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Squawka / News / Roma vs Fiorentina predictions and betting tips: Giallorossi to grind out win

Roma vs Fiorentina predictions and betting tips: Giallorossi to grind out win

24 Aug · 19:45 Stadio Olimpico · Serie A
10
Goals
8
8
Goals Conceded
10
15
Yellow Cards
10
19
Corners Won
26
58
Shots
64
41
Tackles Won
41
Roma Roma
4 - 0
Fiorentina Fiorentina
Serie A · 04 May 2026
Fiorentina Fiorentina
1 - 2
Roma Roma
Serie A · 05 Oct 2025
Roma Roma
1 - 0
Fiorentina Fiorentina
Serie A · 04 May 2025
Fiorentina Fiorentina
5 - 1
Roma Roma
Serie A · 27 Oct 2024
Fiorentina Fiorentina
2 - 2
Roma Roma
Serie A · 10 Mar 2024

Player stats will appear once the competition begins.

Roma Roma
  • Wesley Defender · Ankle Injury
  • Muhammed Bah Midfielder · ACL Knee Injury
  • Lorenzo Pellegrini Midfielder · Thigh Injury
Fiorentina Fiorentina
  • Arthur Atta Midfielder · Knee Injury
  • João Mário Defender · Unknown
  • Álex Jiménez Defender · Unknown
  • Rolando Mandragora Midfielder · Back Injury
  • Fabiano Parisi Defender · ACL Knee Injury · 2 | Out (0%)

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Roma vs Fiorentina closes the Serie A weekend at a packed Stadio Olimpico on Monday, kicking off at 7.45pm (UK time), with the hosts fancied to make their strong home record count.

Gian Piero Gasperini’s side finished third last season on the back of a miserly defence and welcome a Fiorentina side who ended the campaign in mid-table. Anthony Eadson has the best bets, a score prediction and the head-to-head record below.

Bet365 UK Roma VS Fiorentina
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Premium Tips

Anthony Eadson is with the hosts, whose defensive strength and home form make them a solid opening-night selection.

Premium TipOddsWhy we’re backing it
Roma to win8/15Roma impressed under Gian Piero Gasperini last season, finishing fifth in Serie A, while their 4-0 win over Fiorentina in May showed the gulf between these sides. Fiorentina have added plenty of new faces under Fabio Grosso and opened their competitive campaign with a 4-1 Coppa Italia win, but Roma should have enough quality and structure to control this at the Stadio Olimpico. With Paulo Dybala fit and Gasperini targeting another strong campaign, back Roma to edge a competitive opener by a goal.
Correct Score Roma 1-07/1Roma’s defensive structure should make this a cagey contest at the Olimpico, with Fiorentina unlikely to find much joy against Gasperini’s side. Roma have also kept this fixture tight at home in recent seasons, including a 1-0 victory in May 2025, before winning the reverse fixture 2-1 last October. With Roma priced at short odds in the match-winner market, the 1-0 correct score offers more appeal at 7/1 with bet365.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly. GambleAware — gambleaware.org · Odds correct at time of publishing.

How Roma go into the game

Roma finished third last season on 73 points, driven by the meanest defence in the division alongside the champions. The Stadio Olimpico is a cauldron on nights like this and they will start as clear favourites.

Their strength lies in keeping things tight and taking their chances, and they have won the last two home meetings with Fiorentina. Another controlled, professional display is expected.

How Fiorentina go into the game

Fiorentina ended last season 15th on 42 points, an underwhelming campaign that never really caught fire. They remain capable of hurting good sides but were too inconsistent for much of the year.

Away at Roma is a stern test to open the season, and they have struggled on their recent visits to the capital. They will need a much-improved defensive display to take anything home.

Roma vs Fiorentina: 2025-26 by the numbers

Head-to-head

DateHomeScoreAway
04/05/26Roma4-0Fiorentina
05/10/25Fiorentina1-2Roma
04/05/25Roma1-0Fiorentina
27/10/24Fiorentina5-1Roma
10/03/24Fiorentina2-2Roma

Roma have won three of the last six meetings, including the last two at home, though Fiorentina have landed some heavy blows of their own in Florence.

Roma vs Fiorentina predictions & betting tips

Our PredictionOdds & BookmakerConfidenceWhy We’re Backing It
Roma to win8/15⭐⭐⭐⭐Third last season and strong at home.
Roma or draw (Double Chance)1/7⭐⭐⭐Banker-style cover on the hosts.
Under 2.5 goals10/11⭐⭐⭐Roma’s defence keeps games tight.
Both teams to score – No4/5⭐⭐⭐A clean sheet is well within reach.
Correct Score 1-0 Roma7/1⭐⭐Roma to edge it

Roma vs Fiorentina score prediction

Fiorentina have caused Roma problems in Florence, but at the Olimpico the hosts hold a clear edge. Roma’s outstanding defence and home advantage should see them grind out a controlled, low-scoring win. Score prediction: Roma 2-0 Fiorentina.

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