Erling Haaland arrives in Cardiff in blistering form, and our Wales vs Norway predictions back the Norway striker to fire again when the Dragons chase their first Nations League points of the campaign at 7.45pm on Thursday.
Anthony Eadson’s Wales vs Norway predictions, best bets and score prediction are below.
Premium Tips
Our Premium Tips for Wales vs Norway back the visitors to win by a clear margin and Haaland to score at least twice.
| Premium Tip | Odds | Why we’re backing it |
|---|---|---|
| Norway -1 Asian Handicap | 5/6 (Betfair Sportsbook) | Norway won all eight of their World Cup qualifiers, seven of them by two goals or more, and scored 37 times in the process. They have found the net in each of their last ten matches, and even in Sunday’s 2-1 home defeat by Portugal they had 22 shots to the visitors’ 12. Wales, by contrast, have not won in six matches in 2026, drawing three and losing three in 90 minutes. Bellamy’s side have also failed to score in both Nations League games, losing 1-0 in Lisbon and 2-0 in Copenhagen. A Norway win by two or more goals pays out, and a one-goal win returns your stake. |
| Erling Haaland to score 2+ goals | 5/2 (Sky Bet) | Haaland has scored two or more goals in eight of his last 12 competitive internationals, a run that has brought him 22 goals. That includes five against Moldova, a hat-trick against Israel and braces against Estonia and Italy in World Cup qualifying. He then scored twice against Iraq, Senegal and Brazil at the World Cup, and again in the 3-2 win over Denmark on the opening night of this campaign. Sporting Life reports he has scored in each of his last seven games for club and country. Wales have not kept a clean sheet in seven matches since beating Liechtenstein 1-0 in November 2025. |
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How Wales go into the game
Craig Bellamy’s side are bottom of Group A4 without a point or a goal after defeats by Portugal and Denmark. Wales have not won in six matches since thrashing North Macedonia 7-1 in November 2025, and all four of their goals in 2026 have come after half-time.
The Dragons are still without Joe Rodon, who has a hamstring problem, along with Dylan Lawlor, Isaak Davies, Rubin Colwill, Harry Wilson, Nathan Broadhead and Karl Darlow. Kieffer Moore led the line in a 4-4-2 in Copenhagen, with Brennan Johnson and Daniel James offering pace.
How Norway go into the game
Stale Solbakken’s World Cup quarter-finalists opened with a 3-2 win over Denmark in Oslo but lost 2-1 at home to Portugal on Sunday despite creating the better chances. Norway are second in the group on three points, level with Denmark, and this is their first away game of the campaign.
Haaland scored twice against Denmark and once against Portugal, and he has now scored in 14 of his last 16 competitive games for his country. Captain Martin Odegaard and full-back Julian Ryerson are doubts after picking up knocks against Portugal.
Wales vs Norway head-to-head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11/11 | Wales | 4-1 | Norway |
| 06/02/08 | Wales | 3-0 | Norway |
| 27/05/04 | Norway | 0-0 | Wales |
| 05/09/01 | Norway | 3-2 | Wales |
| 07/10/00 | Wales | 1-1 | Norway |
Thursday’s game is the first meeting between the sides since November 2011, when Wales won a friendly 4-1 in Cardiff with Craig Bellamy among the scorers. Norway have not beaten Wales since a 3-2 World Cup qualifying win in September 2001, and the Dragons are unbeaten in the last three meetings.
Wales vs Norway predictions & betting tips
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Norway -1 Asian Handicap | 5/6 (Betfair Sportsbook) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Norway won seven of their eight World Cup qualifiers by two goals or more. |
| Erling Haaland to score 2+ goals | 5/2 (Sky Bet) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Haaland has scored at least twice in eight of his last 12 competitive internationals. |
| Norway to win | 6/13 (BoyleSports) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Wales have not won in six matches and have lost both Nations League games without scoring. |
| Erling Haaland to score anytime | 4/9 (Betfair Sportsbook) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Haaland has scored in 14 of his last 16 competitive games for Norway. |
Wales vs Norway score prediction
Norway’s firepower should be too much for a side who have failed to score in either Nations League game, and Haaland can do the damage again in Cardiff. Score prediction: Wales 0-2 Norway.
