? Quick Picks: Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions
- Best Bet: Back the Detroit Lions to win on the moneyline at home, leveraging a stronger offensive efficiency and recent scoring pace. See Detroit Lions hub
- Total Lean: Over 51.5 – Both sides average 70+ combined PPG (season), supporting a higher scoring game profile.
- Player Prop: Emanuel Wilson (Packers) Over 70.5 Rushing Yards – Faces a Lions’ defence that has allowed ground yards at above league median in recent games.
- Key Stat: Detroit leads the NFL in yards per play (7.8), while Green Bay counters with an elite 4.9 yards per rush.
- Kickoff: Thursday, 27 Nov 2025, 18:00 GMT | ? NFL Network
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When and Where is Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions?
- Matchup: Green Bay Packers (7-3-1) at Detroit Lions (7-4)
- Date & Time: Thursday, 27 November 2025, 18:00 GMT
- Venue: Ford Field, Detroit
- Broadcast: NFL Network
- Weather: Dome (no weather impact)
Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions: Expert Betting Tips & Predictions
Moneyline Analysis
The Detroit Lions profile as the value side at home, outscoring opponents by 10 PPG (40.0 per game) and leading the NFL in yards per play (7.8). With Green Bay Packers coming off back-to-back wins but facing tougher road opposition, backing Detroit for the win leans on home-field advantage and offensive consistency. See Green Bay Packers hub
Totals Prediction (Over/Under)
The over is favoured here, thanks to both teams maintaining high pace and efficiency: Lions at 40.0 points per game, Packers at 30.0 (combined average: 70.0). Both sides rank top-6 in third down conversion rates (DET 69.0%, GB 68.0%) and possess below-average pressure rates defensively, supporting sustained drives and red zone visits. Recent H2H matchups averaged over 50 points.
Player Prop Recommendations
- Josh Jacobs (Packers) Over 70.5 Rushing Yards: Averaging 3.83 yards/carry, up against a Lions defence recently outgained on the ground.
- Jameson Williams (Lions) Longest Reception Over 19.5 Yards: Averaged 18 yards per grab, fits explosive play profile in Detroit’s offence.
- Jordan Love (Packers) Over 2.5 Passing Touchdowns: 15 TDs on the season, Detroit has allowed passing TDs at a rate above league average.
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Matchup: Green Bay Packers @ Detroit Lions
N/A Place bet Bet Builder Ideas for Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions
Conservative Bet Builder
- Lions to win + Total Over 49.5 + Josh Jacobs Over 60 Rushing Yards
Rationale: Detroit’s high scoring at home plus Jacob’s consistent rushing against a banged-up defensive front offer a solid accumulator profile.
Value Bet Builder
- Packers +7.5 (handicap) + Jameson Williams to score anytime + Total Over 51.5
Rationale: Green Bay has backdoor scoring ability, while Williams profiles as a threat in a pass-heavy game script.
High-Odds Bet Builder
- Lions total team points Over 35.5 + Both teams to score 4+ touchdowns
Rationale: Both sides are top-5 in season-long points per game; Lions’ explosive offence at home could produce a total shootout.
Try your bet builder on Paddy Power or Sky Bet. T&Cs apply.
What are the Key Stats for Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions?
Team Comparison
| Metric | Detroit Lions (Home) | Green Bay Packers (Away) |
|---|---|---|
| Pts/Game | 40.0 | 30.0 |
| Yds/Play | 7.8 | 7.7 |
| 3rd Down % | 69.0% | 68.0% |
| Red Zone TD % | 40.0% | 30.0% |
| Turnover Diff | +5 | +3 |
| Pressure Rate | 23% | 17% |
Matchup-Specific Trends
- The Lions are 4-1 at home, averaging 40 PPG at Ford Field
- Packers are 3-2-1 on the road, with a season-high of 23 points in away wins
- The past three H2H matchups averaged 52+ points, with Detroit winning two of three
- Both teams have converted over 67% of third downs in their last three games
Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions Head-to-Head Record
The last five meetings between these teams have produced high-scoring, competitive battles. Green Bay holds a 3-2 edge in recent H2H, with an average margin of 6.0 points.
- 2025-09-07: Lions 13 @ Packers 27
- 2024-12-06: Packers 31 @ Lions 34
- 2024-11-03: Lions 24 @ Packers 14
- 2023-11-23: Packers 29 @ Lions 22
- 2023-09-29: Lions 34 @ Packers 20
Betting Insight: Four of the last five produced 44+ total points, supporting an over lean for the market.
Why This Game Matters for Bettors
- Division implications: Winner takes a pivotal step in the tight NFC North race
- Offensive matchup: Both teams are top-8 in yards/play and 3rd down conversions
- Defensive edge: Detroit generates more pressure (23%), possibly forcing errors from Green Bay’s QBs
- Star power: Watch Lions’ Goff, Packers’ Josh Jacobs and Jordan Love for prop angles
- Situational factors: Dome surface, Thanksgiving crowd, short week – all may favour fast starts and high scores
What are the Key Matchups in Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions?
Lions Offensive Line vs Packers Pass Rush
Detroit’s OL allows only 3.5% sack rate, supporting play-action and deep shots. Green Bay posts a below-par 17% pressure rate, suggesting Lions’ Goff will have time in the pocket – a strong edge for Detroit overs and QB props.
Packers Ground Game vs Lions Front Seven
Josh Jacobs averages 3.83 yards/carry and 80+ over the last three. Detroit’s run defence has shown vulnerability in recent outings, making Jacobs’s rushing over a value play.
Packers Secondary vs Lions Deep Threats
With injuries among Packers’ DBs and Williams posting a 18.0 ypr average (albeit low volume), deeper Lions receivers and up-tempo play profiles for explosive pass plays and long-yardage props.
Which Players Will Impact Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions?
Detroit Lions Players to Watch
Jared Goff (QB)
Role: Offensive leader/primary passer
Recent Form: Led team to 40 PPG (season average); high yards/play stat
Matchup Note: Faces a Packers defence with below-average pressure
Betting Angle: Consider overs on completions/yards, reduced sack risk
Jameson Williams (WR)
Role: Red zone and vertical seam target
Recent Form: 562 yards and 5 TDs on the season
Matchup Note: Packers’ coverage mismatches could elevate role
Betting Angle: Longest reception or anytime touchdown in bet builder
Jahmyr Gibbs (RB)
Role: Change-of-pace back/receiving option; recently waived but could return
Recent Form: 951 yards and 10 TDs on the season
Matchup Note: If active, monitor pregame inactives list
Betting Angle: Deep value for alternate yardage bands if news is positive
Green Bay Packers Players to Watch
Josh Jacobs (RB)
Role: Primary runner
Recent Form: 648 yards and 11 TDs in 2025
Matchup Note: Lions’ DT rotation in flux, supports strong prop case
Betting Angle: Rushing over, anytime touchdown
Jordan Love (QB)
Role: Starter/QB with mobility
Recent Form: 2560 yards and 15 TDs on the season
Matchup Note: Leverages play-action with Wilson; subpar Lions red-zone D
Betting Angle: TD and passing yard props; dual-threat potential
Christian Watson (WR)
Role: Volume target in the short passing game
Recent Form: 283 yards and 2 TDs in the past five weeks
Matchup Note: Top short-range outlet
Betting Angle: Receptions over or short-yardage bands
Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions Injury Report & Team News
Detroit Lions Injury Updates
- Kalif Raymond (WR): Out – leaves Lions thinner at slot/returner
- Brock Wright (TE): Out – reduces depth at TE
- Terrion Arnold (CB): Questionable (concussion) – monitor inactives
- Taylor Decker (LT): Questionable (shoulder) – key for pass protection; monitor status
- Marcus Davenport (DE): Activated – boost to Lions’ pass rush (transaction 26 Nov)
Green Bay Packers Injury Updates
- Jayden Reed (WR): On IRD (placed 21 Nov) – deep threat missing, lower WR depth
- Lukas Van Ness (DL): Out (foot) – pass rush impact
- Christian Watson (WR): Full participation – trending healthy
- Jamon Johnson (LB): Activated (26 Nov) – strengthens run defence rotation
Betting Impact: Lions’ skill-position injuries increase Zylstra’s upside; Packers’ lack of receiver depth tilts usage to run game and favours under on some receiver props. Defensive front rotations may drive game tempo and scoring profile.
Monitor official inactives list 90 minutes before kickoff for final injury updates.
X-Factors & Betting Angles for Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions
- Home/Away Splits: Lions average 40 PPG at Ford Field; Packers average just 19.8 PPG over their last three away matches (recent schedule ECN clusters)
- Pass Rush vs Offensive Line: Lions 23% pressure vs Packers 3.5% sack rate allowed: edge to Detroit D/ST, higher turnover potential
- Pace of Play: Both teams sustain above-average time of possession, favouring play-based props and overs in sustained drives
- Special Teams: Lions missing Kalif Raymond impacts return game, affecting average field position and possibly red zone frequency
- Situational Performance: Both sides near-league-best on third down (DET 69%, GB 68%), likely to keep drives alive and support scoring props
Who are the Statistical Leaders for Green Bay Packers and Detroit Lions?
Detroit Lions Statistical Leaders
- Passing: Jared Goff – 2769 yards, 23 TDs
- Rushing: Jahmyr Gibbs – 951 yards, 10 TDs
- Receiving: Amon-Ra St Brown – 884 yards, 9 TDs
- Defense: Pressure rate 23% (Team D); Marcus Davenport – reactivated (key edge defender)
Green Bay Packers Statistical Leaders
- Passing: Jordan Love – 2560 yards, 15 TDs
- Rushing: Josh Jacobs – 648 yards, 11 TDs
- Receiving: Romeo Doubs – 522 yards, 4 TDs
- Defense: 17 sacks team-wide, Quay Walker and Jamon Johnson headline the LB corps
Division & Playoff Implications
Detroit Lions
Lions are 7-4, third in the NFC North, and a win could pull them level with the Packers atop the division. This match is critical, as both sides have split the series in the last two seasons and hold key tiebreakers entering the December run-in.
Green Bay Packers
At 7-3-1 (second in NFC North), Green Bay can solidify a top-two spot with a road win, while a loss might open the door for a late Lions surge. Every divisional win is crucial for playoff seeding.
Betting Context: Both teams have every incentive to press for points here, suggesting overs and aggressive game scripts are more likely late, especially in close-game/come-from-behind scenarios.
Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions: Final Betting Verdict
The data tilts slightly towards Detroit at home, with their high-powered offence and red zone efficiency. The Packers’ ground game and defensive pressure are positives, but their passing game injuries and recent away form limit ceiling. Back the Lions on the moneyline, lean over 51.5 points, and target main prop markets (Emanuel Wilson rushing, Zylstra longest rec.). Edges point to Detroit’s attack, but competitive divisional football keeps outcomes within reach for moderate bet sizes.
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Frequently Asked Questions: Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions
What time is Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions kickoff?
Kicks off Thursday, 27 November 2025, 18:00 GMT at Ford Field, Detroit. TV: NFL Network.
What are the best bets for Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions?
Detroit to win (home moneyline), over 51.5 total points, and Emanuel Wilson (GB) rushing yards over. Bet builder: Lions win + total over + Zylstra anytime TD.
Where can I watch Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions?
UK viewers can watch live on NFL Network; check Paddy Power and Sky Bet platforms for live accas and markets.
What is the injury report for Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions?
Lions are missing WR Kalif Raymond, TE Brock Wright, while Packers’ Jayden Reed is on IRD and Lukas Van Ness is inactive. Check 90 minutes before kickoff for late changes.