Our Patriots vs Seahawks prediction gives Seattle the narrowest edge in a Super Bowl LX rematch staged barely seven months on. British viewers face a 1.20am start on the Thursday, which is the price of the 2026 NFL season opening on a Wednesday night in America. Squawka Signal’s live read on this game, including where the value sits, is in the block just below.
Both teams closed 2025 at 14-3, so the records separate nobody. The defences, however, do: Seattle conceded 292 points across the season, fewer than any side in this round, while New England allowed 320 and shipped 48 sacks.
Patriots vs Seahawks: our editor’s prop
One editorial call to sit alongside the live Signal numbers above.
AT 
Our prop
An editorial call, not a Signal model output. 18+ | BeGambleAware.org
Patriots vs Seahawks: 2025 season form
Both finished 14-3. Seattle took the conference, however, and a plus 191 differential was the best mark anywhere on this slate.
| 2025 regular season | Patriots | Seahawks |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 14-3 | 14-3 |
| Points for | 490 | 483 |
| Points against | 320 | 292 |
| Point differential | +170 | +191 |
| Sacks recorded | 35 | 47 |
| Sacks allowed | 48 | 27 |
| Interceptions made | 10 | 18 |
| Third-down offence | 42.9% | 39.8% |
| Red-zone offence | 57.1% | 54.2% |
| Red zone allowed | 67.5% | 50.0% |
| Opponent passer rating | 93.1 | 77.9 |
The defensive rows carry it. Seattle conceded 292 points to New England’s 320, and 47 sacks against 48 allowed is the cleanest illustration of where the Super Bowl was decided.
Patriots vs Seahawks injury report and team news
This section updates as soon as the Out, Doubtful and Questionable tags land. Notably, for now, both sides expect their first-choice quarterbacks.
Drake Maye starts for New England, with A.J. Brown the clear number one after arriving from Philadelphia. TreVeyon Henderson leads the backfield, moreover, following 911 rushing yards.
Sam Darnold starts for Seattle after 4,048 passing yards. Jaxon Smith-Njigba heads the receivers, meanwhile, having led the league with 1,793.
The matchup that settles it: the Seattle rush against a Patriots line that leaked
New England allowed 48 sacks last season, more than any side in this fixture, while Seattle recorded 47 at the other end.
Notably that imbalance decided the Super Bowl. Indeed, Seattle reached Maye six times in February and New England still lost by 16. Adding A.J. Brown does not fix protection.
Players to watch
- Sam Darnold (SEA, QB): 4,048 passing yards, notably for the conference champions.
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba (SEA, WR): 1,793 receiving yards, indeed the most in the league.
- Drake Maye (NE, QB): 4,394 passing yards, though behind a line that allowed 48 sacks.
- A.J. Brown (NE, WR): 1,003 receiving yards for Philadelphia, and New England’s marquee signing.
How to watch Patriots vs Seahawks
Kickoff is 8:20 PM ET on Wednesday, September 9, which is 1:20am BST on the Thursday for UK viewers. Sky Sports has the broadcast, meanwhile, and NFL Game Pass on DAZN carries every game of the season. Notably this is a Wednesday night in America, a day earlier than the NFL usually begins. Squawka may earn a commission if you subscribe through that link.
| Detail | Patriots vs Seahawks |
|---|---|
| Date | Wednesday, September 9, 2026 |
| Kickoff | 1:20am BST Thu 10 Sep / 8:20 PM ET Wed 9 Sep |
| Venue | Lumen Field, Seattle |
| TV | Sky Sports |
| Live stream | NFL Game Pass (DAZN) |
| Week | Week 1, 2026 NFL season |
Patriots vs Seahawks prediction and score projection
Our Patriots vs Seahawks prediction is a narrow Seattle win, for much the reason the Seahawks won the lot in February.
New England will move the ball, as they did in the Super Bowl, and still lost by 16 nonetheless because Seattle’s rush turned drives into punts. So we will take the Seahawks, 24-20. Which side carries the value, though, is a separate question from who wins, and the live read on that sits in the Signal block.
Every fixture in the round is covered across our NFL UK hub, and the 32 club pages sit on the NFL teams hub. Kickoff times are confirmed on NFL.com.
Patriots vs Seahawks FAQ
Seattle, narrowly. The Seahawks beat New England 29-13 in Super Bowl LX and conceded 292 points last season against the Patriots’ 320. Ultimately the live win probability sits in the Signal block on this page.
1.20am BST on Thursday 10 September, which is 8:20 PM ET on the Wednesday. Notably that is a day earlier than the NFL’s usual Thursday start.
Sky Sports has the broadcast and NFL Game Pass on DAZN carries every game of the season. Kickoff is 1.20am BST on Thursday 10 September.
In Super Bowl LX on 8 February 2026, which Seattle won 29-13. The Seahawks sacked Drake Maye six times.
Seahawks 24-20. Seattle’s 47 sacks against a New England line that allowed 48 is the clearest edge, though both finished 14-3.
18+ | Please gamble responsibly | BeGambleAware.org | Signal probabilities approximate at time of writing and subject to change