Outright Odds

Denmark odds to win Euro 2024: Probability, path to final, tactics, stats and key players

By Squawka News

Published: 15:45, 29 June 2024

Denmark secured passage into the Euro 2024 knockout rounds as Group C runners-up. 

The Danes have a rich history in this tournament, with Euro 2020 the second time they have gone out in the final four, while they famously went all the way as shock winners in 1992 despite not initially even qualifying.

They won’t be among the favourites, but Denmark have more than enough quality in their ranks to trouble even the very best sides at the Euros, but they suffered an opening day hiccup by snatching a point from the jaws of victory against Slovenia.

That was followed by consecutive draws against England and Serbia, leaving them with three points, level with Slovenia. However, their better disciplinary record ultimately saw them finish behind in second place.

A booking for Slovenia coach Milvoje Novaković earlier in the tournament contributed to their eventual total of seven yellow cards to Denmark’s six, which sets the Danes up for a last-16 meeting with hosts Germany, while the Slovenians qualified as one of the four best third-placed teams.

Novaković’s booking did not appear on UEFA’s disciplinary list, with the governing body since confirming to Reuters that yellow cards for technical staff counted toward the disciplinary total.

Consequently, after two early Danish bookings, Slovenia found themselves in second place at one point during the final matchday.

However, even without Novaković’s punished transgression, Denmark would remain in second place due to its superior qualifying record. Their overall standing was good for ninth place, while Slovenia finished in 15th.

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Latest Denmark odds to win Euro 2024
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Denmark to win Euro 2024
Christian Eriksen to win Golden Boot

Denmark route to the Euro 2024 final in Berlin

Group stage fixtures

  • 1-1 vs Slovenia (16 June, StuttgartArena)
  • 1-1 vs England (20 June 2024, 6pm, Waldstadion)
  • 0-0 vs Serbia (25 June 2024, 9pm, Allianz Arena)

Denmark’s potential knockout stage opponents

As runners-up of Group C, Denmark will face the winners of Group A. That is hosts Germany, if they get through that, the likely opponents are the Group B winners, which many will expect to be Spain. Then it’s a potential semi-final against Portugal. The final could pit Denmark against the likes of France or England.

Denmark key players for this year’s European Championship

Denmark top Euros Golden Boot contender: Christian Eriksen

Despite modest attacking options, Christian Eriksen, who plays a subdued deep-lying midfield role, has taken it upon himself to compensate for lost time at this level. Unfortunately, the former Ajax man—who has since turned out for Tottenham, Inter Milan, Brentford, and Manchester United—saw his European Championship tournament cut short three years ago. He was involved in 55% of Denmark’s 42 shots in the group stage, attempting ten and scoring once. Kasper Hjulmand’s men ended up with two goals, meaning Eriksen was responsible for half.

Denmark primary playmaker: Christian Eriksen

    Heading into Germany, few looked past Eriksen as Denmark’s chief creator-in-chief. He has lived up to the billing and then some. He finished the group phase, having created 13 chances, the most by a Danish player ever at a major tournament (World Cup & Euros since 1980). Furthermore, he is the first Denmark player to register 10+ shots and 10+ chances created at a single edition of a major tournament.

    Denmark card magnets & top tacklers: Pierre-Emile Højbjerg

      Pierre-Emile Højbjerg’s commitment to Denmark’s cause is unquestionable. The midfielder, who developed under Pep Guardiola at Bayern Munich, plays as a defensive midfielder in front of the Danish back four and clearly understands his role as a ball-winning midfielder. So far, he has made the most tackles for the team with eight while committing four fouls.

      Denmark rising star: Pierre-Emile Højbjerg

      Denmark have a host of exciting young players coming through right now but one of the biggest prospects is Victor Kristiansen. Still just 21 years old, Jelert has made the left-back spot his own at club level with Bologna (on loan from Leicester City), playing 34 times over the last season, and showing his creative streak with four assists.

      Kristiansen’s efforts have been rewarded with his first few senior caps for Denmark, including starting five of their last six internationals and playing the full 90 three times.

      His exposure in Bologna’s successful Champions League qualification campaign means Kristiansen is already catching the eye of some European giants. So far he’s featured in each of Denmark’s outings (totalling 148 minutes) while creating two chances and having one shot on goal.

      Denmark set-piece specialists

      • Penalties: Rasmus Hojlund
      • Free kicks: Christian Eriksen
      • Corners: Christian Eriksen

      Denmark tactical analysis and formation

      Denmark team stats from Euro 2024 (average per game):

      • Corners: 8.2
      • Shots on target: 4.7
      • Shots on target conceded: 2.3
      • Offsides: 1.7

       

      Kasper Hjulmand has often switched to a three-at-the-back system, and it’s been no different at Euro 2024. Veteran shot-stopper Kasper Schmeichel remains between the sticks. Simon Kjær is still the national team captain, but he may make way for the younger, more mobile trio of Joachim Andersen, Andreas Christensen, and Jannik Vestergaard at centre-back.

      In midfield, Nørgaard will be the destroyer, partnering Tottenham’s Pierre-Emile Højbjerg, who could be the box-to-box option, using his immense stamina to provide coverage across the pitch. That will free Eriksen to concentrate on opening up defences and providing chances for those ahead of him, playing alongside Jonas Wind behind Rasmus Højlund.

      Denmark’s Euro 2024 squad

      PLAYER NAME POSITION AGE CLUB
      Kasper Schmeichel Goalkeeper 37 Anderlecht
      Frederik Rønnow Goalkeeper 31 Union Berlin
      Mads Hermansen Goalkeeper 23 Leicester City
      Simon Kjær Defender 35 Milan
      Andreas Christensen Defender 28 Barcelona
      Joakim Mæhle Defender 27 VfL Wolfsburg
      Jannik Vestergaard Defender 31 Leicester City
      Joachim Andersen Defender 28 Crystal Palace
      Rasmus Kristensen Defender 26 Roma
      Victor Nelsson Defender 25 Galatasaray
      Alexander Bah Defender 26 Benfica
      Victor Kristiansen Defender 21 Bologna
      Christian Eriksen Midfielder 32 Manchester United
      Thomas Delaney Midfielder 32 Anderlecht
      Pierre-Emile Højbjerg Midfielder 28 Tottenham Hotspur
      Mathias Jensen Midfielder 28 Brentford
      Mikkel Damsgaard Midfielder 23 Brentford
      Christian Nørgaard Midfielder 30 Brentford
      Morten Hjulmand Midfielder 24 Sporting CP
      Yussuf Poulsen Forward 29 RB Leipzig
      Kasper Dolberg Forward 26 Anderlecht
      Andreas Skov Olsen Forward 24 Club Brugge
      Jonas Wind Forward 25 VfL Wolfsburg
      Rasmus Højlund Forward 21 Manchester United
      Jacob Bruun Larsen Forward 25 Burnley
      Anders Dreyer Forward 26 Anderlecht

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