Outright Odds

Where will Brentford finish in the 2024/25 Premier League season? Odds, probable finish, signings, best players and full squad

By John Smith

Where will Brentford finish in the Premier League 2024/25? Predicted finish, transfers, best players and full squad

Published: 20:00, 6 November 2024

Brentford will look for a massive improvement in the Premier League campaign after a disappointing 2023/24 season.

The Bees have adjusted brilliantly to life in the top flight, with 13th and ninth-placed finishes in their first two campaigns. However, last season was something of a regression as Thomas Frank’s men slipped to 16th. They started brightly and were ninth by the start of November following a three-game winning streak against Burnley, Chelsea and West Ham. However, Brentford lost 14 of their next 18 Premier League matches, picking up just 10 points and crashing into the relegation battle.

Thankfully, Brentford stabilised and finished with something of a flourish, losing just two of their last nine games, picking up 13 points and three wins to move 13 points clear of the relegation zone. That was a big relief to supporters, who will expect much better this time around.

Brentford have a 20% implied probability of finishing in the top half of the Premier League this season, which will undoubtedly be the minimum they’re hoping for.

Read on for everything you need to know about the upcoming season.

Latest Brentford odds to finish in the top half of the 2024/25 Premier League

BRENTFORD 2024/25 PREMIER LEAGUE ODDS
Squawka
Team
Brentford to finish in the 2024/25 Premier League top half
Brentford to finish in the 2024/25 Premier League top 6
Brentford to be relegated from the 2024/25 Premier League

Odds correct as of 18:15 on 06/11/24. 18+ only. GambleAware.

As mentioned, Brentford are in a reasonable position to finish in the top half of the table. However, it’s worth noting that the implied probability for them to be relegated isn’t too different at 20%. For the more optimistic, Brentford have an implied probability of 4.8% to finish in the top six.

Brentford’s summer transfer window business

Ivan Toney left for Al-Ahli in the Saudi Pro League after four years with the Bees, scoring 72 goals. David Raya secured his loan move to Arsenal permanently after becoming the Gunners’ No. 1 goalkeeper and winning the Premier League Golden Glove. Seven players would join Brentford in the summer, including Igor Thiago, Fábio Carvalho and Sepp van den Berg, with the latter two relocating from Liverpool.

Who are Brentford’s most important players?

Brentford’s top Premier League Golden Boot contender: Bryan Mbeumo

Toney’s impressive 20-goal tally in the Premier League during the 2022/23 season is still memorable, but Brentford showed they could cope without him last season. Now that he has left, Bryan Mbeumo has stepped up, scoring eight goals in his first 10 appearances — double that of the club’s next-best scorer, Yoane Wissa, who has four goals. Interestingly, both Mbeumo and Wissa have converted four big chances each while missing three.

Brentford’s primary playmaker: Mikkel Damsgaard

Mbeumo is not only scoring goals but also contributing to the team’s play by creating 17 chances so far, which is equal to the number created by Mikkel Damsgaard. Damsgaard leads Brentford in assists with three to his name. From those assists, he has produced five big scoring opportunities for his teammates, the same amount as Mbeumo and Vitaly Janelt.

Brentford’s card magnet & top tackler: Christian Norgaard

Christian Norgaard was first among Brentford players in a number of key defensive metrics last season, including tackles (81), interceptions (54) and possessions won in the middle third (122), while he also committed the most fouls (41) and picked up the most bookings (8). Simply put, the Denmark international was a human wrecking ball in the Bees’ midfield, doing his best to shutdown opposition attacks and protect his centre-backs.

Norgaard is again performing a vital function this season, with a team-high 21 tackles and 12 fouls committed, resulting in two yellow cards, one fewer than Kristoffer Ajer.

Brentford’s rising star: Yegor Yarmolyuk

Yegor Yarmolyuk has been at Brentford for a couple of years now, joining from Dnipro in the summer of 2022. However, it was only last season that he started to battle his way into first team reckoning, making 30 appearances across all competitions, including 27 in the Premier League.

Only six of those league outings came from the start, but at 20 years old, Yarmolyuk has time on his side. The Ukraine youth international is a highly talented, technical attacking midfielder and his record for his country of seven goals in 28 caps across various age groups suggests there’s much more to come.

Brentford’s set-piece specialists:

  • Penalties: Ivan Toney
  • Free-kicks: Ivan Toney/Bryan Mbeumo
  • Corners: Mathias Jensen/Bryan Mbeumo

Brentford tactical analysis, formation & player ratings

Brentford team stats from the 2023/24 Premier League season (avg per game):

  • Corners: 4.8
  • Shots on target: 4.5
  • Shots faced: 14.42
  • Offsides: 1.84

Brentford 2024/25 player ratings*

  • GK: Mark Flekken – 70% – He is the number one goalkeeper in the Premier League for saves (5.4) and long passes completed (11.3) per 90 minutes.
  • RB: Mads Roerslev – 56% – Not the strongest at completing tackles and reading the opposition, particularly when it comes to making interceptions. However, he is adventurous going forward, being ranked in the 80th to 95th percentile among full-backs in terms of big chances created.
  • CB: Nathan Collins – 64% – Exceptionally skilled at intercepting, winning aerial duels, and blocking shots. In fact, only three Premier League defenders have a high percentage of aerial duels won.
  • CB: Ethan Pinnock – 60% – Only three Premier League defenders average more clearances per 90 minutes, but an error leading to a goal has affected Pinnock’s current rating.
  • LB: Sepp van den Berg – 56% – Ranks highly in aerial duels won, averaging 3.5 per 90 minutes, and in clearances, with an average of 3.36 per 90 minutes. Opposition forwards are finding it difficult to get past him. However, he struggles with completing crosses and winning possession in the defensive third.
  • CM: Christian Nørgaard – 63% – He ranks in the 80th to 95th percentile for interceptions and tackles won, but he struggles to beat opposition players one-on-one, averaging 0.39 take-ons completed per 90 minutes and winning possession in the attacking third.
  • CM: Vitaly Janelt – 61% – Improvement is needed in winning possession in the middle third, but Janelt averages 0.55 big chances per 90 minutes, placing him in the 95th percentile among all Premier League central midfielders.
  • RW: Bryan Mbeumo – 76% – Only Erling Haaland (11) has scored more Premier League goals than Mbeumo (8) this season.
  • AM: Mikkel Damsgaard – 69% – Has created three goals in the Premier League this season and is also demonstrating his strong tackling skills (1.79 won per 90).
  • LW: Keane Lewis-Potter – 66% – Strong at completing crosses (3.75 per 90), but can improve in creating chances (0.8 per 90) and winning possession back (3.59 ball recoveries per 90).
  • CF: Kevin Schade – 56% – Yet to score or create a goal this season, missing 0.94 big chances per 90 minutes. In contrast, Yoane Wissa (63%) has scored four goals.

Brentford’s full Premier League 2024/25 squad

PLAYER NAME POSITION AGE NATIONALITY
Mark Flekken Goalkeeper 31 Netherlands
Hákon Rafn Valdimarsson Goalkeeper 23 Iceland
Matthew Cox Goalkeeper 21 England
Nathan Collins Defender 23 Ireland
Sepp van den Berg Defender 22 Netherlands
Kristoffer Ajer Defender 26 Norway
Ethan Pinnock Defender 31 Jamaica
Ben Mee Defender 35 England
Ji-soo Kim Defender 19 South Korea
Rico Henry Defender 27 England
Jayden Meghoma Defender 18 England
Aaron Hickey Defender 22 Scotland
Mads Roerslev Defender 25 Denmark
Vitaly Janelt Midfielder 26 Germany
Christian Nørgaard Midfielder 30 Denmark
Yunus Emre Konak Midfielder 18 Turkey
Mathias Jensen Midfielder 28 Denmark
Josh Dasilva Midfielder 26 England
Paris Maghoma Midfielder 23 England
Ryan Trevitt Midfielder 21 England
Fábio Carvalho Midfielder 22 Portugal
Yegor Yarmolyuk Midfielder 20 Ukraine
Kevin Schade Forward 22 Germany
Keane Lewis-Potter Forward 23 England
Mikkel Damsgaard Forward 24 Denmark
Gustavo Nunes Forward 18 Brazil
Bryan Mbeumo Forward 25 Cameroon
Yoane Wissa Forward 28 DR Congo
Igor Thiago Forward 23 Brazil

Brentford FAQs

Where did Brentford finish in the 2023/24 Premier League season?

Brentford finished 16th in the Premier League table in 2023/24 with 39 points.

Who is the Brentford manager?

Thomas Frank is the Brentford manager, taking the job back in October 2018.

Who is the current Brentford captain?

Christian Norgaard is the Brentford captain, while Ivan Toney, Mathias Jensen and Vitaly Janelt often wear the armband.

Will Brentford play in Europe in 2024/25?

Brentford will not play in European competition this season and, to date, never have.

Who is Brentford’s most valuable player?

Ivan Toney is Brentford’s most valuable player, with a market value of €50m according to Transfermarkt.

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