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Squawka / NFL News / Dallas Cowboys vs Las Vegas Raiders Betting Tips & Predictions (Nov 18, 2025) | Expert NFL Analysis

Dallas Cowboys vs Las Vegas Raiders Betting Tips & Predictions (Nov 18, 2025) | Expert NFL Analysis

Analysis by Andy Francis, NFL Betting Analyst
? 12+ years NFL betting analysis
? Specialising in statistical modelling and data-driven predictions. Read more

? Quick Picks: Dallas Cowboys vs Las Vegas Raiders

  • Best Bet: Back the Dallas Cowboys (Moneyline) – superior offensive metrics & league-best third-down conversion
  • Total Lean: Under 45.5 – Raiders’ limited scoring (15.0 PPG) and both teams’ high-pressure rates could keep the total down
  • Player Prop: George Pickens (Cowboys) over 70.5 receiving yards – profiles to exploit a secondary allowing over 6.8 yards/play
  • Key Stat: Cowboys lead in yards per play (7.15), with a +15.0 PPG delta vs Raiders
  • Kickoff: Monday, 18 November, 01:15 GMT | ? ABC/ESPN

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When and Where is Dallas Cowboys vs Las Vegas Raiders?

  • Matchup: Dallas Cowboys (3-5-1) at Las Vegas Raiders (2-7)
  • Date & Time: Monday, 18 November 2025, 01:15 GMT
  • Venue: Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas
  • Broadcast: ABC/ESPN (UK: check NFL Game Pass and Sky Sports NFL)
  • Weather: Indoors (Dome) – no weather impact

Dallas Cowboys vs Las Vegas Raiders: Expert Betting Tips & Predictions

Moneyline Analysis

The Dallas Cowboys profile as strong favourites on the road, boasting a statistical edge in points per game (30.0 vs 15.0), yards per play (7.15 vs 6.86), and an impressive third-down conversion rate (69.2%). With a +15.0 points per game delta and a more effective passing game led by George Pickens (49 catches, 764 yards), Dallas hold the Winning value on the moneyline. Las Vegas have struggled offensively with turnovers and a -12 turnover differential, making them difficult to back here.

Totals Prediction (Over/Under)

This matchup projects as a potential under. The Raiders have scored only 15.0 points per game and convert just 15% of their red-zone drives into touchdowns, while their pressure rate (27%) could disrupt Dallas. The Cowboys’ explosive offence is tempered on the road, and Allegiant Stadium’s dome neutralises weather. Both teams combine for high defensive pressure, supporting a lean towards the Under 45.5 market.

Player Prop Recommendations

  • George Pickens (Cowboys) Over 70.5 Receiving Yards – He leads all receivers in this game, facing a Raiders defence with a 6.86 YPP allowed.
  • Ashton Jeanty (Raiders) Under 60.5 Rushing Yards – Jeanty averages 3.83 yards per carry and faces a Cowboys’ front allowing just 15.0 points per game.
  • Jack Bech (Raiders) Over 2.5 Receptions – Bech is trending up and likely to see volume as Las Vegas chase the game.
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Bet Builder Ideas for Dallas Cowboys vs Las Vegas Raiders

Conservative Bet Builder

  • Cowboys to Win + Under 50.5 Total + Ashton Jeanty Under 60.5 Rushing Yards

Rationale: Dallas brings a more potent offence; Raiders’ run struggles and a stingy Cowboys D combine for a methodical, lower total.

Value Bet Builder

  • Pickens 70+ Receiving Yards + Cowboys -7.5 Handicap + Both Teams Score Under 24.5

Rationale: Statistical edge to Pickens versus coverage; Dallas to press the advantage, with low Raiders scoring likelihood.

High-Odds Bet Builder

  • Cowboys to Win by 11-20 Points + Jack Bech 2+ Receptions + Either Team to Score a Defensive TD

Rationale: Raiders turnover record and Dallas pass rush make a defensive score plausible; Bech profiles for high volume in negative script.

What are the Key Stats for Dallas Cowboys vs Las Vegas Raiders?

Team Comparison

MetricLas Vegas Raiders (Home)Dallas Cowboys (Away)
Pts/Game15.030.0
Yds/Play6.867.15
3rd Down %66.7%69.2%
Red Zone TD %15.0%30.0%
Turnover Diff+12+7
Pressure Rate27.0%15.0%

Matchup-Specific Trends

  • Raiders are 2-7 at home, averaging 15.0 PPG at Allegiant Stadium
  • Cowboys are 1-3-1 on the road, allowing only 15.0 PPG in away games
  • The last three Raiders games have all gone Under on totals
  • Cowboys’ offence outpaces league average in net yards per play (+0.7 YPP)

Which Players Will Impact Dallas Cowboys vs Las Vegas Raiders?

Las Vegas Raiders Players to Watch

Ashton Jeanty (RB)
Role: Featured rusher, volume dependent
Recent Form: Enters off the back of 60 yard, 1 TD game
Matchup Note: Faces the NFL’s #4 ranked run defence (by YPC allowed)
Betting Angle: Under on rushing yards or attempts markets

Jack Bech (WR)
Role: Top target-getter in a pass-heavy game script
Recent Form: 7 receptions, 73 yards on the season
Matchup Note: Should face high volume as the Raiders’ passing attack tries to keep pace
Betting Angle: Over 4.5 receptions

Dallas Cowboys Players to Watch

George Pickens (WR)
Role: Dynamic deep threat and consistent first-read
Recent Form: 49 catches, 764 yards, 6 TDs
Matchup Note: Exploitable matchup against a secondary with just 12 INTs
Betting Angle: Over 70.5 receiving yards and longest reception prop

Javonte Williams (RB)
Role: Core offensive piece
Recent Form: 75+ yards in 7 of 10 games this season
Matchup Note: Does not project for significant volume here

Dallas Cowboys vs Las Vegas Raiders Injury Report & Team News

Las Vegas Raiders Injury Updates

  • Jackson Powers-Johnson (OL): Out (IR) – impacts run game interior efficiency
  • Lonnie Johnson Jr. (SAF): Activated from IRD – boost for secondary depth
  • Jamin Davis (LB): Signed recently – adds run support

Dallas Cowboys Injury Updates

  • DeMarvion Overshown (LB): Activated from IRD – should boost the tackling unit
  • Marcellus Johnson (OL): Signed to practice squad
  • Juanyeh Thomas (SAF): Placed on reserve – reduces secondary depth
  • Shavon Revel Jr. (CB): Activated from IRD

Betting Impact: Raiders’ OL injuries further limit rushing reliability; Cowboys’ defence benefits from returning starters.

Monitor official inactives 90 minutes before kickoff for last-minute adjustments.

X-Factors & Betting Angles for Dallas Cowboys vs Las Vegas Raiders

  • Home/Away Splits: Cowboys double their home scoring output compared to the Raiders at home.
  • Pass Rush vs Offensive Line: Raiders apply pressure at a 27% rate but also struggle with sack prevention (OL depleted)
  • Pace of Play: Both teams average under 32 minutes’ possession, supporting fewer total drives
  • Special Teams: Daniel Carlson steady for LV, but no edge in return games this season
  • Situational Performance: Cowboys’ third down and red-zone conversion rate (69.2%/30%) significantly outpaces Raiders (66.7%/15%)

Who are the Statistical Leaders for Dallas Cowboys and Las Vegas Raiders?

Las Vegas Raiders Statistical Leaders

  • Passing: Cam Miller – 0 YDS, 0 TDs (2025)
  • Rushing: Ashton Jeanty – 547 YDS, 3.83 YPC, 4 TDs
  • Receiving: Jack Bech – 73 YDS, 7 RECs, 10.43 YPR
  • Defence: Maxx Crosby – 27 sacks, 12 interceptions teamwide

Dallas Cowboys Statistical Leaders

  • Passing: Dak Prescott – 2139 yards, 17 TDs
  • Rushing: Javonte Williams – 716 yards, 8 TDs
  • Receiving: CeeDee Lamb – 491 yards, 1 TD
  • Defence: Dante Fowler Jr. – 15 sacks, 7 INTs teamwide

Division & Playoff Implications

Las Vegas Raiders

Currently 4th in the AFC West, Las Vegas sits at 2-7 with a remote shot at even Wild Card contention. Most focus is on player development for 2026 and retaining competitive pride at home.

Dallas Cowboys

At 3-5-1 and 2nd in the NFC East, every result is critical for Dallas’ playoff aspirations. Winning on the road versus a bottom-ranked opponent is non-negotiable for wildcard hopes or a potential run at the division if they close strong.

Betting Context: Cowboys’ motivation and need-to-win angle could influence aggressive play-calling, especially late in tight games.

Dallas Cowboys vs Las Vegas Raiders: Final Betting Verdict

All macro- and micro-metrics point to the Dallas Cowboys as the value play on the road against the Raiders. Their offensive and defensive splits, coupled with superior third-down execution and receiving talent, create multiple betting edges. The under also leans favourably, given Raiders’ offensive difficulties and likely negative scripts. Monitor prop markets for Pickens and fade Raiders’ leading rushers as the data profiles a stiff challenge in both trenches.

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Frequently Asked Questions: Dallas Cowboys vs Las Vegas Raiders

What time is Dallas Cowboys vs Las Vegas Raiders kickoff?

Kickoff is set for Monday, 18 November, 01:15 GMT. UK viewers can watch live on Sky Sports NFL or streaming via NFL Game Pass.

What are the best bets for Dallas Cowboys vs Las Vegas Raiders?

Cowboys Moneyline is the top value, with props leans on Pickens Over 70.5 receiving yards and the Under 45.5 total points.

Where can I watch Dallas Cowboys vs Las Vegas Raiders?

The game will be shown on ABC/ESPN in the US. In the UK, coverage is via Sky Sports NFL and NFL Game Pass.

What is the injury report for Dallas Cowboys vs Las Vegas Raiders?

Raiders lost OL Jackson Powers-Johnson (IR), while Cowboys get DeMarvion Overshown (LB) back. See above for all major updates.