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Squawka / News / Roma vs Fiorentina predictions and betting tips: Giallorossi to grind out win

Roma vs Fiorentina predictions and betting tips: Giallorossi to grind out win

24 Aug · 19:45 Stadio Olimpico · Serie A
D. Malen   27', 52', 60' N. Pisilli   86'
  1. Full Time
  2. N. Pisilli
    86'
  3. 80'
    Valde on for João Mário
  4. N. Pisilli on for M. Koné
    79'
  5. N. El Aynaoui on for P. Dybala
    79'
  6. 74'
    R. Mandragora on for A. Atta
  7. K. Koulierakis on for Mario Hermoso
    68'
  8. S. Castro on for D. Malen
    68'
  9. 63'
    M. Kean on for F. Mastantuono
  10. 63'
    M. Pellegrino
  11. 62'
    C. Inao Oulaï on for N. Fagioli
  12. 62'
    Álex Jiménez on for M. Brescianini
  13. D. Malen
    60'
  14. M. Soulé on for Rodrigo Mora
    54'
  15. D. Malen
    52'
  16. M. Koné
    49'
  17. Half Time
  18. Mario Hermoso
    39'
  19. 30'
    N. Fagioli
  20. D. Malen
    27'
  21. Kick Off
Momentum
Top Stats
61.1% Possession 38.9%
4 Goals 0
17 Shots 9
8 Shots On Target 4
2 Corners Won 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
0 Red Cards 0
Shooting
4 Goals 0
17 Total Shots 9
8 Shots On Target 4
Defending
0 Goals Conceded 4
1 Clean sheets 0
Passing
539 Total Passes 343
478 Accurate Passes 285
Possession
61.1% Possession 38.9%
2 Corners 3
Discipline
2 Yellow Cards 2
0 Red Cards 0
15 Fouls 11
Goals
  • 1
    Roma
    Donyell Malen
    3
  • 2
    Roma
    Niccolò Pisilli
    1
Shots
  • 1
    Roma
    Donyell Malen
    5
  • 2
    Roma
    Paulo Dybala
    4
  • 3
    Fiorentina
    Moise Kean
    2
Tackles Won
  • 1
    Roma
    Emanuele Lulli
    4
  • 2
    Roma
    Manu Koné
    3
  • 3
    Roma
    Bryan Cristante
    2
Assists
  • 1
    Roma
    Paulo Dybala
    3
Chances Created
  • 1
    Roma
    Paulo Dybala
    4
  • 2
    Roma
    Wesley
    3
  • 3
    Roma
    Gianluca Mancini
    2
Passes Completed
  • 1
    Roma
    Bryan Cristante
    73
  • 2
    Roma
    Evan Ndicka
    65
  • 3
    Roma
    Manu Koné
    52
Take Ons Completed
  • 1
    Roma
    Donyell Malen
    3
  • 2
    Fiorentina
    Franco Mastantuono
    1
  • 3
    Roma
    Bryan Cristante
    1
Interceptions
  • 1
    Roma
    Mario Hermoso
    3
  • 2
    Roma
    Bryan Cristante
    2
  • 3
    Fiorentina
    Radu Dragusin
    2
99
Svilar
22
Hermoso
05
Ndicka
23
Mancini
43
Wesley
17
Koné
04
Cristante
77
Lulli
86
Mora
21
Dybala
14
Malen
32
Pellegrino
14
Atta
30
Mastantuono
04
Brescianini
44
Fagioli
27
Ndour
17
Mário
06
Ranieri
03
Dragusin
02
Dodô
43
de Gea
Substitutes
78 Robinio Vaz 
03 Konstantinos Koulierakis 
61 Niccolò Pisilli 
24 Jan Ziólkowski 
08 Neil El Aynaoui 
70 Giorgio De Marzi 
09 Santiago Castro 
18 Matías Soulé 
20 Nahuel Molina 
87 Daniele Ghilardi 
95 Pierluigi Gollini 
Substitutes
 Viery 33
 Oliver Christensen 53
 Valde 21
 Moise Kean 09
 Giovanni Fabbian 80
 Marin Pongracic 05
 Federico Croci 70
 Brando Mazzeo 72
 Luca Lezzerini 19
 Christ Inao Oulaï 42
 Álex Jiménez 20
 Rolando Mandragora 08
 Albert Gudmundsson 11
 Eman Kospo 71

League Standings table is not available yet.

Data provided by

Roma vs Fiorentina closes the Serie A weekend at a packed Stadio Olimpico on Monday, kicking off at 7.45pm (UK time), with the hosts fancied to make their strong home record count.

Gian Piero Gasperini’s side finished third last season on the back of a miserly defence and welcome a Fiorentina side who ended the campaign in mid-table. Anthony Eadson has the best bets, a score prediction and the head-to-head record below.

Premium Tips

Anthony Eadson is with the hosts, whose defensive strength and home form make them a solid opening-night selection.

Premium TipOddsWhy we’re backing it
Roma to win8/15Roma impressed under Gian Piero Gasperini last season, finishing fifth in Serie A, while their 4-0 win over Fiorentina in May showed the gulf between these sides. Fiorentina have added plenty of new faces under Fabio Grosso and opened their competitive campaign with a 4-1 Coppa Italia win, but Roma should have enough quality and structure to control this at the Stadio Olimpico. With Paulo Dybala fit and Gasperini targeting another strong campaign, back Roma to edge a competitive opener by a goal.
Correct Score Roma 1-07/1Roma’s defensive structure should make this a cagey contest at the Olimpico, with Fiorentina unlikely to find much joy against Gasperini’s side. Roma have also kept this fixture tight at home in recent seasons, including a 1-0 victory in May 2025, before winning the reverse fixture 2-1 last October. With Roma priced at short odds in the match-winner market, the 1-0 correct score offers more appeal at 7/1 with bet365.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly. GambleAware — gambleaware.org · Odds correct at time of publishing.

How Roma go into the game

Roma finished third last season on 73 points, driven by the meanest defence in the division alongside the champions. The Stadio Olimpico is a cauldron on nights like this and they will start as clear favourites.

Their strength lies in keeping things tight and taking their chances, and they have won the last two home meetings with Fiorentina. Another controlled, professional display is expected.

How Fiorentina go into the game

Fiorentina ended last season 15th on 42 points, an underwhelming campaign that never really caught fire. They remain capable of hurting good sides but were too inconsistent for much of the year.

Away at Roma is a stern test to open the season, and they have struggled on their recent visits to the capital. They will need a much-improved defensive display to take anything home.

Roma vs Fiorentina: 2025-26 by the numbers

Head-to-head

DateHomeScoreAway
04/05/26Roma4-0Fiorentina
05/10/25Fiorentina1-2Roma
04/05/25Roma1-0Fiorentina
27/10/24Fiorentina5-1Roma
10/03/24Fiorentina2-2Roma

Roma have won three of the last six meetings, including the last two at home, though Fiorentina have landed some heavy blows of their own in Florence.

Roma vs Fiorentina predictions & betting tips

Our PredictionOdds & BookmakerConfidenceWhy We’re Backing It
Roma to win8/15⭐⭐⭐⭐Third last season and strong at home.
Roma or draw (Double Chance)1/7⭐⭐⭐Banker-style cover on the hosts.
Under 2.5 goals10/11⭐⭐⭐Roma’s defence keeps games tight.
Both teams to score – No4/5⭐⭐⭐A clean sheet is well within reach.
Correct Score 1-0 Roma7/1⭐⭐Roma to edge it

Roma vs Fiorentina score prediction

Fiorentina have caused Roma problems in Florence, but at the Olimpico the hosts hold a clear edge. Roma’s outstanding defence and home advantage should see them grind out a controlled, low-scoring win. Score prediction: Roma 2-0 Fiorentina.

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