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Squawka / News / Sturm Graz vs Marseille predictions and betting tips: Marseille to end their wait for a win

Sturm Graz vs Marseille predictions and betting tips: Marseille to end their wait for a win

Thu 22 October, 17:45 UPC-Arena

Predictions are not available for this match yet.

No previous meetings between these teams.

Sturm Graz Sturm Graz
UEFA Europa League 2026/2027
Olympique Marseille Olympique Marseille
Season Stats
2 Matches played 2
0 Goals 1
3 Goals Conceded 5
17 Shots 25
5 Shots On Target 8
37.9% Possession 50.3%
10 Chances Created 19
30 Fouls 27
17 Take-Ons Completed 18
36 Tackles Made 30
5 Yellow Cards 3
0 Red Cards 0
8 Corners Won 12
Sturm Graz Sturm Graz

No absentees

Olympique Marseille Olympique Marseille

No absentees

No price boosts for this event.

Bet Builder is not available yet.

Betting markets are not available yet.

League Standings table is not available yet.

Data provided by

Marseille arrive in Austria still chasing their first Europa League point, and our Sturm Graz vs Marseille predictions back the French side to finally break their duck when the pair meet at the UPC-Arena from 5.45pm (UK time).

Both clubs sit in the bottom third of the 36-team league phase after two games, so something has to give under the lights. Sturm Graz have taken a single point and are yet to score a goal, while Marseille have shipped five in back-to-back defeats.

The visitors are heavy favourites on the road despite that return, and we lean towards Marseille clicking into gear in front of goal. Our full breakdown of the best bets sits below.

Premium Tips

Anthony Eadson has picked out two markets for this one: Amine Gouiri to score anytime and a Marseille win with both teams to score.

Premium TipOddsWhy we’re backing it
Amine Gouiri to score anytime8/5 (bet365)Marseille have mustered only one goal across their opening two Europa League games, yet Gouiri remains the focal point of their attack and the short price reflects how central he is to this side. Sturm Graz were torn apart 3-0 at Bournemouth last time out and have conceded three times already in the league phase. The hosts have failed to score in both of their games, which points to a Marseille team under little pressure at the other end and free to push numbers forward. At 8/5, we expect the French side’s main man to get on the scoresheet.
Marseille to win and both teams to score11/4 (Sky Bet)Our 1-2 scoreline leans on Marseille’s quality telling eventually, and this market captures the likely shape of the night. Sturm Graz have drawn a blank in both outings, but they did keep a clean sheet at home against Rennes, so backing them to grab one here while still losing feels reasonable. Marseille, for their part, have leaked five goals in two defeats, meaning a tidy shut-out is far from guaranteed even in a win. A score draw broken by the visitors’ edge in class is how we read it, and 11/4 rewards that view.

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How Sturm Graz go into the game

Sturm Graz sit 26th in this section of the table, with just one point from their opening two fixtures. Their form line reads draw then defeat, the latest a chastening 3-0 loss away at Bournemouth that leaves them without a goal in the competition.

The Austrians did at least frustrate Rennes in a goalless home draw on matchday one, so the UPC-Arena has offered some resistance. With no goals scored and three conceded, though, they head into this one as clear underdogs despite home advantage.

How Marseille go into the game

Marseille occupy 31st place on zero points, a startling position for a side of their pedigree. They slipped to a 1-0 home defeat by Olympiakos last time out, having been thumped 4-1 away at Besiktas on the opening night.

Five goals conceded in two games is the obvious concern, yet Marseille have the attacking tools to turn things around against a Sturm team still searching for a first goal. A maiden win of the campaign looks overdue, and this is as good a chance as any to claim it.

Sturm Graz vs Marseille: form guide and current league standing

Sturm Graz vs Marseille head-to-head

These two clubs have never met in a competitive fixture, so Thursday marks fresh ground for both. With no history to lean on, recent league-phase form shapes our read: Marseille’s attacking threat against a Sturm side still searching for a first goal.

Sturm Graz vs Marseille predictions & betting tips

Our PredictionOdds & BookmakerConfidenceWhy We’re Backing It
Marseille to win21/20 (bet365)⭐⭐⭐Only one point separates the sides on paper, yet Marseille’s goal threat and Sturm’s blank in front of goal across both games tilt this firmly the visitors’ way.
Both teams to score – Yes8/13 (bet365)⭐⭐⭐Marseille have conceded in both outings and Sturm kept a clean sheet at home against Rennes, so there is a route to goals at either end.
Over 2.5 goals8/11 (bet365)⭐⭐⭐Marseille’s five goals conceded in two matches suggest this need not be the low-scoring affair Sturm’s successive blanks might imply.
Sturm Graz 1-2 Marseille8/1 (bet365)⭐⭐Sturm have scored zero and conceded three, while Marseille have shipped more than two per game; a tight 1-2 fits both profiles.

Sturm Graz vs Marseille score prediction

Quality should ultimately separate these two, with Marseille’s forward line finding the goals their table position does not yet reflect. Sturm’s clean sheet against Rennes hints they can nick one at home, but a lack of any goal in two games is a worry against better opposition. We settle on a 1-2 away win. Score prediction: Sturm Graz 1-2 Marseille.

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