Outright Odds

Where will Everton finish in the 2024-25 Premier League season? Odds, probable finish, signings, best players and full squad

By Harry Edwards

Everton odds to win the Premier League 2024/25: Predicted finish, transfers, best players and full squad

Published: 18:30, 18 February 2025

Everton will be hoping to end the Goodison Park era on a high note with the 2024-25 Premier League.

After 131 years, this is the Toffees’ final campaign at their historic ground, where they have celebrated league titles, FA Cups, and European trophies, solidifying their status as one of England’s most storied clubs. In recent years, however, Everton have had to battle bravely against relegation. But they managed to finish the 2023-24 campaign 14 points clear of danger, despite facing an eight-point deduction.

There was a clear improvement at Everton under Sean Dyche, but this season didn’t go as planned. After 19 matches, Everton were 16th and Dyche left the club. David Moyes was brought in to save Everton’s season, returning to the Toffees after over 10 years. And he has Everton on the up.

Everton now have just a 0.2% implied probability of being relegated, per BetMGM‘s odds of 500/1. Opta’s season predictions gives them a 0.09% chance of going down. Things are slightly more positive with regards to a top-half finish, with an implied probability of 6.7%.

Latest Everton 2024-25 Premier League odds

Betting Market Odds Implied Probability Opta Probability
Everton to be relegated from the 2024-25 Premier League 500/1 0.2% 0.09%
Everton to finish in 2024-25 Premier League top half 14/1 6.7% N/A

Everton’s transfer business

Everton transfers in

Everton did a lot of their business early in the summer transfer window, signing the likes of Iliman Ndiaye, Jake O’Brien, Tim Iroegbunam and Jesper Lindstrom. Jack Harrison also remained on loan from Leeds. There were also loan arrivals in the shape of Armando Broja and Orel Mangala, while Asmir Begovic added experience as a backup goalkeeper. The Toffees were a lot quieter in January, with just Carlos Alcaraz joining on loan from Flamengo.

Everton transfers out

Everton parted ways with the likes of Amadou Onana, Ben Godfrey, Andre Gomes and Lewis Dobbin in the summer, but managed to keep hold of Jarrad Branthwaite. That was the biggest success of the transfer window. Mason Holgate joined West Bromwich Albion on loan, while Neal Maupay also sealed another temporary move away to Marseille in his native France. In the winter, Dele Alli was the biggest departure in terms of name, leaving for Italian side Como.

Who are Everton’s most important players?

Everton’s top Premier League Golden Boot contender: Beto

Everton have struggled for goals this season, but they look to have found some form under Moyes. And Beto appears to be thriving most. The Guinea-Bissau international has scored five goals in the Premier League season, with only Iliman Ndiaye (six) netting more for the Toffees. But it’s form and minutes that has Beto as the bigger goal threat.

Beto’s five Premier League goals have come in just 573 minutes, averaging 0.79 per 90 minutes. Four of those goals have come in his past three games too, with Beto only ever scoring in four consecutive league matches once before in his career.

His finishing has been decent too. Beto has put away five of his seven big chances, boasting a total Expected Goals tally of 3.48. His xG on Target only drops slightly to 3.46, with a shot placement ratio of 0.99. While you’ll want shot placement ratio to be the other side of 1.0, Beto isn’t massively hurting his chances of scoring with his shot placement. 

Everton’s primary playmaker: Dwight McNeil

With goals a problem, it’s no surprise that Everton’s assist numbers aren’t too high either. The Toffees top assisters this season are Dwight McNeil and Ashley Young, though both have provided just three. But McNeil has been trying his best.

The Englishman has created 33 chances in the Premier League this season, more than any other Everton player. Nine of those have been big chances, again more than any of his teammates. McNeil’s Expected Assists total to actual assists isn’t too different, with an xA of 3.95. But, again, this does pale in comparison to the best Premier League creators this season. It’s worth noting that McNeil has played in a few different roles this season, though, which has hampered his creativity at times. And he’s currently out injured.

Everton’s card magnet & top tackler: Idrissia Gueye

No Everton player comes close to Idrissa Gueye for tackles this season, with the midfielder making 84 so far. In fact, only Daniel Munoz (88) has made more tackles across the Premier League as a whole. And he’s played more minutes. Among players with at least 1,125 minutes played, Gueye has averaged the most tackles per 90 (3.93).

Gueye also sits joint-top for fouls among Everton players, with his 36 level alongside Abdoulaye Doucoure. But while Doucoure has only received two yellow cards, Gueye is on five. Only Jordan Pickford (six) has received more yellow cards than Gueye for Everton this season.

Everton’s rising star: Jarrad Branthwaite

If we’re honest, Jarrad Branthwaite’s star has already risen pretty high and he was terribly unlucky not to make the England squad for Euro 2024. The 22-year-old is already a very accomplished centre-back with and without the ball and despite heavy interest from Manchester United last summer, the Toffees kept their prized asset, at least for now.

Everton’s set-piece specialists:

  • Penalties: Iliman Ndiaye
  • Free-kicks: Jesper Lindstrom
  • Corners: Dwight McNeil/Jesper Lindstrom

Everton tactical analysis, formation & player ratings

Everton team stats from the 2023-24 Premier League season (avg per game):

  • Corners: 4.8
  • Shots on target: 4.3
  • Shots conceded: 14.2
  • Offsides: 2.34

Everton 2024-25 player ratings*

  • GK: Jordan Pickford – 69% – Pickford is among the highest-performing goalkeepers in the Premier League this season after some shaky early performances, he’s back to his best now.
  • RB: Ashley Young – 68% – You can teach an old dog new tricks. Young is now Everton’s first-choice right-back and has turned out to be one of the league’s best performers in this role.
  • CB: Jarrad Branthwaite – 67% – Branthwaite missed the start of the season but he’s back and better than ever. The Englishman ranks in the 95th percentile for centre-backs regarding last-man tackles and ground duels success.
  • CB: James Tarkowski – 61% – With his teammate strong on the ground, Tarkowski ranks in the 95th percentile for centre-backs when it comes to aerial duel success rate.
  • LB: Vitaly Mykolenko – 57% – Among the lower-performing left-back in the Premier League according to the Squawka Score, though that’s partially down to being pinned back in a defensive role.
  • DM: Idrissa Gueye – 58% – Has looked a yard off the pace at times, but can you blame him at 35 years old? He’s still the tackling king, though.
  • DM: Abdoulaye Doucoure – 38% – Doucoure has been an interesting player this season, utilised in various roles. And that has unfortunately counted against him for his Score.
  • AM: Dwight McNeil – 62% – Has been unleashed through the middle to great effect, notching three goals and three assists so far. Easily Everton’s top performer, but is currently sidelined with a knee injury.
  • FWD: Jesper Lindstrom – 41% – Among the lowest-performing wingers in the Premier League on the Squawka Score due to his low offensive output, but what is hard to quantify is how hard he works.
  • CF: Dominic Calvert-Lewin – 47% – Has three goals to his name this season but has also missed 13 big chances.
  • FWD: Iliman Ndiaye – 45% – Ndiaye has scored six goals in a goal-shy Everton team, and looks a real talent with the ball at his feet. But he is let down by the lack of frequency with his scoring.

David Moyes typically employs a 4-2-3-1 formation, featuring an attacking midfielder who operates just behind a target man. Instead of cutting inside, the wingers are tasked with delivering crosses into the box, while also maintaining a high level of defensive work rate and discipline.

When the squad is fully fit, it seems that not many of Everton’s new signings will be immediate starters. However, Iliman Ndiaye has displayed promise with some impressive dribbling reminiscent of Steven Pienaar. Meanwhile, Dwight McNeil has excelled when playing centrally, but Moyes is having to cope without him for now.

Everton’s full Premier League 2024-25 squad

PLAYER NAME POSITION AGE
Jordan Pickford Goalkeeper 30
Joao Virginia Goalkeeper 25
Asmir Begovic Goalkeeper 37
Jarrad Branthwaite Defender 22
Jake O’Brien Defender 23
James Tarkowski Defender 32
Michael Keane Defender 32
Vitalii Mykolenko Defender 25
Ashley Young Defender 39
Nathan Patterson Defender 23
Seamus Coleman Defender 36
Orel Mangala Midfielder 26
James Garner Midfielder 23
Carlos Alcaraz Midfielder 22
Tim Iroegbunam Midfielder 21
Abdoulaye Doucoure Midfielder 32
Idrissa Gueye Midfielder 35
Dwight McNeil Midfielder 25
Iliman Ndiaye Forward 24
Jesper Lindstrom Forward 24
Jack Harrison Forward 28
Dominic Calvert-Lewin Forward 27
Beto Forward 27
Armando Broja Forward 23
Chermiti Forward 20

Everton FAQs

Where did Everton finish in the 2023-24 Premier League season?

Everton finished 15th in the Premier League in 2023-24, reaching 40 points and sitting 14 points clear of relegation despite suffering an eight-point deduction.

Who is the Everton manager?

Sean Dyche is the current Everton manager, taking the job in January 2023

Who is the current Everton captain?

Seamus Coleman is the current Everton captain, while James Tarkowski and Jordan Pickford often wear the armband in the Irishman’s absence.

Will Everton play in Europe in 2024-25?

Everton will not play in Europe next season, last doing so in the 2017-18 season.

How do Squawka player ratings work?*

Squawka’s new player rating system is completely stats-based. Player scores are based on the numbers they put up across a range of on-ball events, from goals scored to tackles won.

Using extensive research and our expertise, we’ve tailored each score to the player’s position. For example, forwards’ scores are based on metrics such as shots on target, touches in the opposition box and big chances created. Meanwhile, centre-backs are rewarded for winning aerial duels, making blocks, successful long-range passes and so on.

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