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Squawka / NFL News / Cincinnati Bengals vs Baltimore Ravens Betting Tips & Predictions (28 Nov 2025) | Expert NFL Analysis

Cincinnati Bengals vs Baltimore Ravens Betting Tips & Predictions (28 Nov 2025) | Expert NFL Analysis

Analysis by Andy Francis, NFL Betting Analyst
? 12+ years NFL betting analysis
? Specialising in statistical modelling and data-driven predictions
Full expert profile

? Quick Picks: Cincinnati Bengals vs Baltimore Ravens

  • Best Bet: Back Baltimore Ravens moneyline – behind league-leading 7.55 yards/play offence and home field data edge
  • Total Lean: Over 51.5 – Both sides average 58+ points combined this season, while H2H is high-scoring
  • Player Prop: Mark Andrews Over 4.5 Receptions – clear volume leader (55 recs, 11 TD) and elite red zone presence
  • Key Stat: Ravens convert an AFC-best 67.0% of third downs, creating sustained drive value
  • Kickoff: Friday, 28 November 2025, 01:20 GMT | ? NBC/Peacock

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When and Where is Cincinnati Bengals vs Baltimore Ravens?

  • Matchup: Cincinnati Bengals (3-8) at Baltimore Ravens (6-5)
  • Date & Time: Friday, 28 November 2025, 01:20 GMT
  • Venue: M&T Bank Stadium
  • Broadcast: NBC/Peacock
  • Weather: Outdoor turf, mild Maryland autumn (no major impact expected)

Cincinnati Bengals vs Baltimore Ravens: Expert Betting Tips & Predictions

Moneyline Analysis

This AFC North clash profiles towards the Baltimore Ravens, whose top-three offensive efficiency (7.55 yards/play) and conversion metrics (67.0% third down) provide one of the clearest home field edges this week. The Ravens are 6-5 but have won high-value divisional matchups (2-0 H2H last season), while the Bengals have stumbled to 3-8 with a -12 turnover differential and defensive ranking near the bottom of the AFC. Backing Baltimore at home presents strong value in accumulators and singles on Paddy Power or Sky Bet.

Totals Prediction (Over/Under)

Bettors should lean Over 51.5, supported by the season-long offensive outputs (Ravens 30.0 PPG, Bengals 28.0 PPG) and two-year head-to-heads averaging over 60 points per meeting. Both sides generate sustained drives (combined red zone rates 30%/28%) and possess playmakers for explosive gains. Past two meetings in Baltimore both cleared this threshold comfortably.

Player Prop Recommendations

  • Mark Andrews Over 4.5 Receptions: Consistently sees 6+ targets/game, 55 total receptions, best matchup profile, high red zone usage.
  • Joe Burrow Over 1.5 Passing TDs: Profiles to 43 passing TD season, high attempts volume on road, and Ravens give up explosive pass plays late.
  • Keaton Mitchell Under 35.5 Rushing Yards: Led by only134 yards (5.83 YPC) this season
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Tip of the day
Matchup: Cincinnati Bengals @ Baltimore Ravens
Best Odds See platform Place bet
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Bet Builder Ideas for Cincinnati Bengals vs Baltimore Ravens

Conservative Bet Builder

  • Baltimore Ravens to win + Over 44.5 total points + Mark Andrews Over 3.5 receptions

Rationale: Ravens’ elite home metrics, offensive tempo and Andrews’ volume build a low variance, high-floor slip for accumulators.

Value Bet Builder

  • Bengals +7.5 handicap + Over 2.5 Ravens touchdowns + Joe Burrow Over 229.5 passing yards

Rationale: Bengals keep divisional duels close (both 2024 games decided by ≤3), and Burrow’s passing volume leads all AFC North QBs.

High-Odds Bet Builder

  • Both teams to score 3+ touchdowns, Over 54.5 total, Rashod Bateman anytime TD scorer

Rationale: Last year’s meetings produced 69 and 79 points; Bateman had 1 TD in last 3, while both teams’ offences show explosive play rates.

Team Comparison

MetricBaltimore Ravens (Home)Cincinnati Bengals (Away)
Pts/Game30.028.0
Yds/Play7.66.3
3rd Down %67.0%62.3%
Red Zone TD %30.0%28.0%
Turnover Diff+7+12
Pressure Rate31.0%24.0%

Matchup-Specific Trends

  • Baltimore is 4-2 at home in 2025, averaging 30.2 points per game (M&T Bank Stadium)
  • Cincinnati is 1-5 on the road, allowing an average 28.7 points in away fixtures
  • The last five meetings average 61 total points, and four decided by a single score
  • Ravens lead the NFL in third-down conversion rate (67%), giving key situational edge

Cincinnati Bengals vs Baltimore Ravens Head-to-Head Record

The last five meetings have produced nail-biting finishes, all decided by seven points or fewer with an average final margin of just 3.6. Baltimore have won the last three straight, including two 2024 thrillers (41–38, 35–34), while points totals in Baltimore have consistently cleared 50+.

  • 2024-11-08: Cincinnati Bengals 34 @ Baltimore Ravens 35
  • 2024-10-06: Baltimore Ravens 41 @ Cincinnati Bengals 38
  • 2023-11-17: Cincinnati Bengals 20 @ Baltimore Ravens 34
  • 2023-09-17: Baltimore Ravens 27 @ Cincinnati Bengals 24
  • 2023-01-15: Baltimore Ravens 17 @ Cincinnati Bengals 24

Betting Insight: Recent H2H trends underline value on close finishes and high totals; consider alternate handicap or over markets for in-play.

Why This Game Matters for Bettors

  • Division implications: With both franchises in the AFC North, the outcome can swing playoff tiebreakers and divisional supremacy
  • Offensive matchup: Ravens’ pace and Bengals’ deep passing create prop and total value
  • Defensive edge: Ravens pressure rate ranks top 4 in the AFC and challenges Bengals’ protection (24%)
  • Star power: Mark Andrews, Joe Burrow, and Ja’Marr Chase headline potent receiving games
  • Situational factors: Bengals struggle as travellers, while Ravens are reliable under the lights at M&T Bank

What are the Key Matchups in Cincinnati Bengals vs Baltimore Ravens?

Joe Burrow (Bengals) vs Ravens Pass Defense

Burrow makes his return from injury, while the Ravens average a 31% pressure rate and 31 sacks/year. How Burrow copes with heat will set the scoring tone.

Mark Andrews (Ravens TE) vs Bengals Linebackers/Safeties

Andrews (33 rec, 285 yards, 5 TDs) is Lamar Jackson’s first read and dominates middle-field looks. Bengals have struggled to contain elite TEs, yielding multiple scores in recent weeks.

Bengals Receivers (Chase) vs Ravens CBs

Chase draws high target volume, but Baltimore’s secondary (notably Marlon Humphrey) has historically fared well in divisional games, forcing tight windows.

Which Players Will Impact Cincinnati Bengals vs Baltimore Ravens?

Baltimore Ravens Players to Watch

Lamar Jackson (QB)
Role: Dual-threat leader with elite running/throwing threat
Recent Form: Solid home performances, 30 PPG average. Practice: Fully participated.
Matchup Note: Bengals pass D, susceptible to movement QBs.
Betting Angle: Props on passing TDs, rushing yards both viable.

Mark Andrews (TE)
Role: Top receiving target, red zone focal point
Recent Form: 55 catches, 673 yards, 11 TD
Matchup Note: Bengals conceding over league average to tight ends.
Betting Angle: Over on receptions and red zone TD market.

Cincinnati Bengals Players to Watch

Joe Burrow (QB)
Role: High-volume, downfield passer
Recent Form: Back from IRD, 4918 yards, 43 TD, 108.5 rating
Matchup Note: Returns to full fitness, accuracy will decide Bengals’ upside.
Betting Angle: Passing TD prop and alternate yardage lines.

Ja’Marr Chase (WR)
Role: Top perimeter target
Recent Form: Higgins out with concussion
Betting Angle: Expect more volume for Ja’Marr Chase and other Bengals wideouts.

Cincinnati Bengals vs Baltimore Ravens Injury Report & Team News

Baltimore Ravens Injury Updates

  • Rashod Bateman (WR): Full participation (ankle)
  • Mark Andrews (TE): Not listed, available for action
  • Justice Hill (RB): Out (neck) – impacts rotation

Cincinnati Bengals Injury Updates

  • Tee Higgins (WR): Out (concussion)
  • Trey Hendrickson (DE): Out (hip/pelvis)
  • Cam Taylor-Britt (CB): On IR
  • Joe Burrow (QB): Activated from IRD – full go
  • Marco Wilson (CB): On IR

Betting Impact: Bengals’ secondary weakened significantly; Higgins absence raises Chase/Andrews prop value. Ravens healthy at key positions.

Monitor official inactives 90 minutes pre-kick for last-minute updates.

X-Factors & Betting Angles for Cincinnati Bengals vs Baltimore Ravens

  • Home/Away Splits: Ravens’ points per game climb at M&T; Bengals scoring drops by 4 PPG on the road
  • Pass Rush vs Offensive Line: Ravens’ 31% pressure rate faces a Bengals line that’s allowed 24% – sack props in play
  • Pace of Play: Both offences rank top-10 in plays per drive, increasing total opportunity and risk
  • Special Teams: Ravens consistent in field goals; low missed kick rate boosts scoring floor
  • Situational Performance: Both teams’ red zone TD efficiency under 30% – could force more field goals in high-leverage spots

Baltimore Ravens Statistical Leaders

  • Passing: Lamar Jackson – 1595 yards, 15 TDs
  • Rushing: Derrick Henry – 871 yards, 9 TDs
  • Receiving: Zay Flowers – 761 yards, 1 TD

Cincinnati Bengals Statistical Leaders

  • Passing: Joe Flacco – 2451 yards, 15 TDs
  • Rushing: Chase Brown – 626 yards, 2 TDs
  • Receiving: Ja’Marr Chase – 861 yards, 5 TDs

Division & Playoff Implications

Baltimore Ravens

Currently leading the AFC North at 6-5, the Ravens need this home result to stay clear at the top against a divisional rival and cement playoff seeding. With two division games left, every tiebreaker counts.

Cincinnati Bengals

Bengals are third in the AFC North, out of the wild card race at 3-8. Playing for pride and to play spoiler; offensive uptick late season is crucial for 2026 momentum.

Betting Context: Motivation edge to Baltimore; late-season skews often see hosts cover with playoff stakes on the line.

Cincinnati Bengals vs Baltimore Ravens: Final Betting Verdict

The data overwhelmingly points towards Baltimore as the sharper side: superior per-play efficiency, home field, and conversion rates. High total history, weakened Bengals secondary, and elite Ravens pass game all tip over and prop markets into value. Best bets: Ravens moneyline and the over. Expect divisional tension to keep it close (handicap cover possible) but the sharp edge lies with Baltimore.

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Frequently Asked Questions: Cincinnati Bengals vs Baltimore Ravens

What time is Cincinnati Bengals vs Baltimore Ravens kickoff?

Friday, 28 November 2025, 01:20 GMT | Broadcast live on NBC/Peacock for UK viewers.

What are the best bets for Cincinnati Bengals vs Baltimore Ravens?

Ravens moneyline, Over 51.5 points, and Mark Andrews Over 4.5 receptions—each supported by season-long data trends.

Where can I watch Cincinnati Bengals vs Baltimore Ravens?

Available on NBC and Peacock; check Sky Sports and NFL Game Pass for streaming in the UK.

What is the injury report for Cincinnati Bengals vs Baltimore Ravens?

Bengals without Tee Higgins, Trey Hendrickson, Cam Taylor-Britt, Marco Wilson and more; Ravens healthy at skill positions with only Justice Hill ruled out.

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