
Probability % provided by StatsPerform
You have to be 18+ to gamble. All odds within this article are accurate at the time of writing (18:45, 31/01/2023). BeGambleAware.

Manchester City top four finish odds

If Man City don’t manage to win the Premier League, Guardiola’s side should still be a shoo-in to finish in the top four. It’s now been 12 years since Man City last finished outside the Premier League’s top four, ending the 2009/10 campaign in fifth, missing out on a Champions League spot thanks to Peter Crouch’s goal for Tottenham Hotspur at the Etihad.

In the 12 seasons that have passed since, Man City only finished as low as fourth once, with two third-placed finishes and three in second to go with their six title wins. It would take a fall of monumental proportions for Man City to not finish in the top four in 2022/23. In fact, if they win their game in hand on fifth-placed Spurs — which, incidentally is against Arsenal — they will be 12 points safe from dropping out of the coveted quartet.

So understandably, Man City have ridiculously short odds to finish in the top four in 2022/23, with Paddy Power offering 1/80 for that to happen.

Manchester City odds to win the Champions League

For all their domestic domination, there’s something missing for Man City. The major goal for a club looking to build itself as one of the biggest and best in the world. Something Paris Saint-Germain have also struggled to obtain in their own quests: the Champions League.

Man City went so close to a first Champions League title in 2020/21 but they lost to Premier League rivals Chelsea in their maiden final appearance. Last season they looked on course to reach back-to-back finals with a chance to put that Chelsea defeat behind them, as Liverpool did in 2019 by winning the Champions League a year after being a losing finalist.

The Citizens made light of a potentially tricky group last season, finishing top ahead of Paris Saint-Germain and RB Leipzig to set up a last 16 tie with Sporting, comfortably beating the Portuguese side 5-0 on aggregate. Things were a lot closer in the quarter-finals as Man City edged a 1-0 win over Atletico Madrid to set up a semi with the seemingly invincible Real Madrid.

Man City had Real Madrid on the ropes in the first leg and will have been disappointed to come away with only a 4-3 lead, and that came back to bite them as Los Blancos won the second leg 3-1 after extra-time, which included them scoring two goals in a matter of moments when Man City had looked safe in the final.

This season, they made light work of the groups, going unbeaten against Borussia Dortmund, Sevilla and Copenhagen to set up a last-16 date with RB Leipzig. Will this finally be their year?

Club Paddy Power William Hill Sky Bet
Manchester City 13/8 13/8 2/1
Bayern Munich 16/1 6/1 13/2
PSG 7/1 7/1 7/1
Liverpool 9/1 9/1 9/1
Napoli 10/1 11/1 12/1
Real Madrid 11/1 10/1 10/1
Chelsea 12/1 14/1 18/1
Tottenham 16/1 18/1 20/1
You have to be 18+ to gamble. All odds within this article are accurate at the time of writing (17:45, 24/01/2023). BeGambleAware.

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Other Manchester City Premier League odds

A team like Man City will aim to win everything every season and they normally go quite far in most competitions. Last season saw Man City’s Quadruple dreams end shockingly early as they were dumped out of the EFL Cup in the fourth round, ending their four-year stranglehold on the competition.

After semi-final exits in the FA Cup and the Champions League, Man City ended the campaign with just the Premier League to keep themselves warm. They have already been dumped out of the EFL Cup and face a daunting tie against Arsenal in the FA Cup, casting doubt on their domestic ambitions.

Then there’s the Premier League Golden Boot. Man City’s big move in the summer transfer window was done before it officially opened, as Guardiola welcomed Erling Haaland to the Etihad. The Norwegian is a goalscoring machine and has already bagged a ridiculous 25 goals in just 19 games. As such, his odds to seal the annual gong are exceptionally short, with some markets even suspended — but Paddy Power still offer one of the more favourable at 1/25.

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